“Average selling prices increased to $262 per ton in 2025 compared to $239 per ton in 2024 due primarily to strong global nitrogen demand and supply disruptions due to geopolitical issues, including unexpected production outages in Egypt, Iran and Russia.”10-K · Feb 25, 2026 ↗
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
CF
Market read
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.
No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 16 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 5 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
- CF's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.
Invalidation: The isolated read changes if CF's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.
Research brief
The story so far
No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 16 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 5 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.
No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.
- CF's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.
Company research
Understand the business, not just the ticker
Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.
- Which operating variable is changing?
- Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
- What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
- Latest annual revenue changed +19.3% year over year.
- Operating margin changed +3.1 percentage points in the latest annual period.
No qualifying adverse evidence was identified; that is not proof there is no downside.
- EV/sales is 150% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Price as of Sep 9, 2026
138.10Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.
What management says matters
Persistent and emerging business drivers
“The increase in cash flow from operations was due primarily to an increase in gross margin, driven by increased average selling prices and higher sales volume, partially offset by higher natural gas costs.”10-K · Feb 25, 2026 ↗
“Both of these decreases were partially offset by the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates.”10-K · Feb 25, 2026 ↗
“As a result of the damage incurred and based on estimates and assumptions of a preliminary review of the impact, we recorded an impairment of certain fixed assets within our North American AN asset group of $25 million.”10-K · Feb 25, 2026 ↗
Valuation discipline
Descriptive valuation snapshot
Price/sales 3.2× · EV/sales 3.6×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.
Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.
Price action
How the market is pricing the story
Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 12:45 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.
Developments
No sourced recent-development timeline yet
Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for CF. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.
Business and financial condition
Reported financial figures are not available yet
Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.
Filing analysis
No comparable filing assessment is available yet
Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for CF. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.
Business ecosystem
The relationships behind CF
Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.
Depends on
ENBEnbridge Inc.partnerFeb 25, 2026 ▾
“Pursuant to a long-term offtake agreement, a joint venture between a subsidiary of Occidental Petroleum Corporation and Enbridge Inc.”
OXYOccidental Petroleum CorporationpartnerFeb 25, 2026 ▾
“Pursuant to a long-term offtake agreement, a joint venture between a subsidiary of Occidental Petroleum Corporation and Enbridge Inc.”
Depended on by
CVICVR Energy, Inc.competitorFeb 18, 2026 ▾
“Subject to location and other considerations, our major domestic competitors in the nitrogen fertilizer business generally includes CF Industries Holdings, Inc., which sells significantly more nitrogen fertilizers in the United States than other industry part…”
Filing peers
Companies whose filings use similar operating language.
Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 2 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →
What is moving around it
Live connections
CF is currently a Early Follower in the organic co-movement group Commodity-Linked Cyclicals. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.
This group is retained as the last observed read for CF; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.
Context history
Theme membership history
No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.