Themes / Group
Fading · newly observed relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Aug 21 · 16:50 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Space Technology · MDA

THE TRADER READShared activity without a clean directional read

Price direction is split across 7 measured members. Capital-flow confirmation is unavailable.

Price breadth5 up · 2 downRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignmentUnavailablePrice breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowLow_pressureActivity score 21/100
Evidence depth0 support daysLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

2 earlier filing context receipts

SUN, SEP 21FLY filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

SUN, MAY 10ASTS filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

6/7 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across ASTS, FLY, PL, RKLB, VSAT.

credit / rates affecting interest expense

The increase was largely due to an increase in interest expense recognized on new borrowings following March 31, 2025 that included the 2032 2.375% Convertible Notes, the 2036 2.00% Convertible Notes, the 2036 2.25% Convertible Notes, the UBS Bridge Financing Loan, and the Trinity Capital Equipment Loan, partially offset by decreases in interest expense recognized on the 2034 Convertible Notes, which we converted into shares of our Class A Common Stock on January 22, 2025.

ASTS 10-Q · 2026-05-11
credit / rates

The increase was due to the net increase in borrowings following June 30, 2025 that included the issuance of the 2032 2.375% Convertible Notes, the 2036 2.00% Convertible Notes, the 2036 2.25% Convertible Notes, the UBS Bridge Financing Loan, and an increase in the Trinity Capital Equipment Loan, partially offset by decreases in the 2032 4.25% Convertible Notes, of which $456.5 million was repurchased, and the Prosperity Capital Equipment Loan and Prosperity Term Loan, which were fully repaid on March 11, 2026.

ASTS 10-Q · 2026-08-10
product pipeline / R&D affecting expense

This was primarily driven by a $6.5 million increase in costs related to the continuing ramp of the Alpha program, a $3.9 million increase in payroll expenses related to the expansion of production capacity, a $3.1 million increase in depreciation and amortization due to additional research and development assets being placed into service, and a $2.4 million increase in insurance expenses and other incremental costs related to our expanding research and development activities.

FLY 10-Q · 2025-09-22
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

0 outsiders confirming
HYGPLInverse historical lead/lag · strength -0.35
EMBPLInverse historical lead/lag · strength -0.33
PLUNGPositive historical lead/lag · strength 0.22
PLBNDInverse historical lead/lag · strength -0.15

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

No high-confidence filing-linked outsiders are available for this group yet.

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
MDAASTSPLIRDMRKLBFLYVSAT

4/7 active5 rising · 2 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
MDAMDA Space Ltd.
Most unusual · 100/100
-1.0%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
ASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.
Elevated · 56/100
+5.6%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
PLPlanet Labs PBC
Elevated · 53/100
+0.6%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
IRDMIridium Communications Inc.
Quiet · 34/100
+1.1%
Watch / laggardHistorical role unavailable
RKLBRocket Lab Corporation
Elevated · 34/100
-0.5%
Active; unclassifiedHistorical role unavailable
FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.
Quiet · 29/100
+3.5%
Watch / laggardHistorical role unavailable
VSATViasat, Inc.
Quiet · 28/100
+0.8%
Watch / laggardHistorical role unavailable
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
MDAMDA Space Ltd.Most unusual-1.0%Most unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
ASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.Participating+5.6%Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
PLPlanet Labs PBCParticipating+0.6%Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
IRDMIridium Communications Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.1%Not participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
RKLBRocket Lab CorporationParticipating-0.5%Price participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.Quiet / lagging+3.5%Not participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
VSATViasat, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.8%Not participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

No point-in-time live observations have completed yet.
Low structural sample

Only 0 completed episodes across 0 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support0 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes0Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions0Completed session observations, not trades

Historical cohort observations are not available yet.