Themes / Group
Active · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Jul 14 · 18:03 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Insurance Providers

THE TRADER READBroad price confirmation, weak flow alignment

4 of 4 measured members are rising. Capital-flow agreement is 51%, so the basket is not yet clean.

Price breadth4 of 4 risingRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignment51%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowNormalActivity score 58/100 · lift 1.0×
Evidence depth4 episodesLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

No high-confidence shared filing driver is available. The market relationship is observed, but the cause remains unexplained.

CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

0 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

SIGINot confirming

RLI · text peer

UFCSRelationship only · live confirmation unavailable

RLI · text peer

TRVNot confirming

RLI · text peer

AXSNot confirming

RLI · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
RLIERIEEIGSAFTHMNPLMRAMSFTHG

6/8 active4 rising · 0 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
RLIRLI Corp.
Most unusual · 100/100
+0.5%
Flow confirmerActive in 41.7% of observed group sessions
ERIEErie Indemnity Company
Elevated · 97/100
+0.9%
Flow confirmerActive in 25% of observed group sessions
EIGEmployers Holdings Inc
Elevated · 88/100
Flow confirmerActive in 50% of observed group sessions
SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc.
Elevated · 82/100
Active; unclassifiedActive in 33.3% of observed group sessions
HMNHorace Mann Educators Corporati
Elevated · 72/100
Active; unclassifiedActive in 66.7% of observed group sessions
PLMRPalomar Holdings, Inc.
Elevated · 43/100
+1.1%
Flow confirmerActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
AMSFAMERISAFE, Inc.
Quiet · 37/100
Watch / laggardActive in 41.7% of observed group sessions
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
Quiet · 35/100
+0.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 25% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
RLIRLI Corp.Most unusual+0.5%41.7% of 12 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
ERIEErie Indemnity CompanyParticipating+0.9%25% of 12 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
EIGEmployers Holdings IncParticipating50% of 12 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc.Participating33.3% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
HMNHorace Mann Educators CorporatiParticipating66.7% of 12 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
PLMRPalomar Holdings, Inc.Participating+1.1%16.7% of 12 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
AMSFAMERISAFE, Inc.Quiet / lagging41.7% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.1%25% of 12 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
Low structural sample

Only 4 completed episodes across 12 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support43 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes4Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions12Completed session observations, not trades
2026-07-07 → 2026-07-093 active sessions25% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-23 → 2026-07-027 active sessionsNo name was active through every recorded session
2026-06-171 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-05-181 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
HMN66.7% · 3 episodes
EIG50% · 3 episodes
AMSF41.7% · 2 episodes
RLI41.7% · 3 episodes
SAFT33.3% · 2 episodes
ERIE25% · 3 episodes
THG25% · 2 episodes
PLMR16.7% · 1 episode