Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · 01:27 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Regional Banks

THE TRADER READBroad price confirmation, weak flow alignment

6 of 6 measured members are rising. Capital-flow agreement is 47%, so the basket is not yet clean.

Price breadth6 of 6 risingRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignment47%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 0/100
Evidence depth5 support daysLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

2 earlier filing context receipts

TUE, NOV 25CFFN filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates · date precision only

SUN, MAR 1FCF filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

6/6 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across CFFN, FCF, IBCP, TCBK.

credit / rates

Increases resulting from increases in non-maturity deposits were fully offset by projected decreases in the Bank's borrowings portfolio and, to a lesser extent, the certificate of deposit portfolio.

CFFN 10-K · 2025-11-26
credit / rates affecting interest expense

Projected interest expense on deposits 66 increased between the two periods as a result of an increase in the overall balance of the portfolio but was offset by a decrease in the balance of borrowings and the continued decrease in the average rate paid on deposits.

CFFN 10-Q · 2026-02-06
credit / rates affecting expense

The profitability of the leverage strategy is attributable to net income derived from the dividends received on the increased FHLB stock holdings, plus the net interest rate spread between the yield on the leverage strategy cash at the FRB and the rate paid on the leverage strategy FHLB borrowings, less applicable FDIC premiums and estimated income tax expense.

CFFN 10-K · 2025-11-26
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

3 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

ZIONMoving with group

CFFN · text peer

FNFMoving with group

CFFN · text peer

FIBKMoving with group

TCBK · text peer

FBNCNot confirming

CFFN · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
IBCPFCFPEBONWBICFFNTCBK

0/6 active6 rising · 0 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation
Quiet · 0/100
+1.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation
Quiet · 0/100
+1.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.
Quiet · 0/100
+0.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
NWBINorthwest Bancshares, Inc.
Quiet · 0/100
+0.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CFFNCapitol Federal Financial, Inc.
Most unusual · 0/100
+0.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
TCBKTriCo Bancshares
Quiet · 0/100
+0.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
IBCPIndependent Bank CorporationQuiet / lagging+1.0%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial CorporationQuiet / lagging+1.0%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.8%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
NWBINorthwest Bancshares, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.8%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
CFFNCapitol Federal Financial, Inc.Most unusual+0.3%0% of 0 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
TCBKTriCo BancsharesQuiet / lagging+0.3%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
Low structural sample

Only 0 completed episodes across 0 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support5 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes0Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions0Completed session observations, not trades
2026-09-086 names in the durable cohort
2026-09-046 names in the durable cohort
2026-09-015 names in the durable cohort
2026-08-285 names in the durable cohort
2026-08-244 names in the durable cohort
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
CFFN0% · 0 episodes
FCF0% · 0 episodes
IBCP0% · 0 episodes
NWBI0% · 0 episodes
PEBO0% · 0 episodes
TCBK0% · 0 episodes