Feed / UPS

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS

Industrials · 100.31 +0.3% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

United Parcel Service, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 12 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 6 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 7.6% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 4.5 percentage points.
Company+0.3% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 12 activeFreight Transportation · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 6 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • UPS reported a planned reduction in air volume from its largest customer, with average daily air volume down 2.3% during the three months.
  • Average daily volume in Air products declined 9.0% this quarter, driven by execution of planned volume declines from the company's largest customer.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if UPS's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 12 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 6 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 7.6% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating margin fell 4.5 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 52.9% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 3.4 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • UPS reported a planned reduction in air volume from its largest customer, with average daily air volume down 2.3% during the three months.
  • Average daily volume in Air products declined 9.0% this quarter, driven by execution of planned volume declines from the company's largest customer.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations602
Usable filing statements309
Verified relationships7
Evidence supporting the case
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -2.6% year over year.
  • Customer concentration has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Demand and volume has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Supply chain and availability has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 53% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 51% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 11, 2026

100.31
6m+2.5%12m+19.6%24m-21.4%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$97.3B+15.0%$14.68+0.8%
2022-12-31$100.3B+3.1%$13.20-0.3%
2023-12-31$91.0B-9.3%$7.80-1.7%
2024-12-31$91.1B+0.1%$6.75-0.5%
2025-12-31$88.7B-2.6%$6.56-0.7%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratespositive · 5 filings
Interest Expense Interest expense increased $34 million for the quarter ($78 million year to date), primarily due to higher average outstanding debt balances and higher interest cost on finance leases.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Customer concentrationmixed · 5 filings
Within our air products, average daily volume decreased 2.3% for the quarter (down 5.7% year to date), driven by the continued execution of planned volume declines from our largest customer, partially offset by growth from SMB and healthcare customers.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Demand and volumemixed · 5 filings
The changes were primarily driven by: • Ground transportation expense increased $362 million for the quarter (up $338 million year to date) primarily due to an increase in fees paid to the USPS associated with outsourcing our Ground Saver product and increase…
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionsnegative · 3 filings
In addition, our International Package and SCS businesses were also negatively impacted by a number of challenging macroeconomic conditions during 2023.
10-K · Feb 17, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.0× · EV/sales 1.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

100.31+0.3% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for UPS. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-08-05 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-06.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -1
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationmixed

Capital and cash conversion

Cash conversion improved

supportive

Capital-spending intensity declined while free-cash-flow margin improved.

Capital spending YoY
-13.8%
Capital spending / revenue
+3.9%
Free-cash-flow margin
+3.1%
FCF margin change
+1.5 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 7.6% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Operating margin fell 4.5 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 52.9% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 3.4 percentage points.

Filing receipts

Cost per piece increased 16.8% during the second quarter of 2026 (up 13.3% year to date) primarily driven by separation costs related to the Driver Choice Program, higher fees paid to the USPS associated with outsourcing our Ground Saver product, higher fuel costs, contractual wage rate increases and lower average daily volume and stops, partially offset by increased productivity and operational efficiencies from our network reconfiguration efforts.

The changes were primarily driven by: • Ground transportation expense increased $362 million for the quarter (up $338 million year to date) primarily due to an increase in fees paid to the USPS associated with outsourcing our Ground Saver product and increases in expense related to our digital businesses due to overall growth, partially offset by the impact of the decline in volume in Mail Innovations.

Interest Expense Interest expense increased $34 million for the quarter ($78 million year to date), primarily due to higher average outstanding debt balances and higher interest cost on finance leases.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind UPS

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depended on by

RXORXO, Inc.supplierNov 6, 2025

The Coyote Acquisition On September 16, 2024 (the “acquisition date”), the Company acquired the technology-driven, asset-light based truckload freight brokerage services business, as well as certain assets used to conduct haulage, dedicated transport and ware…

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 5 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

UPS is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Freight Transportation. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.