Feed / XPO

XPO, Inc.

XPO

Industrials · 182.31 -1.0% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

XPO, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 12 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 2 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 7.3% versus the comparable filing period.
Company-1.0% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 12 activeTrucking & Logistics · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 2 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • XPO's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if XPO's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Trucking

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 12 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 2 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 7.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 0.6 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 46.4% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • XPO's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations327
Usable filing statements52
Verified relationships3
Evidence supporting the case
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Labor availability and costs has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
  • Macroeconomic conditions has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 145% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

182.31
6m-6.0%12m+39.6%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$7.2B+16.8%$2.93+23.9%
2022-12-31$7.7B+7.2%$5.76+1.8%
2023-12-31$7.7B+0.3%$1.60+1.7%
2024-12-31$8.1B+4.2%$3.23+1.7%
2025-12-31$8.2B+1.1%$2.64-0.8%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratespositive · 4 filings
The change in the fair value due to foreign exchange remains in AOCI and the initial component excluded from effectiveness testing will initially remain in AOCI and then will be reclassified from AOCI to Interest expense each period in a systematic manner.
10-Q · Apr 30, 2026
Foreign exchangemixed · 4 filings
The change in the fair value due to foreign exchange remains in AOCI and the initial component excluded from effectiveness testing will initially remain in AOCI and then will be reclassified from AOCI to Interest expense each period in a systematic manner.
10-Q · Apr 30, 2026
Labor availability and costsnegative · 4 filings
The increase in adjusted EBITDA reflects higher yield and shipments per day, higher fuel surcharge revenue, productivity improvements, lower purchased transportation, and lower vehicular insurance costs, partially offset by lower average weight per shipment,…
10-Q · Apr 30, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionsnegative · 4 filings
The increase in adjusted EBITDA reflects higher yield and shipments per day, higher fuel surcharge revenue, productivity improvements, lower purchased transportation, and lower vehicular insurance costs, partially offset by lower average weight per shipment,…
10-Q · Apr 30, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 2.7× · EV/sales 3.0×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

182.31-1.0% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for XPO. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

Fundamentals strengthened in the latest filing

10-Q filed 2026-04-30 against the comparable filing from 2025-04-30.

constructive
OperationsconstructiveEvidence score +3
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationmixed

What improved

  • Revenue increased 7.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 0.6 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 46.4% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

No thresholded deterioration was identified.

Filing receipts

Depreciation and amortization expense increased to $97 million in the first quarter of 2026 compared with $90 million for the same quarter in 2025, primarily due to the impact of capital investments in property, tractors and trailers.

The increase in fuel surcharge revenue was primarily driven by higher diesel prices.

The year-over-year decrease is primarily due to a lower average debt balance as well as lower interest rates on our variable rate debt.

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind XPO

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.competitorFeb 5, 2026

Our competitors in North America include local, regional and national LTL carriers that offer the same services we provide, such as Old Dominion Freight Line and Saia.

SAIASaia, Inc.competitorFeb 5, 2026

Our competitors in North America include local, regional and national LTL carriers that offer the same services we provide, such as Old Dominion Freight Line and Saia.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 5 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

XPO is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Trucking & Logistics. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 2 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.