RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT
SPY-adjustedHow the members are behaving together
Group median -0.25Strongest path GEFWeakest path DORM
Observed member paths adjusted against SPY. The median is emphasized; shading marks the latest observation window.
MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP
Packaging & Home Improvement
23 of 26 members show broad activity, but direction is mixed. Treat this as shared attention—not yet a clean group trade.
Participation23 of 2688% active now
DirectionMixed4% agreement—not a clean directional move
Outside confirmation3 of 8filing-linked outsiders moving with the group
Observed history2 episodes20 active sessions
01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING
The move and its drivers
02 · WHY IT MATTERS
The business context around the move
WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS
25/26 members coveredShared filing context
Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across AVY, DORM, HD, HNI, KBH, LEN, LKQ, LOW, MHO, MTH, NVR, PAG, SON.
demand / volume
“An increase in unemployment levels, as well as buyers hesitating on making purchase decisions due to, among other things, tepid consumer confidence, may lead to an increase in loan delinquencies and foreclosures, more resale homes on the market and diminished demand for new homes, including our homes.”
KBH 10-K · 2026-01-23
demand / volume affecting revenue
“Reflecting the price reductions we put in place per our sales strategy, and expanded on in certain underperforming communities to align with local demand, the value of our net orders for 2025 was down 17% year over year as a result of the decline in net orders and a 6% decrease in the overall average selling price of net orders to $463,200 .”
KBH 10-K · 2026-01-23
credit / rates
“The cash used was partially offset by $200.0 million of net borrowings under the Credit Facility and $.4 million of issuances of common stock under employee stock plans.”
KBH 10-Q · 2026-07-09
WHERE IT COULD SPREAD
3 confirming nowFiling-linked outsiders
Companies outside the group that have disclosed links to its members. Their current state is a confirmation check, not a forecast.
MRPMoving with group
LEN · customer
Filing receipt
“For the three months ended March 31, 2026, the Company derived a substantial portion of its revenues from Lennar, which represented $ 140.3 million, or 72 %, of the Comp…”
PKGMoving with group
SON · customer
Filing receipt
“Segment net sales increased $775.9 million over the corresponding prior year quarter primarily as a result of $758.2 million of net sales, including the impact of foreig…”
FBINMoving with group
HD · customer
Filing receipt
“Approximately 16% of 2025 net sales were to international markets, and sales to two of the Company’s customers, Lowe’s Companies, Inc.”
HOVCurrent read unavailable
DHI · text peer
03 · WHO IS IN IT
Member participation
KBHLOWLCIISONMHONVRDHIVVVGEFHDSKYLKQHNILENCCKDORMPHMAVYFNDPAGMTHSLGNAMBPGRBK
23/26 active4 rising · 20 falling
MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
KBHKB Home
Most unusual
-3.4%
Most unusualActive; direction differs
LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.
Elevated
-0.7%
ElevatedActive; direction differs
LCIILCI Industries
Elevated
-1.7%
ElevatedActive; direction differs
SONSonoco Products Company
Elevated
-2.3%
ElevatedActive; direction differs
MHOM/I Homes, Inc.
Elevated
-2.8%
ElevatedActive; direction differs
NVRNVR, Inc.
Participating
-1.3%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.
Participating
-3.6%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
VVVValvoline Inc.
Participating
-3.7%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
GEFGreif Inc.
Participating
-0.8%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
HDHome Depot, Inc. (The)
Participating
-1.0%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.
Participating
+0.1%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
LKQLKQ Corporation
Participating
+1.4%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
HNIHNI Corporation
Participating
+0.6%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
LENLennar Corporation
Participating
-3.5%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.
Participating
-0.9%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
DORMDorman Products, Inc.
Participating
-3.0%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.
Participating
-2.6%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
AVYAvery Dennison Corporation
Participating
-0.9%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
FNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
Participating
-4.4%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.
Participating
+0.2%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
MTHMeritage Homes Corporation
Participating
-3.6%
ParticipatingActive; direction differs
SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.
Quiet
-2.6%
QuietBreadth test
AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging S.A.
Quiet
-1.6%
QuietBreadth test
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.
Quiet
-2.5%
QuietBreadth test
View exact member values
| TICKER | Company | Role now | Today | Trader interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBH | KB Home | Most unusual | -3.4% | Most unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ. |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies, Inc. | Participating | -0.7% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| LCII | LCI Industries | Participating | -1.7% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | Participating | -2.3% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| MHO | M/I Homes, Inc. | Participating | -2.8% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| NVR | NVR, Inc. | Participating | -1.3% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| DHI | D.R. Horton, Inc. | Participating | -3.6% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| VVV | Valvoline Inc. | Participating | -3.7% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| GEF | Greif Inc. | Participating | -0.8% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| HD | Home Depot, Inc. (The) | Participating | -1.0% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| SKY | Champion Homes, Inc. | Participating | +0.1% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | Participating | +1.4% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| HNI | HNI Corporation | Participating | +0.6% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | Participating | -3.5% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | Participating | -0.9% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| DORM | Dorman Products, Inc. | Participating | -3.0% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc. | Participating | -2.6% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | Participating | -0.9% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| FND | Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. | Participating | -4.4% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | Participating | +0.2% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| MTH | Meritage Homes Corporation | Participating | -3.6% | Active, but the group has not aligned on direction. |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | Quiet / lagging | -2.6% | Not participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence. |
| AMBP | Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. | Quiet / lagging | -1.6% | Not participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence. |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc. | Quiet / lagging | -2.5% | Not participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence. |
04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE