“Backlog represents our estimate of the revenue we expect to realize in future periods as a result of performing work on contracts that have been awarded to us, net of any revenue already recognized.”10-Q · Aug 11, 2026 ↗
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
FLY
Market read
Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.
No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 7 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 4 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
- Revolver covenant requires maintaining minimum liquidity of $381.3 million, tested monthly beginning April 30, 2026.
Invalidation: The isolated read changes if FLY's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.
Research brief
The story so far
No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 7 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 4 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.
No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.
- Revolver covenant requires maintaining minimum liquidity of $381.3 million, tested monthly beginning April 30, 2026.
Company research
Understand the business, not just the ticker
Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.
- Which operating variable is changing?
- Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
- What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
- Latest annual revenue changed +163.0% year over year.
- Operating margin changed +181.5 percentage points in the latest annual period.
- Net margin changed +193.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
No qualifying adverse evidence was identified; that is not proof there is no downside.
No credible peer-relative valuation comparison is available yet.
Price as of Sep 9, 2026
21.82Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.
What management says matters
Persistent and emerging business drivers
“Due to the nature of our supplier and customer contracts as well as the timing of payments, we expect to continue to fluctuate between a surplus and a deficit of net working capital.”10-Q · Aug 11, 2026 ↗
“The net increase in non-cash expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2024 was primarily driven by a $7.0 million increase in depreciation and amortization expense due to additional construction pro…”10-Q · Nov 12, 2025 ↗
“The U.S.”10-K · Mar 20, 2026 ↗
Valuation discipline
Peer-relative valuation withheld
Jodie found no industry-matched filing peers suitable for a valuation comparison. It will not substitute broader financial-sector names.
Fewer than 4 annual revenue periods; too little history to scaffold scenarios.
Price action
How the market is pricing the story
Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 11:50 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.
Developments
No sourced recent-development timeline yet
Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for FLY. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.
Business and financial condition
Reported financial figures are not available yet
Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.
Filing analysis
No comparable filing assessment is available yet
Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for FLY. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.
Business ecosystem
The relationships behind FLY
Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.
Depends on
LMTLockheed Martin CorporationpartnerMay 4, 2026 ▾
“Our collaborations with leading national security agencies and aerospace companies, such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, Northrop Grumman, L3Harris, the U.S.”
NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationpartnerMay 4, 2026 ▾
“Our collaborations with leading national security agencies and aerospace companies, such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, Northrop Grumman, L3Harris, the U.S.”
Depended on by
PLPlanet Labs PBCsupplierJun 5, 2026 ▾
“There are also a limited number of suppliers able to launch our satellites, including ArianeSpace SA, Blue Origin, LLC, Firefly Aerospace Inc., ISAR Aerospace Technologies Inc., Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd., NewSpace India Limited (Indian Space Research…”
Filing peers
No filing peers are available for this name yet.
Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 1 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →
What is moving around it
Live connections
FLY is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Commercial Space. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.
Context history
Theme membership history
No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.