Feed / GBDC

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

GBDC

Financial Services · 12.59 -0.5% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 1 Oct, 14:00 GMT-4

Market read

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s move is spreading beyond its market group.

GBDC accounts for 13.1% of the group's measured movement across 8.5 effective names. all 11 measured members are falling in raw terms, but 10 of 11 session-normalized paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 9%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

Session-normalized 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#3 of 11 by movement share
Group movement share13.1%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-1.02%aligned
Effective breadth8.5 / 11broad
Relative alignment10/11downside path · 1 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement9%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

TSLX, MFIC moved materially before GBDC. GBDC crossed its material path threshold at 15:50 ET. ARCC, FSK, HTGC followed.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

8 of 11 members in Biopharmaceuticals and Care are active. 0 of 1 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 8 of 11 members remain active in the next snapshot.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • GSBD remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 3 of 11 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Financial Services · Asset Management

GBDC accounts for 13.1% of the group's measured movement across 8.5 effective names. all 11 measured members are falling in raw terms, but 10 of 11 session-normalized paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 9%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 8 of 11 members remain active in the next snapshot.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • GSBD remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 1, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods0
Price observations341
Usable filing statements99
Verified relationships2
Evidence supporting the case

No qualifying supportive evidence was identified.

Evidence challenging the case
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position

No credible peer-relative valuation comparison is available yet.

Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

12.64
6m-0.2%12m-7.9%24m—

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesnegative · 4 filings
“Lastly, cash provided by financing activities was $68.0 million, primarily driven by borrowings on debt of $3,731.4 million and net proceeds from the issuance of common stock through the ATM Program (as defined in Note 11 of our consolidated financial stateme…”
10-Q · May 4, 2026 ↗
Restructuring and cost reductionsmixed · 4 filings
“Unrealized appreciation for the six months ended March 31, 2025 was primarily due to (i) the reversal of previously recognized unrealized depreciation on the restructuring of portfolio company investments and (ii) fair valuing recent originations up to or nea…”
10-Q · May 4, 2026 ↗
Legal and regulatory exposuremixed · 3 filings
“While there can be no assurance of the ultimate disposition of any such proceedings, each of us, GC Advisors and Golub Capital LLC do not believe it is currently subject to any material legal proceedings.”
10-Q · May 4, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales — · EV/sales —. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Scenarios are withheld for Financial Services until sector-specific earnings and capital metrics are available; generic revenue/P/S scaffolds would be misleading.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

12.59-0.5% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 14:00 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for GBDC. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for GBDC. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind GBDC

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

MSMorgan StanleypartnerMay 4, 2026 ▾

“These fees include structuring and placement fees paid by the 2018 Issuer to Morgan Stanley & Co.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

GBDC is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Biopharmaceuticals and Care. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.