Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Aug 20 · 16:27 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Internet Retail & Services

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

7 of 12 measured SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside across 7.5 effective names. Common-bar coverage spans 12 of 24 cohort members. Capital-flow agreement is 15%, so the basket is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured move.

Price breadth21 up · 3 down+0.4% median path versus SPY
Capital-flow alignment15%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 40/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth5 episodes12 observed active sessions
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

4 timed events · 13:35–15:55 ET
TIMING READNo verified timestamped headline was found within 24 hours of the first measured price move in the available common-bar window. The move currently reads as market-led or unexplained.
  1. 5-minute inferenceCHWY registered the first material upside path

    +1.23% session path at the threshold · CHWY

  2. 5-minute inferenceDKNG registered a material upside path

    +1.36% session path at the threshold · DKNG

  3. 5-minute inferenceCIGI registered a material upside path

    +0.63% session path at the threshold · CIGI

  4. 5-minute inferenceABNB registered a material upside path

    +0.76% session path at the threshold · ABNB

2 earlier filing context receipts

WED, FEB 11ABNB filing documented shared operating contextrestructuring affecting expense · date precision only

WED, FEB 18ALRM filing documented shared operating contextrestructuring affecting expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.
THEME CONSTRUCTION

Broad move or one-stock disguise?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths

Observed movement is broad across 7.5 effective names. CHWY represents 22.3% of absolute path energy; 7 of 12 members align with the up relative path.

ConstructionBroad22.3% from the largest path
Effective names7.5 / 1212 of 24 cohort members had common bars
Direction breadth7/12 alignedupside relative path · 4 counter-moving
Largest moverCHWY 22.3%41.7% from the top two paths
CHWY22.3%Aligned contributor · path +1.83% · basket +0.15pp
DKNG19.4%Aligned contributor · path +1.59% · basket +0.13pp
CIGI10.8%Aligned contributor · path +0.89% · basket +0.07pp
ABNB9.9%Aligned contributor · path +0.81% · basket +0.07pp
EXPE9.2%Aligned contributor · path +0.76% · basket +0.06pp
FOUR8.3%Counter-move · path -0.68% · basket -0.06pp
CARG5.7%Aligned contributor · path +0.47% · basket +0.04pp
ACIW5.0%Aligned contributor · path +0.41% · basket +0.03pp
EEFT4.5%Counter-move · path -0.37% · basket -0.03pp
BILL2.9%Counter-move · path -0.23% · basket -0.02pp
ALRM1.5%Counter-move · path -0.12% · basket -0.01pp
DASH0.5%Flat / inactive path · path -0.04% · basket -0.00pp
Top six names by movement share are shown. Movement share measures absolute 5-minute path energy; signed basket contribution is equal-weight. Neither is a portfolio weight or causal attribution.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
HOW THE PRICE MOVE SPREAD

Observed session sequence

5-minute bars · inferred
  1. CHWY moved higher firstFirst member to clear the material path threshold · path +1.23%
  2. DKNG registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +1.36%
  3. CIGI registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +0.63%
  4. ABNB registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +0.76%
  5. EXPE registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +0.72%
  6. ACIW registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +0.64%

Sequence inferred from aligned 5-minute price paths; it is not a causal ordering.

RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

SPY-adjusted
Sep 11 · 13:35 ETMove visible 15:35 ETSep 11 · 15:55 ET
Group median +0.44%Strongest relative path CHWYWeakest relative path FOUR

Observed member paths adjusted against SPY. The dashed marker shows when the median move first cleared a material threshold; shading marks the latest 20% of the observed window.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

29/31 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across ABNB, CARG, CHWY, DASH, DKNG, GPN, HNGE, LYFT, NAVN, NXST, PYPL, RBLX, SHOP, SNAP, XYZ, ZETA.

restructuring affecting expense

41 Table of Contents (in millions, except percentages) 2024 2025 % Change Other expense, net $ (40) $ (112) 180 % The change in other expense, net of $72 million in 2025, was primarily due to net foreign exchange losses of $64 million, partially offset by lower impairment charges on investments in privately-held companies compared to the prior year.

ABNB 10-K · 2026-02-12
credit / rates affecting interest expense

Other income, net decreased by $42.7 million during the nine months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the prior year period, primarily due to the following: • a $40.6 million decrease due to a gain on debt extinguishment recognized in prior year periods resulting from the partial repurchase of our 2025 Notes and 2027 Notes (each as defined in Liquidity and Capital Resources below); • a $5.4 million decrease due to interest expense from the new 2025 Credit Facility (as defined in Liquidity and Capital Resources below); partially offset by • a $4.0 million increase in interest income, primarily due to a higher average balance of corporate funds, partially offset by lower yield driven by the decrease in interest rates.

BILL 10-Q · 2026-05-08
product pipeline / R&D affecting expense

Research and Development Expenses Research and development expenses decreased by $39.5 million during fiscal 2026 as compared to fiscal 2025, primarily due to the following: • a $33.0 million decrease due to a higher number of initiatives subject to capitalization of internal-use software costs; and • a $12.0 million decrease in personnel-related costs, including stock-based compensation expense, primarily driven by our RIFs executed during the current fiscal year; offset by • a $4.2 million increase in other costs, primarily from a $2.3 million increase in software licenses and subscriptions and a $0.9 million increase in shared overhead.

BILL 10-K · 2026-08-20
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

0 outsiders confirming
ITUBBNDInverse historical lead/lag · strength -0.22
ITUBSLVInverse historical lead/lag · strength -0.34

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

CPAYNot confirming

BILL · text peer

FISVNot confirming

BILL · text peer

MQNot confirming

XYZ · text peer

UBERRelationship only · live confirmation unavailable

LYFT · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
BILLPAYGPNEXPECARGHNGEDKNGGLBEPEGAZCIGIALRMRBLXDASHTOSTABNBXYZOTEXZETAPYPLSNAPEEFTACIWSHOP

17/31 active21 rising · 3 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
BILLBILL Holdings, Inc.
Most unusual · 100/100
-0.8%
Counter-move / dispersionActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
PAYPaymentus Holdings, Inc.
Elevated · 74/100
+0.2%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.
Elevated · 62/100
-0.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.
Elevated · 58/100
+1.5%
Aligned price + flowActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CARGCarGurus, Inc.
Elevated · 58/100
+3.5%
Aligned path contributorActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
HNGEHinge Health, Inc.
Elevated · 54/100
+0.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 50% of observed group sessions
DKNGDraftKings Inc.
Elevated · 49/100
+4.4%
Aligned path contributorActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
GLBEGlobal-E Online Ltd.
Elevated · 47/100
+1.8%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
PEGAPegasystems Inc.
Elevated · 44/100
+1.5%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
ZZillow Group, Inc.
Elevated · 43/100
+4.1%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 33.3% of observed group sessions
CIGIColliers International Group Inc.
Elevated · 42/100
+2.4%
Aligned path contributorActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
ALRMAlarm.com Holdings, Inc.
Elevated · 41/100
+0.5%
Counter-move / dispersionActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
RBLXRoblox Corporation
Elevated · 41/100
+1.4%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
DASHDoorDash, Inc.
Elevated · 40/100
+0.5%
Flow confirmerActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
TOSTToast, Inc.
Quiet · 35/100
+0.5%
Watch / laggardActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.
Quiet · 33/100
+1.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
XYZBlock, Inc.
Quiet · 33/100
+0.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
OTEXOpen Text Corporation
Quiet · 33/100
+2.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
ZETAZeta Global Holdings Corp.
Quiet · 32/100
-1.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 25% of observed group sessions
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.
Quiet · 32/100
+0.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
SNAPSnap Inc.
Quiet · 30/100
+2.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
EEFTEuronet Worldwide, Inc.
Quiet · 29/100
+2.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
ACIWACI Worldwide, Inc.
Quiet · 28/100
+0.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
SHOPShopify Inc.
Quiet · 25/100
+1.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
BILLBILL Holdings, Inc.Most unusual-0.8%16.7% of 12 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
PAYPaymentus Holdings, Inc.Participating+0.2%0% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Participating-0.3%8.3% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.Participating+1.5%0% of 12 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
CARGCarGurus, Inc.Participating+3.5%8.3% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
HNGEHinge Health, Inc.Participating+0.3%50% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
DKNGDraftKings Inc.Participating+4.4%16.7% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
GLBEGlobal-E Online Ltd.Participating+1.8%8.3% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
PEGAPegasystems Inc.Participating+1.5%8.3% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
ZZillow Group, Inc.Participating+4.1%33.3% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
CIGIColliers International Group Inc.Participating+2.4%16.7% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
ALRMAlarm.com Holdings, Inc.Participating+0.5%8.3% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
RBLXRoblox CorporationParticipating+1.4%0% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
DASHDoorDash, Inc.Participating+0.5%16.7% of 12 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
TOSTToast, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.5%16.7% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.6%0% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
XYZBlock, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.2%8.3% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
OTEXOpen Text CorporationQuiet / lagging+2.0%0% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
ZETAZeta Global Holdings Corp.Quiet / lagging-1.3%25% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.7%8.3% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
SNAPSnap Inc.Quiet / lagging+2.8%16.7% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
EEFTEuronet Worldwide, Inc.Quiet / lagging+2.0%8.3% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
ACIWACI Worldwide, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.3%16.7% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
SHOPShopify Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.7%8.3% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
moderate structural support

5 completed episodes across 12 active sessions provide moderate historical support. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support26 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes5Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions12Completed session observations, not trades
2026-08-191 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-08-131 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-08-05 → 2026-08-072 active sessions25% composition consistency through the episode
2026-07-20 → 2026-07-297 active sessionsNo name was active through every recorded session
2026-07-151 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
HNGE50% · 2 episodes
Z33.3% · 2 episodes
NXST25% · 3 episodes
ZETA25% · 2 episodes
ACIW16.7% · 2 episodes
BILL16.7% · 2 episodes
CIGI16.7% · 2 episodes
DASH16.7% · 1 episode
DKNG16.7% · 1 episode
FOUR16.7% · 2 episodes
NAVN16.7% · 1 episode
SNAP16.7% · 2 episodes
TOST16.7% · 2 episodes
ALRM8.3% · 1 episode
CARG8.3% · 1 episode
CHWY8.3% · 1 episode
EEFT8.3% · 1 episode
GLBE8.3% · 1 episode
GPN8.3% · 1 episode
LYFT8.3% · 1 episode
PEGA8.3% · 1 episode
PYPL8.3% · 1 episode
SHOP8.3% · 1 episode
XYZ8.3% · 1 episode
ABNB0% · 0 episodes
EXPE0% · 0 episodes
LULU0% · 0 episodes
OTEX0% · 0 episodes
PAY0% · 0 episodes
RBLX0% · 0 episodes
RDDT0% · 0 episodes