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Intuitive Machines, Inc.

LUNR

Industrials · 14.24 -2.1% today

You’ve read what changed. Here’s whether the market is confirming it.

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 30 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s move is spreading beyond its market group.

LUNR accounts for 23.7% of the group's measured movement across 6.2 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 6 of 12 session-normalized paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 9%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

Session-normalized 5m paths
Role in the moveCounter-move#2 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share23.7%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-5.38%counter
Effective breadth6.2 / 12broad
Relative alignment6/12upside path · 5 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement9%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

KTOS, MRCY, LMT moved materially before LUNR. LUNR crossed its material path threshold at 11:30 ET, 95 minutes after the first measured mover.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 193.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • The operating loss widened by 29.1M.
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

6 of 16 members in Aerospace & Defense are active. 0 of 8 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 11 of 16 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • SAIC remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 5 of 16 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

LUNR accounts for 23.7% of the group's measured movement across 6.2 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 6 of 12 session-normalized paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 9%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 193.7% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • The operating loss widened by 29.1M.
  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -54.8M.
  • Cash declined 141.6M versus the comparable period.
What would clarify the read
  • At least 11 of 16 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • SAIC remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 30, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods4
Price observations341
Usable filing statements213
Verified relationships14
Evidence supporting the case
  • Net margin changed +84.1 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -9.2% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed -16.9 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Demand and volume has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 73% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

14.24
6m-23.3%12m+38.8%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-12-31$85.9M———
2023-12-31$79.6M-7.4%$2.42—
2024-12-31$228.0M+186.6%$-4.63—
2025-12-31$207.1M-9.2%$-0.73—

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumenegative · 5 filings
“Backlog increased by $1.55 billion as of June 30, 2026 compared to December 31, 2025, which includes $612.8 million of acquired backlog associated with the Lanteris acquisition in January 2026, new awards of $1.34 billion primarily associated with a multi-sat…”
10-Q · Aug 13, 2026 ↗
Macroeconomic conditionsmixed · 5 filings
“Although we believe that our financial resources will be sufficient to meet our capital needs in the short term, our timeline and budgeted costs for these offerings are subject to substantial uncertainty, including due to compliance requirements of U.S.”
10-Q · Aug 13, 2026 ↗
Legal and regulatory exposurepositive · 4 filings
“Although we believe that our financial resources will be sufficient to meet our capital needs in the short term, our timeline and budgeted costs for these offerings are subject to substantial uncertainty, including due to compliance requirements of U.S.”
10-Q · May 15, 2026 ↗
Capital investment and capacitypositive · 3 filings
“The $46.5 million increase in investing activities was driven by higher capital expenditures of $31.5 million associated primarily with the fabrication and development of commercial communications satellites and navigation network, and capital expenditures re…”
10-K · Mar 19, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 7.9× · EV/sales 6.7×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

14.24-2.1% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 30 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for LUNR. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-05-15 against the comparable filing from 2025-05-13.

cautious
OperationsmixedEvidence score +1
liquiditycautiousEvidence score -2
valuationpremium

What improved

  • Revenue increased 193.7% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • The operating loss widened by 29.1M.
  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -54.8M.
  • Cash declined 141.6M versus the comparable period.

Filing receipts

“Cost of revenue (excluding depreciation and amortization) Comparison of three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025 Total cost of revenue increased by $100.8 million , for the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, mostly related to our acquisition of Lanteris in January 2026 which incurred costs of $113.9 million driven by product costs from several government contracts, notably the Tracking Layer program for $32.2 million, NASA Power & Propulsion Element for $27.2 million, and a government defense contract for $6.2 million, and commercial satellite contracts related to EchoStar for $20.1 million, a proprietary commercial contract for $19.7 million, and Siriu...”

“The cost of revenue on IM-2 mission decreased by approximately $8.7 million as the mission was completed in March 2025, partially offset by the IM-4 mission increase of $4.0 million as activity ramps up.”

“Other income (expense), net Total other income (expense), net unfavorable change of $24.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the same period in 2025 was primarily due to the unfavorable changes in the fair value of warrant liabilities of $52.4 million and contingent consideration liabilities of $0.5 million, interest expense mostly related to the Convertible Notes of $4.9 million partially offset by the favorable change in the fair value of earn out liabilities as the earn out units fully vested during the first quarter of 2025.”

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind LUNR

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

LHXL3Harris Technologies, Inc.customerMar 19, 2026 ▾

“In 2022, our subsidiary was selected to build 16 satellite buses for its customer, L3Harris Technologies (L3Harris), which will be used to detect and track missile threats in real time using infrared sensors.”

BAThe Boeing CompanypartnerMar 19, 2026 ▾

“Intuitive Machines is developing its Lunar Terrain Vehicle for NASA through its global partnership team including, AVL, Boeing, CSIRO, Fugro, Michelin, Northrop Grumman, and Roush.”

Depended on by

GHMGraham CorporationcustomerJun 9, 2025 ▾

“A representative list of our customers include: Air Liquide, Applied Research Laboratory at Pennsylvania State University, Aramco, Axiom Space, Bechtel Plant Machinery Inc., Blue Origin, Boeing, CERN, China State-owned Refiners, Cummins, Dow Chemical, DuPont,…”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 15 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

LUNR is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Aerospace & Defense. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.