Feed / SHOP

Shopify Inc.

SHOP

Technology · 126.57 -0.2% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Shopify Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 16 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 9 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 33.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Gross margin fell 0.9 percentage points.
Company-0.2% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 16 activeSoftware - Application · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 8 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Quarterly R&D expense increased, including specified increases in employee-related costs and computer hardware/software costs that include AI usage.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if SHOP's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Technology · Software - Application

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 16 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 9 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 33.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 2.8 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 65.8% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Gross margin fell 0.9 percentage points.
  • Operating cash flow covered only 0.44x net income.
What would clarify the read
  • Quarterly R&D expense increased, including specified increases in employee-related costs and computer hardware/software costs that include AI usage.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods4
Price observations327
Usable filing statements145
Verified relationships8
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +30.1% year over year.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.65x in the latest annual period.
  • Product pipeline and R&D has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
  • Supply chain and availability has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
  • Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 3 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Net margin changed -12.1 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Foreign exchange has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 390% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 122% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

126.57
6m-2.3%12m-11.8%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-12-31$5.6B$-2.73
2023-12-31$7.1B+26.1%$0.10+2.3%
2024-12-31$8.9B+25.8%$1.55+0.5%
2025-12-31$11.6B+30.1%$0.94+0.3%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Foreign exchangenegative · 4 filings
In the six months ended June 30, 2026, other income, net was driven by interest income of $141 million recognized on marketable securities compared to interest income of $171 million recognized on marketable securities for the same period in 2025 and net loss…
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Product pipeline and R&Dpositive · 4 filings
Research and development expenses increased for the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, due to increases of $59 million in computer hardware and software costs, which includes AI-related usage, and $47 million in employee-relat…
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Supply chain and availabilitypositive · 4 filings
The increase was also driven by higher GMV resulting in an increase in subscription fees from the variable component of certain subscription contracts.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Demand and volumepositive · 3 filings
Seasonality Our business is affected by seasonality due to holiday demand, which historically has resulted in higher GMV and revenue during our fourth quarter, which ends on December 31.
10-K · Feb 11, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 14.3× · EV/sales 14.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

126.57-0.2% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for SHOP. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing presents a mixed picture

10-Q filed 2026-08-05 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-06.

mixed
OperationsconstructiveEvidence score +4
liquiditycautiousEvidence score -1
valuationpremium

Capital and cash conversion

Cash conversion improved

supportive

Capital-spending intensity declined while free-cash-flow margin improved.

Capital spending YoY
-33.3%
Capital spending / revenue
+0.1%
Free-cash-flow margin
+18.3%
FCF margin change
+2.5 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 33.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 2.8 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 65.8% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Gross margin fell 0.9 percentage points.
  • Operating cash flow covered only 0.44x net income.

Filing receipts

Factors Affecting the Comparability of Our Results Change in Revenue Mix As a result of the continued growth of Shopify Payments, referral fees, other transaction services and other services rendered as part of strategic partnerships and Shopify Capital, our revenues from merchant solutions have increased.

In connection with expanding our operations internationally, we anticipate a growing proportion of our revenues and cost of sales transactions to be incurred in foreign currencies as compared to USD due to increased Shopify Payments, Shopify Capital, subscriptions and other billings in select countries in local currency.

While our total revenues have increased in recent periods, the mix has shifted towards merchant solutions revenue, most notably in the fourth quarter due to higher order volumes facilitated during the holiday season and the resulting Shopify Payments revenue during this period.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind SHOP

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depended on by

KVYOKlaviyo, Inc.partnerMay 5, 2026

In July 2022, we completed a series of transactions to memorialize our strategic partnership with Shopify, which established Klaviyo as the recommended email solution for all Shopify Plus merchants.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 10 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

SHOP is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Software - Application. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.