Feed / CVNA

Carvana Co.

CVNA

Consumer Cyclical · 70.25 -4.3% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Carvana Co.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 16 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 52.0% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Gross margin fell 2.2 percentage points.
Company-4.3% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 1 activeAuto Dealerships · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 8 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Net interest expense fell materially in Q2 and YTD 2026, attributed to repurchases/redemption of the 2028 Senior Secured Notes and a lower cash interest rate on the 2031 Senior Secured Notes.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if CVNA's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 16 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 52.0% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net income increased 15.7% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Gross margin fell 2.2 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 1.2 percentage points.
  • Operating cash flow covered only 0.43x net income.
What would clarify the read
  • Net interest expense fell materially in Q2 and YTD 2026, attributed to repurchases/redemption of the 2028 Senior Secured Notes and a lower cash interest rate on the 2031 Senior Secured Notes.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations601
Usable filing statements127
Verified relationships17
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +48.6% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +2.0 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed +5.4 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 32% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 21% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

70.25
6m-77.3%12m-81.3%24m-50.2%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$12.8B+129.4%$-1.63+27.4%
2022-12-31$13.6B+6.2%$-15.74+21.8%
2023-12-31$10.8B-20.8%$0.75
2024-12-31$13.7B+26.9%$1.59-34.1%
2025-12-31$20.3B+48.6%$8.45

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesnegative · 5 filings
Cash provided by and used in financing activities was $52 million and $37 million during the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively, an increase in cash provided by financing activities of $89 million, primarily due to higher borrowings on shor…
10-Q · Jul 29, 2026
Input and raw-material costsnegative · 1 filings
sk We are affected by inflationary factors such as decreased vehicle affordability, including as a result of high interest rates, and increases in supply chain and logistics costs, materials costs, and labor costs.
10-K · Feb 18, 2026
Labor availability and costsnegative · 1 filings
sk We are affected by inflationary factors such as decreased vehicle affordability, including as a result of high interest rates, and increases in supply chain and logistics costs, materials costs, and labor costs.
10-K · Feb 18, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionsnegative · 1 filings
sk We are affected by inflationary factors such as decreased vehicle affordability, including as a result of high interest rates, and increases in supply chain and logistics costs, materials costs, and labor costs.
10-K · Feb 18, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 0.8× · EV/sales 0.9×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

70.25-4.3% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for CVNA. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

The latest filing presents a mixed picture

10-Q filed 2026-04-29 against the comparable filing from 2025-05-07.

mixed
OperationsconstructiveEvidence score +3
liquiditycautiousEvidence score -1
valuationmixed

What improved

  • Revenue increased 52.0% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net income increased 15.7% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Gross margin fell 2.2 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 1.2 percentage points.
  • Operating cash flow covered only 0.43x net income.

Filing receipts

Interest Expense, Net Interest expense, net decreased by $40 million to $99 million during the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to $139 million during the three months ended March 31, 2025, primarily due to lower interest on the Senior Secured Notes as a result of the repurchases and redemption of the 2028 Senior Secured Notes and the lower cash interest rate on the 2031 Senior Secured Notes.

Cash provided by operating activities was $107 million and $232 million during the three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, respectively, a decrease in cash provided by operating activities of $125 million, primarily due to an investment in vehicle inventory as we grow retail unit sales and acquire more vehicles from customers, partially offset by an increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities also driven by the increase in retail unit sales and production during the three months ended March 31, 2026.

The average selling price of our wholesale units is primarily driven by the mix of vehicles we sell to wholesalers, as well as general supply and demand conditions in the applicable wholesale vehicle market, including the level of depreciation in the wholesale vehicle market.

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind CVNA

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

STLAStellantis N.V.supplierFeb 18, 2026

Further, in connection with these franchise dealership acquisitions, the Company entered into a Master Loan and Security Agreement (the "Trade Floor Plan Facility") with Stellantis Financial Services, Inc.

ROOTRoot, Inc.partnerApr 29, 2026

We have also partnered with Root, Inc.

Depended on by

ROOTRoot, Inc.partnerMay 6, 2026

Direct Contribution We define direct contribution, a non-GAAP financial measure, as gross profit excluding net investment income, net realized gains on investments, acquisition expenses which include report costs and commission expenses related to our partner…

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 18 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

CVNA is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Auto Dealerships. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for CVNA; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.