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Bond Market Cohort

Bond Market Cohort

Expanding
Theme thesis

$AGG is leading Bond Market Cohort; SHY, TLT, BND have confirmed that the move is spreading beyond the leader.

Use the confirmer and break level to decide if this setup is still worth your time.

StageBroadening
UpdatedLive
Breadth100%
Setup strength
52
Glance animation
Trade Read
Why it matters

$AGG is leading Bond Market Cohort; SHY, TLT, BND have confirmed that the move is spreading beyond the leader.

What changed

AGG leadership persisted

What to watch

IEF is the clearest next confirmation candidate and should tell us whether the move can broaden.

What breaks it

Bond Market Cohort can stay leader-led if IEF and the next software names fail to join while AGG keeps moving.

Latest Headlines
No symbol-linked headlines found in the current lookback window.
Headlines
No related headlines found

No recent headlines matched the theme's leader or member tickers in the current lookback window.

Who Is Leading
Names
Breadth
100%
How broad the move is
Leaders
1
Confirmers
0
Lagging
0
Leaders
AGG (AGG)

AGG is the current leadership name for Bond Market Cohort, carrying the highest structural influence in the live cluster.

Confirmers
No live confirmer roster available.
Supporting Names
BND (BND)
BND is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
IEF (IEF)
IEF is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
SHY (SHY)
SHY is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
TLT (TLT)
TLT is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
Not Yet Participating
TLT (TLT)
46%
Not participating yet
Sectors
What Is Confirming
Confirming Sectors
AGG
88% participation
88%
Watchlist Sectors
BND — Participation 64%
IEF — Participation 58%
SHY — Participation 52%
Absent Sectors
TLT — Still absent
Live Names
5 names
Live Names
Rank
Symbol
Role
Signal
Score
Recent
Note
1
AGG (AGG)
Leader
Live
n/a
n/a
AGG is the current leadership name for Bond Market Cohort, carrying the highest structural influence in the live cluster.
2
BND (BND)
Participant
Live
n/a
n/a
BND is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
3
IEF (IEF)
Participant
Live
n/a
n/a
IEF is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
4
SHY (SHY)
Participant
Live
n/a
n/a
SHY is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
5
TLT (TLT)
Participant
Live
n/a
n/a
TLT is acting as a bridge inside Bond Market Cohort, helping the move transmit beyond the core leadership group.
Theme Stability
20 sessions
Stability
Theme stability

This view is meant to answer a simple question: is the theme holding together, broadening, narrowing, or still changing shape?

First seen2026-04-23
Last seen2026-04-27
Runs20
Days3
ReadStable
Label drift2 variants
2026-04-23
Broadening
5 names

Bond Market Cohort added 5 names and only removed 0

2026-04-24
Broadening
5 names

U.S. Treasury Bond Funds added 5 names and only removed 0

2026-04-27
Held steady
0 names

Membership was unchanged from the prior session

Activation Evidence
Live
First wave leaders
0
Names that moved first.
Second wave confirmers
0
Follow-through names joining after the leader.
Net new members
0
New names added to the move.
Repeat rate
0%
How often the same names keep reappearing.
Confirmer speed
83%
How quickly confirmation showed up.
Path coherence
0%
How clean the activation path looks.
Sequence buildup
0%
Whether the move built in sequence.
Leader to confirmer
n/a
Median lead time from leader to confirmer.
Multi-Asset
Cross-Market Support
How to use this

Treat this as a secondary check. If outside markets are helping, it supports the setup. If they are hurting, lower conviction or wait. If they are neutral, ignore it.

EMB → AGG
Hurting
cross_asset_lag1
35% link
30D
Cuts against it
Weak
MSGS → AGG
Hurting
cross_asset_lag1
31% link
30D
Cuts against it
Weak
AGG → UUUU
Neutral
cross_asset_lag1
29% link
30D
Supports it
Weak
AGG → SIRI
Neutral
cross_asset_lag1
28% link
30D
Supports it
Weak
UUUU → AGG
Hurting
cross_asset_lag1
27% link
30D
Cuts against it
Weak
RKLB → AGG
Hurting
cross_asset_lag1
27% link
30D
Cuts against it
Weak
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