Themes / Group
Inactive · newly observed relationshipLive session · 12:15 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Regional Banks · SFNC

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

12 of 12 measured members are falling. Capital-flow confirmation is unavailable.

Price breadth12 of 12 fallingRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignmentUnavailablePrice breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowLow_pressureActivity score 26/100
Evidence depth0 support daysLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

2 earlier filing context receipts

WED, FEB 11ASB filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

TUE, MAY 5SFNC filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

11/12 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across CUBI, FRME, NIC, PB, SFNC, SSB, TCBI, WSBC.

credit / rates affecting interest expense

“The decrease due to rates was partially offset by a $2.9 million increase in interest expense attributable to deposit volume over the period.”

SFNC 10-Q · 2026-05-06
credit / rates

“These changes were primarily due to a reduction of higher rate, non-relationship wholesale and public fund deposits, as well as higher rate other borrowings, as part of the balance sheet repositioning.”

SFNC 10-Q · 2025-11-06
demand / volume

“Average deposits of $37.8 billion increased $3.3 billion, or 9%, from the first six months of 2025, primarily due to the American National acquisition, as well as organic growth in noninterest bearing demand, savings and other time deposits, partially offset by a decrease in brokered CDs.”

ASB 10-Q · 2026-08-04
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

0 outsiders confirming
ASB → UVXYPositive historical lead/lag · strength 0.36
ASB → SLVInverse historical lead/lag · strength -0.25

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

No high-confidence filing-linked outsiders are available for this group yet.

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
SSBTCBICUBISFNCASBHWCAXNICFRMEOZKWSBCPB

0/12 active0 rising · 12 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
SSBSouthState Bank Corporation
Elevated · 100/100
-0.7%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
Elevated · 89/100
-1.3%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
CUBICustomers Bancorp, Inc.
Elevated · 81/100
-1.8%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
SFNCSimmons First National Corporation
Most unusual · 79/100
-1.0%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
ASBAssociated Banc-Corp
Elevated · 70/100
-1.2%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
HWCHancock Whitney Corporation
Elevated · 69/100
-0.7%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
AXAxos Financial, Inc.
Elevated · 63/100
-1.6%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
NICNicolet Bankshares, Inc.
Elevated · 61/100
-0.6%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
FRMEFirst Merchants Corporation
Elevated · 60/100
-0.6%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
OZKBank OZK
Elevated · 55/100
-0.7%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
WSBCWesBanco, Inc.
Elevated · 54/100
-0.6%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.
Elevated · 46/100
-0.2%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
SSBSouthState Bank CorporationParticipating-0.7%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.Participating-1.3%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
CUBICustomers Bancorp, Inc.Participating-1.8%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
SFNCSimmons First National CorporationMost unusual-1.0%—Most unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
ASBAssociated Banc-CorpParticipating-1.2%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
HWCHancock Whitney CorporationParticipating-0.7%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
AXAxos Financial, Inc.Participating-1.6%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
NICNicolet Bankshares, Inc.Participating-0.6%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
FRMEFirst Merchants CorporationParticipating-0.6%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
OZKBank OZKParticipating-0.7%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
WSBCWesBanco, Inc.Participating-0.6%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.Participating-0.2%—Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

No point-in-time live observations have completed yet.
Low structural sample

Only 0 completed episodes across 0 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support0 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes0Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions0Completed session observations, not trades

Historical cohort observations are not available yet.