Feed / SJM

The J. M. Smucker Company

SJM

Consumer Defensive · 118.94 -1.5% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 30 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

The J. M. Smucker Company's move is spreading beyond its market group.

SJM accounts for 9.1% of the group's measured movement across 7.1 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 9 of 9 session-normalized paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 13%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

Session-normalized 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#5 of 9 by movement share
Group movement share9.1%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-2.05%aligned
Effective breadth7.1 / 9broad
Relative alignment9/9downside path · 0 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement13%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

CAG, KHC, CPB moved materially before SJM. SJM crossed its material path threshold at 10:05 ET, 5 minutes after the first measured mover. GIS, MDLZ, KMB followed.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

5 of 9 members in Packaged Foods are active. 0 of 5 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 6 of 9 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • HSY remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 3 of 9 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

SJM accounts for 9.1% of the group's measured movement across 7.1 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 9 of 9 session-normalized paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 13%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 6 of 9 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • HSY remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 1, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations615
Usable filing statements213
Verified relationships5
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating margin changed +11.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed +12.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Energy and commodity prices has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Input and raw-material costs has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Macroeconomic conditions has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
  • Restructuring and cost reductions has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 98% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

118.94
6m+23.3%12m+10.7%24m+0.6%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-04-30$8.0B-0.0%$5.83-3.2%
2023-04-30$8.5B+6.6%$-0.86-2.1%
2024-04-30$8.2B-4.1%$7.13-1.7%
2025-04-30$8.7B+6.7%$-11.57+1.9%
2026-04-30$9.1B+3.7%$-1.30+0.3%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesmixed · 6 filings
“This differs from interest expense due to the timing of interest payments, capitalized interest, the effect of interest rate contracts, amortization of debt issuance costs and discounts, and the payment of other debt fees.”
10-Q · Aug 26, 2026 ↗
Foreign exchangemixed · 6 filings
“Revenues from customers outside the U.S., subject to foreign currency exchange, represented 3 percent of net sales during the three months ended July 31, 2026.”
10-Q · Aug 26, 2026 ↗
Energy and commodity pricesnegative · 5 filings
“Segment profit decreased $93.6, primarily reflecting higher costs, inclusive of commodity costs and tariffs, unfavorable volume/mix, and higher marketing spend, partially offset by higher net price realization.”
10-K · Jun 9, 2026 ↗
Input and raw-material costsnegative · 5 filings
“The cash required to fund working capital decreased compared to the prior year, primarily driven by lower inventories, reflecting moderation in input cost inflation during the current year, the timing of settling our derivative instruments, and a reduction in…”
10-K · Jun 9, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.4× · EV/sales 2.1×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

118.94-1.5% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 30 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for SJM. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for SJM. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind SJM

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

WMT34.0% of SJMcustomerJun 9, 2026 ▾

“3 Customers: Sales to Walmart Inc.”

BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.distributorJun 18, 2025 ▾

“The transaction included products sold under the Voortman brand, inclusive of certain trademarks, a leased manufacturing facility in Burlington, Ontario, and approximately 300 employees who supported the business.”

QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc.partnerJun 18, 2025 ▾

“Canada coffee Folgers Tim Hortons (A) Restaurant Brands International Inc.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 9 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

SJM is currently a Early Follower in the organic co-movement group Packaged Foods. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.