Feed / KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

KDP

Consumer Defensive · 30.66 -1.2% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 1 Oct, 15:45 GMT-4

Market read

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s move is being confirmed by its market group.

KDP accounts for 9.6% of the group's measured movement across 7.5 effective names. all 10 measured members are falling in raw terms, but 0 of 10 session-normalized paths align to the mixed. Capital-flow agreement is 18%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

Session-normalized 5m paths
Role in the moveIndependent mover#7 of 10 by movement share
Group movement share9.6%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+0.81%mixed
Effective breadth7.5 / 10broad
Relative alignment0/10mixed path · 0 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement18%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

CL, PG, CLX moved materially before KDP. KDP crossed its material path threshold at 09:35 ET, 5 minutes after the first measured mover. MO, FIZZ, HSY followed.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 9.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 3.0 percentage points.
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

5 of 10 members in Packaged Foods & Beverages are active. 0 of 8 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 7 of 10 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as COKE begins moving with the group.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 3 of 10 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

KDP accounts for 9.6% of the group's measured movement across 7.5 effective names. all 10 measured members are falling in raw terms, but 0 of 10 session-normalized paths align to the mixed. Capital-flow agreement is 18%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 9.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.04x, improving versus the comparable period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating margin fell 3.0 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 47.8% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Gross margin fell 1.8 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • At least 7 of 10 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as COKE begins moving with the group.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 1, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations615
Usable filing statements120
Verified relationships10
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +8.2% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +4.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed +3.1 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
Evidence challenging the case

No qualifying adverse evidence was identified; that is not proof there is no downside.

Questions before a position
  • P/E is 59% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

30.35
6m+15.3%12m+18.2%24m-19.2%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$12.7B+9.2%$1.50+0.4%
2022-12-31$14.1B+10.8%$1.01+0.0%
2023-12-31$14.8B+5.4%$1.55-1.4%
2024-12-31$15.4B+3.6%$1.05-2.8%
2025-12-31$16.6B+8.2%$1.53-0.4%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Input and raw-material costsmixed · 5 filings
“This performance was driven by the gross profit impact of net sales growth (24 percentage points), which was partially offset by a net unfavorable impact from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity, inclusive of tariffs (7 percentage points), inc…”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
Labor availability and costsmixed · 5 filings
“This performance was driven by the gross profit impact of net sales growth (24 percentage points), which was partially offset by a net unfavorable impact from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity, inclusive of tariffs (7 percentage points), inc…”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
Credit and interest ratesmixed · 4 filings
“Net income decreased 54.9% to $480 million for the first six months of 2026, driven by reduced income from operations, increased interest expense, and the increased effective tax rate.”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
Tariffs and trade policymixed · 4 filings
“Income from operations decreased 29.0% to $309 million for the first six months of 2026, driven by a net unfavorable impact from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity, inclusive of tariffs (22 percentage points), costs associated with the integr…”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 2.5× · EV/sales 3.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

30.66-1.2% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 15:45 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for KDP. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-04-23 against the comparable filing from 2025-04-24.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -1
liquidityconstructiveEvidence score +1
valuationdiscount

What improved

  • Revenue increased 9.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.04x, improving versus the comparable period.

What weakened

  • Operating margin fell 3.0 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 47.8% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Gross margin fell 1.8 percentage points.

Filing receipts

“Other expense (income), net reflected expense of $118 million for the first quarter of 2026, primarily driven by the realized and unrealized losses on FX forward contracts related to the funding of the JDE Peet’s Acquisition.”

“This performance was driven by the gross profit impact of net sales growth (27 percentage points), which was partially offset by a net unfavorable impact from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity, inclusive of tariffs (9 percentage points), increased transportation and warehousing expenses (4 percentage points), higher labor costs (3 percentage points), and increased marketing expenses (2 percentage points).”

“Income from operations decreased 20.8% to $160 million for the first quarter of 2026, driven by a net unfavorable impact from changes in ingredients, materials, and productivity, inclusive of tariffs (28 percentage points), the volume / mix decline (20 percentage points) and increased marketing expenses (3 percentage points), partially offset by the benefit of higher net price realization (26 percentage points).”

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind KDP

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

MSMorgan StanleyinvesteeFeb 24, 2026 ▾

“20 Delayed Draw Term Loan Agreement dated as December 18, 2025, among Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., the lenders party thereto and Morgan Stanley Senior Funding, Inc., as administrative agent 8-K 12/19/2025 10.1 10.”

JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.lenderFeb 24, 2026 ▾

“10.2 * Revolving Credit Agreement Amendment, dated as of September 30, 2025, among Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., the lenders party thereto and JPMorgan Chase, Bank, N.A., as administrative agent.”

Depended on by

CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.customerFeb 27, 2026 ▾

“CUSTOMERS The Company’s largest beverage can customers consist of many of the leading manufacturers and marketers of packaged consumer products in the world, including Anheuser-Busch InBev, Coca-Cola, Heineken, Keurig Dr Pepper, Molson Coors, Pepsi-Cola, and…”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 11 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

KDP is currently a Early Follower in the organic co-movement group Packaged Foods & Beverages. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.