Feed / CF

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

CF

Basic Materials · 135.60 +0.9% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 12:45 GMT-4

Market read

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 16 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 5 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Company+0.9% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 16 activeCommodity-Linked Cyclicals · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 5 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • CF's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if CF's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 16 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 5 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • CF's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 10, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations600
Usable filing statements47
Verified relationships5
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +19.3% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +3.1 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case

No qualifying adverse evidence was identified; that is not proof there is no downside.

Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 150% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 9, 2026

138.10
6m+25.5%12m+63.4%24m+72.4%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$6.5B+58.5%$4.24+0.5%
2022-12-31$11.2B+71.1%$16.38-5.6%
2023-12-31$6.6B-40.7%$7.87-5.1%
2024-12-31$5.9B-10.5%$6.74-6.8%
2025-12-31$7.1B+19.3%$8.97-10.2%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumepositive · 1 filings
Average selling prices increased to $262 per ton in 2025 compared to $239 per ton in 2024 due primarily to strong global nitrogen demand and supply disruptions due to geopolitical issues, including unexpected production outages in Egypt, Iran and Russia.
10-K · Feb 25, 2026
Energy and commodity pricesnegative · 1 filings
The increase in cash flow from operations was due primarily to an increase in gross margin, driven by increased average selling prices and higher sales volume, partially offset by higher natural gas costs.
10-K · Feb 25, 2026
Foreign exchangemixed · 1 filings
Both of these decreases were partially offset by the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates.
10-K · Feb 25, 2026
Restructuring and cost reductionsmixed · 1 filings
As a result of the damage incurred and based on estimates and assumptions of a preliminary review of the impact, we recorded an impairment of certain fixed assets within our North American AN asset group of $25 million.
10-K · Feb 25, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 3.2× · EV/sales 3.6×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

135.60+0.9% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 12:45 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for CF. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for CF. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind CF

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

ENBEnbridge Inc.partnerFeb 25, 2026

Pursuant to a long-term offtake agreement, a joint venture between a subsidiary of Occidental Petroleum Corporation and Enbridge Inc.

OXYOccidental Petroleum CorporationpartnerFeb 25, 2026

Pursuant to a long-term offtake agreement, a joint venture between a subsidiary of Occidental Petroleum Corporation and Enbridge Inc.

Depended on by

CVICVR Energy, Inc.competitorFeb 18, 2026

Subject to location and other considerations, our major domestic competitors in the nitrogen fertilizer business generally includes CF Industries Holdings, Inc., which sells significantly more nitrogen fertilizers in the United States than other industry part…

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 2 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

CF is currently a Early Follower in the organic co-movement group Commodity-Linked Cyclicals. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for CF; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.