From StructContinue beyond “Voyager’s Lockheed Relationship Has Two Seats at the TableBack to the brief ↗Feed / NOC

Northrop Grumman Corporation

NOC

Industrials · 516.10 +0.1% today

You’ve read what changed. Here’s whether the market is confirming it.

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 11 Sept, 10:55 GMT-4

Market read

Northrop Grumman Corporation's move is spreading beyond its market group.

NOC accounts for 2.9% of the group's measured movement across 4.3 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 9 of 12 session-normalized paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 13%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

Session-normalized 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#8 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share2.9%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-0.78%aligned
Effective breadth4.3 / 12balanced
Relative alignment9/12downside path · 0 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement13%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

LHX moved materially before NOC. NOC crossed its material path threshold at 11:30 ET. HII, DRS, KRMN followed.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 4.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating cash flow covered only -1.89x net income.
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

5 of 12 members in Aerospace & Defense are active. 0 of 8 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 8 of 12 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • SAIC remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 4 of 12 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

NOC accounts for 2.9% of the group's measured movement across 4.3 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 9 of 12 session-normalized paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 13%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 4.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 4.0 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 81.9% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating cash flow covered only -1.89x net income.
What would clarify the read
  • At least 8 of 12 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • SAIC remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations601
Usable filing statements194
Verified relationships14
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.14x in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Capital investment and capacity has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 49% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 37% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

518.78
6m-29.2%12m-9.2%24m-0.1%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$35.7B-3.1%$43.54-4.0%
2022-12-31$36.6B+2.6%$31.47-3.3%
2023-12-31$39.3B+7.3%$13.53-2.3%
2024-12-31$41.0B+4.4%$28.34-3.1%
2025-12-31$42.0B+2.2%$29.08-2.4%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitymixed · 5 filings
The table below reconciles net cash used in operating activities to adjusted free cash flow: Six Months Ended June 30 % $ in millions 2026 2025 Change Net cash used in operating activities $ (376) $ (697) 46 % Capital expenditures (469) (487) (4) % Adjusted f…
10-Q · Jul 21, 2026
Demand and volumemixed · 5 filings
Some of the Administration’s executive orders are subject to ongoing court challenges.
10-Q · Jul 21, 2026
Credit and interest ratesnegative · 4 filings
Financing Cash Flow Year to date 2026 net cash used in financing activities decreased $210 million, or 13 percent, as compared with the same period in 2025, primarily due to an $823 million decrease in share repurchases, partially offset by $566 million in ne…
10-Q · Jul 21, 2026
Product pipeline and R&Dmixed · 3 filings
Non-divestiture-related unallocated corporate expense increased primarily due to higher deferred state tax expense largely related to the repeal of mandatory capitalization of research and development expenditures under IRC Section 174.
10-K · Jan 27, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.8× · EV/sales 2.0×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

516.10+0.1% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 10:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for NOC. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

The latest filing presents a mixed picture

10-Q filed 2026-04-21 against the comparable filing from 2025-04-22.

mixed
OperationsconstructiveEvidence score +3
liquiditycautiousEvidence score -1
valuationdiscount

What improved

  • Revenue increased 4.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 4.0 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 81.9% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Operating cash flow covered only -1.89x net income.

Filing receipts

DEFENSE SYSTEMS Three Months Ended March 31 % $ in millions 2026 2025 Change Sales $ 1,899 $ 1,805 5 % Less: Training services sales — (72) Organic sales $ 1,899 $ 1,733 10 % Operating income $ 184 $ 179 3 % Operating margin rate 9.7 % 9.9 % Sales First quarter 2026 sales increased $94 million, or 5 percent, primarily due to higher volume on Sentinel as that program continues to ramp, as well as higher volume on tactical solid rocket motor programs and across the Integrated Battle Command System (IBCS) portfolio.

MISSION SYSTEMS Three Months Ended March 31 % $ in millions 2026 2025 Change Sales $ 2,861 $ 2,807 2 % Operating income 433 361 20 % Operating margin rate 15.1 % 12.9 % Sales First quarter 2026 sales increased $54 million, or 2 percent, primarily due to ramp-up on restricted airborne radar programs and higher volume on marine systems programs, partially offset by lower volume on the Scalable Agile Beam Radar program and airborne electronic warfare programs.

SPACE SYSTEMS Three Months Ended March 31 % $ in millions 2026 2025 Change Sales $ 2,480 $ 2,568 (3) % Operating income 235 283 (17) % Operating margin rate 9.5 % 11.0 % Sales First quarter 2026 sales decreased $88 million, or 3 percent, primarily due to wind-down of work on the NGI program, which reduced sales by $98 million, as well as lower sales on the GEM 63XL program related to the unfavorable EAC adjustment described below.

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind NOC

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

BAThe Boeing CompanycompetitorJan 27, 2026

COMPETITIVE CONDITIONS We compete with many companies in the defense, intelligence and federal civil markets, including The Boeing Company, General Dynamics Corporation, L3Harris Technologies, Inc., Lockheed Martin Corporation, and RTX Corporation, as well as…

GDGeneral Dynamics CorporationcompetitorJan 27, 2026

COMPETITIVE CONDITIONS We compete with many companies in the defense, intelligence and federal civil markets, including The Boeing Company, General Dynamics Corporation, L3Harris Technologies, Inc., Lockheed Martin Corporation, and RTX Corporation, as well as…

Depended on by

FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.partnerMay 4, 2026

Our collaborations with leading national security agencies and aerospace companies, such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, Northrop Grumman, L3Harris, the U.S.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 31 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

NOC is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Aerospace & Defense. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.