Feed / GBDC

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

GBDC

Financial Services · 12.69 -1.1% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s move is spreading beyond its market group.

GBDC accounts for 3.3% of the group's measured movement across 7.6 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 15%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveCounter-move#9 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share3.3%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+0.25%counter
Effective breadth7.6 / 12broad
Relative alignment7/12downside path · 4 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement15%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

No material onset for GBDC could be timestamped inside the aligned 5-minute window.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

5 of 25 members in Biopharmaceuticals and Care are active. 0 of 1 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 17 of 25 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • BDX remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 8 of 25 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Financial Services · Asset Management

GBDC accounts for 3.3% of the group's measured movement across 7.6 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 15%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 17 of 25 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • BDX remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods0
Price observations327
Usable filing statements99
Verified relationships2
Evidence supporting the case

No qualifying supportive evidence was identified.

Evidence challenging the case
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position

No credible peer-relative valuation comparison is available yet.

Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

12.69
6m+5.0%12m-13.5%24m

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesnegative · 4 filings
Lastly, cash provided by financing activities was $68.0 million, primarily driven by borrowings on debt of $3,731.4 million and net proceeds from the issuance of common stock through the ATM Program (as defined in Note 11 of our consolidated financial stateme…
10-Q · May 4, 2026
Restructuring and cost reductionsmixed · 4 filings
Unrealized appreciation for the six months ended March 31, 2025 was primarily due to (i) the reversal of previously recognized unrealized depreciation on the restructuring of portfolio company investments and (ii) fair valuing recent originations up to or nea…
10-Q · May 4, 2026
Legal and regulatory exposuremixed · 3 filings
While there can be no assurance of the ultimate disposition of any such proceedings, each of us, GC Advisors and Golub Capital LLC do not believe it is currently subject to any material legal proceedings.
10-Q · May 4, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales · EV/sales . Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Scenarios are withheld for Financial Services until sector-specific earnings and capital metrics are available; generic revenue/P/S scaffolds would be misleading.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

12.69-1.1% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for GBDC. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for GBDC. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind GBDC

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

MSMorgan StanleypartnerMay 4, 2026

These fees include structuring and placement fees paid by the 2018 Issuer to Morgan Stanley & Co.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

GBDC is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Biopharmaceuticals and Care. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.