Feed / MOS

The Mosaic Company

MOS

Basic Materials · 25.41 -3.0% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

The Mosaic Company's current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 1 directly disclosed connection is confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue decreased 6.0% versus the comparable filing period.
Company-3.0% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 1 activeCrop Nutrients · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 1 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Mosaic disclosed approximately $540 million of unfavorable production-cost impacts, driven largely by higher sulfur, ammonia, and blended-rock input costs.
  • Mosaic attributed reduced sales volumes to sulfur-related supply constraints, product availability constraints, and reduced production from limited raw-material availability.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if MOS's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 1 directly disclosed connection is confirming.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges
  • Revenue decreased 6.0% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
  • Gross margin fell 9.7 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • Mosaic disclosed approximately $540 million of unfavorable production-cost impacts, driven largely by higher sulfur, ammonia, and blended-rock input costs.
  • Mosaic attributed reduced sales volumes to sulfur-related supply constraints, product availability constraints, and reduced production from limited raw-material availability.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods8
Price observations601
Usable filing statements215
Verified relationships1
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +8.4% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +1.2 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed +2.9 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Input and raw-material costs has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 51% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 71% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

25.41
6m-12.8%12m-21.0%24m-4.3%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$12.4B+42.3%$4.27+0.1%
2022-12-31$19.1B+54.8%$10.06-6.7%
2023-12-31$13.7B-28.4%$3.50-6.4%
2024-12-31$11.1B-18.8%$0.55-3.8%
2025-12-31$12.1B+8.4%$1.70-0.6%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumemixed · 5 filings
The unfavorable impact of higher costs in the current year period was partially offset by favorable sales prices and increased sales volumes, reflecting increased global demand and stronger starting inventories that enabled fulfillment of export demand in the…
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Input and raw-material costsnegative · 5 filings
The increase in inventories was primarily due to higher finished goods inventory volumes, primarily in Brazil, due to seasonality and higher raw material costs.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Restructuring and cost reductionsnegative · 2 filings
As of October 31, 2025, the date of our annual impairment testing, the Company concluded that the carrying value of the Mosaic Fertilizantes reporting unit exceeded its estimated fair value due to a combination of an increase in carrying value and a reduction…
10-K · Feb 27, 2026
Capital investment and capacitymixed · 1 filings
Investing Activities Net cash used in investing activities for the year ended December 31, 2025 was comparable to the same period a year ago at $1.3 billion, primarily driven by capital expenditures of $1.36 billion partially offset by proceeds from the sale…
10-K · Feb 27, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 0.7× · EV/sales 0.6×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

25.41-3.0% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for MOS. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-08-05 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-06.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -4
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationdiscount

Capital and cash conversion

Investment load increased

watch

Capital spending consumed more revenue while free-cash-flow margin declined.

Capital spending YoY
+4.9%
Capital spending / revenue
+11.6%
Free-cash-flow margin
-7.0%
FCF margin change
-7.1 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

No thresholded improvement was identified.

What weakened

  • Revenue decreased 6.0% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
  • Gross margin fell 9.7 percentage points.

Filing receipts

The decrease was primarily attributable to lower sales volumes, which negatively impacted gross margin by approximately $45 million, and higher Canadian resource taxes of approximately $10 million.

This result was primarily driven by higher raw material and input costs, as well as reduced sales volumes, driven largely by increased sulfur prices and supply constraints in the current period as discussed above in the three-month discussion and reduced sales volumes, reflecting product availability constraints and continued affordability challenges.

The decrease was primarily driven by lower sales volumes, reflecting reduced production resulting from constrained raw material availability and limited customer credit availability in Brazil during the current-year period.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind MOS

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

DUKDuke Energy CorporationsupplierFeb 27, 2026

The current infrastructure includes major roads and highway access, railway support from CSX Transportation and electricity supplied by Duke Energy, TECO, PRECO, Florida Power and Mosaic cogeneration in associated distribution areas.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 1 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

MOS is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Crop Nutrients. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for MOS; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.