Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Oct 5 · 18:24 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Software Stocks

THE TRADER READBroad relative move, confirmed beyond the cohort—but not by flow

7 of 12 measured SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside across 9.9 effective names. Common-bar coverage spans 12 of 24 cohort members. CXM is also moving with filing-linked members. Capital-flow agreement is 1%, so the basket is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured move.

Price breadth22 up · 2 down-0.5% median path versus SPY
Capital-flow alignment1%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 23/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth26 support daysLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

4 timed events · 10:20–15:55 ET
TIMING READNo verified timestamped headline was found within 24 hours of the first measured price move in the available common-bar window. The move currently reads as market-led or unexplained.
  1. 5-minute inferenceHUBS registered the first material upside path

    +1.40% session path at the threshold · HUBS

  2. 5-minute inferenceAGYS registered a material downside path

    -1.03% session path at the threshold · AGYS

  3. 5-minute inferenceFIVN registered a material downside path

    -0.91% session path at the threshold · FIVN

  4. 5-minute inferenceGLBE registered a material downside path

    -1.18% session path at the threshold · GLBE

2 earlier filing context receipts

WED, FEB 18APPN filing documented shared operating contextrestructuring affecting expense · date precision only

TUE, JUN 23AI filing documented shared operating contextrestructuring affecting expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.
THEME CONSTRUCTION

Broad move or one-stock disguise?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths

Observed movement is broad across 9.9 effective names. HUBS represents 13.5% of absolute path energy; 7 of 12 members align with the down relative path.

ConstructionBroad13.5% from the largest path
Effective names9.9 / 1212 of 24 cohort members had common bars
Direction breadth7/12 aligneddownside relative path · 5 counter-moving
Largest moverHUBS 13.5%26.8% from the top two paths
HUBS13.5%Counter-move · path +1.87% · basket +0.16pp
AGYS13.3%Aligned contributor · path -1.84% · basket -0.15pp
FIVN12.8%Aligned contributor · path -1.78% · basket -0.15pp
GLBE11.9%Aligned contributor · path -1.66% · basket -0.14pp
AI9.5%Aligned contributor · path -1.31% · basket -0.11pp
EPAM8.9%Counter-move · path +1.23% · basket +0.10pp
IOT7.7%Aligned contributor · path -1.07% · basket -0.09pp
ISRG6.5%Counter-move · path +0.90% · basket +0.07pp
COIN5.8%Aligned contributor · path -0.81% · basket -0.07pp
ASAN5.1%Counter-move · path +0.70% · basket +0.06pp
FVRR3.8%Counter-move · path +0.53% · basket +0.04pp
APPN1.1%Aligned contributor · path -0.15% · basket -0.01pp
Top six names by movement share are shown. Movement share measures absolute 5-minute path energy; signed basket contribution is equal-weight. Neither is a portfolio weight or causal attribution.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
HOW THE PRICE MOVE SPREAD

Observed session sequence

5-minute bars · inferred
  1. HUBS moved higher firstFirst member to clear the material path threshold · path +1.40%
  2. AGYS registered a material lower path0m after the first price move · path -1.03%
  3. FIVN registered a material lower path0m after the first price move · path -0.91%
  4. GLBE registered a material lower path0m after the first price move · path -1.18%
  5. AI registered a material lower path0m after the first price move · path -0.66%
  6. EPAM registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +1.09%

Sequence inferred from aligned 5-minute price paths; it is not a causal ordering.

RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

SPY-adjusted
Oct 5 · 10:20 ETMove visible 15:25 ETOct 5 · 15:55 ET
Group median -0.48%Strongest relative path HUBSWeakest relative path AGYS

Observed member paths adjusted against SPY. The dashed marker shows when the median move first cleared a material threshold; shading marks the latest 20% of the observed window.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

22/28 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across AI, COIN, EPAM, FIVN, HUBS, IOT, ISRG, MH, NOW, OSPN, PD, QNST, STE, TEAM, TRMB, WDAY.

restructuring affecting expense

“The increase was primarily attributable to an increase in cash paid for payroll and related costs, restructuring costs, and to vendors, partially offset by cash received from customers.”

AI 10-K · 2026-06-24
product pipeline / R&D affecting expense

“We expect future cash tax savings resulting from the full expensing of U.S. research and development expenses under the OBBBA.”

AGYS 10-K · 2026-05-21
credit / rates affecting interest expense

“34 Interest Expense Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 2025 $ Change % Change (dollars in thousands) Interest expense $ 4,172 $ 5,318 $ (1,146) (21.5) % % of revenue 2.1 % 3.2 % Interest expense decreased by $1.1 million in the three months ended March 31, 2026 as compared to the corresponding period in 2025 primarily due to a lower effective interest rate and lower outstanding principal compared to the prior year period.”

APPN 10-Q · 2026-05-07
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

1 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

CXMMoving with group

SPT · text peer

CRMNot confirming

AI · text peer

WKRelationship only · live confirmation unavailable

WDAY · text peer

AVPTNot confirming

NOW · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
FVRRISRGLSPDASANSTEWIXTEAMMNDYPDTRMBEPAMAGYSAPPNMHHUBSFIVNAIMCOWDAYNOWIOTGLBEOSPNCOIN

11/28 active22 rising · 2 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
FVRRFiverr International Ltd.
Most unusual · 100/100
+0.5%
Counter-move / dispersionActive in 0% of observed group sessions
ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.
Elevated · 53/100
+3.7%
Counter-move / dispersionActive in 0% of observed group sessions
LSPDLightspeed Commerce Inc.
Elevated · 49/100
+4.0%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
ASANAsana, Inc.
Elevated · 45/100
+6.2%
Counter-move / dispersionActive in 0% of observed group sessions
STESTERIS plc
Elevated · 35/100
+1.2%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
WIXWix.com Ltd.
Elevated · 34/100
+2.1%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
TEAMAtlassian Corporation
Elevated · 32/100
+4.8%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
MNDYmonday.com Ltd.
Elevated · 31/100
+4.9%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
PDPagerDuty, Inc.
Elevated · 29/100
+1.8%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
TRMBTrimble Inc.
Quiet · 22/100
+2.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
EPAMEPAM Systems, Inc.
Quiet · 22/100
+1.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
AGYSAgilysys, Inc.
Quiet · 22/100
-0.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
APPNAppian Corporation
Quiet · 22/100
+4.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
MHMcGraw Hill, Inc.
Quiet · 21/100
-1.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
HUBSHubSpot, Inc.
Quiet · 21/100
+2.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
FIVNFive9, Inc.
Quiet · 18/100
+0.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
AIC3.ai, Inc.
Quiet · 17/100
+0.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
MCOMoody's Corporation
Quiet · 16/100
+1.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
WDAYWorkday, Inc.
Quiet · 14/100
+1.5%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
NOWServiceNow, Inc.
Quiet · 11/100
+1.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
IOTSamsara Inc.
Quiet · 11/100
+3.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
GLBEGlobal-E Online Ltd.
Quiet · 7/100
+1.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
OSPNOneSpan Inc.
Quiet · 6/100
+1.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.
Quiet · 3/100
+2.9%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
FVRRFiverr International Ltd.Most unusual+0.5%0% of 0 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.Participating+3.7%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
LSPDLightspeed Commerce Inc.Participating+4.0%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
ASANAsana, Inc.Participating+6.2%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
STESTERIS plcParticipating+1.2%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
WIXWix.com Ltd.Participating+2.1%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
TEAMAtlassian CorporationParticipating+4.8%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
MNDYmonday.com Ltd.Participating+4.9%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
PDPagerDuty, Inc.Participating+1.8%0% of 0 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
TRMBTrimble Inc.Quiet / lagging+2.2%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
EPAMEPAM Systems, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.6%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
AGYSAgilysys, Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.2%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
APPNAppian CorporationQuiet / lagging+4.0%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
MHMcGraw Hill, Inc.Quiet / lagging-1.6%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
HUBSHubSpot, Inc.Quiet / lagging+2.8%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
FIVNFive9, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.1%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
AIC3.ai, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.8%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
MCOMoody's CorporationQuiet / lagging+1.6%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
WDAYWorkday, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.5%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
NOWServiceNow, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.3%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
IOTSamsara Inc.Quiet / lagging+3.1%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
GLBEGlobal-E Online Ltd.Quiet / lagging+1.0%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
OSPNOneSpan Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.7%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.Quiet / lagging+2.9%0% of 0 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
Low structural sample

Only 0 completed episodes across 0 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support26 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes0Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions0Completed session observations, not trades
2026-10-0528 names in the durable cohort
2026-10-0228 names in the durable cohort
2026-10-0140 names in the durable cohort
2026-09-3036 names in the durable cohort
2026-09-2917 names in the durable cohort
2026-09-2825 names in the durable cohort
2026-09-2536 names in the durable cohort
2026-09-2423 names in the durable cohort
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
AGYS0% · 0 episodes
AI0% · 0 episodes
APPN0% · 0 episodes
ASAN0% · 0 episodes
COIN0% · 0 episodes
EPAM0% · 0 episodes
FIVN0% · 0 episodes
FVRR0% · 0 episodes
GLBE0% · 0 episodes
HUBS0% · 0 episodes
IOT0% · 0 episodes
ISRG0% · 0 episodes
LSPD0% · 0 episodes
MCO0% · 0 episodes
MH0% · 0 episodes
MNDY0% · 0 episodes
NOW0% · 0 episodes
OSPN0% · 0 episodes
PD0% · 0 episodes
QNST0% · 0 episodes
RDVT0% · 0 episodes
SAP0% · 0 episodes
SPT0% · 0 episodes
STE0% · 0 episodes
TEAM0% · 0 episodes
TRMB0% · 0 episodes
WDAY0% · 0 episodes
WIX0% · 0 episodes