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Firefly Aerospace Inc.

FLY

Industrials · 21.81 -4.7% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 11:50 GMT-4

Market read

Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 7 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 4 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Company-4.7% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 7 activeCommercial Space · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 4 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Revolver covenant requires maintaining minimum liquidity of $381.3 million, tested monthly beginning April 30, 2026.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if FLY's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 7 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 4 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • Revolver covenant requires maintaining minimum liquidity of $381.3 million, tested monthly beginning April 30, 2026.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 10, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods3
Price observations274
Usable filing statements139
Verified relationships4
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +163.0% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +181.5 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed +193.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case

No qualifying adverse evidence was identified; that is not proof there is no downside.

Questions before a position

No credible peer-relative valuation comparison is available yet.

Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 9, 2026

21.82
6m+12.5%12m-49.0%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2023-12-31$55.2M$-13.05
2024-12-31$60.8M+10.1%$-20.74+7.0%
2025-12-31$159.9M+163.0%$-4.83

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumemixed · 5 filings
Backlog represents our estimate of the revenue we expect to realize in future periods as a result of performing work on contracts that have been awarded to us, net of any revenue already recognized.
10-Q · Aug 11, 2026
Supply chain and availabilitymixed · 5 filings
Due to the nature of our supplier and customer contracts as well as the timing of payments, we expect to continue to fluctuate between a surplus and a deficit of net working capital.
10-Q · Aug 11, 2026
Credit and interest ratesnegative · 2 filings
The net increase in non-cash expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2024 was primarily driven by a $7.0 million increase in depreciation and amortization expense due to additional construction pro…
10-Q · Nov 12, 2025

Valuation discipline

Peer-relative valuation withheld

Jodie found no industry-matched filing peers suitable for a valuation comparison. It will not substitute broader financial-sector names.

Scenario scaffold

Fewer than 4 annual revenue periods; too little history to scaffold scenarios.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

21.81-4.7% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 11:50 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for FLY. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for FLY. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind FLY

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

LMTLockheed Martin CorporationpartnerMay 4, 2026

Our collaborations with leading national security agencies and aerospace companies, such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, Northrop Grumman, L3Harris, the U.S.

NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationpartnerMay 4, 2026

Our collaborations with leading national security agencies and aerospace companies, such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, Northrop Grumman, L3Harris, the U.S.

Depended on by

PLPlanet Labs PBCsupplierJun 5, 2026

There are also a limited number of suppliers able to launch our satellites, including ArianeSpace SA, Blue Origin, LLC, Firefly Aerospace Inc., ISAR Aerospace Technologies Inc., Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd., NewSpace India Limited (Indian Space Research…

Filing peers

No filing peers are available for this name yet.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 1 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

FLY is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Commercial Space. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.