Feed / CCL

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL

Consumer Cyclical · 25.78 +2.7% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 2 Oct, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Carnival Corporation Ltd.'s move is spreading beyond its market group.

CCL accounts for 6.4% of the group's measured movement across 7.7 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 13%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#7 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share6.4%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+0.67%aligned
Effective breadth7.7 / 12broad
Relative alignment7/12upside path · 5 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement13%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

No material onset for CCL could be timestamped inside the aligned 5-minute window.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

16 of 28 members in Airline Operators are active. 2 of 3 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 19 of 28 members remain active in the next snapshot.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • RCL remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 9 of 28 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

CCL accounts for 6.4% of the group's measured movement across 7.7 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 13%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 19 of 28 members remain active in the next snapshot.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • RCL remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 4, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations617
Usable filing statements21
Verified relationships3
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +6.4% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +2.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed +2.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case

No qualifying adverse evidence was identified; that is not proof there is no downside.

Questions before a position
  • P/E is 25% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

25.78
6m+0.5%12m-9.1%24m+39.1%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-11-30$1.9B-65.9%$-8.46+44.9%
2022-11-30$12.2B+537.7%$-5.16+5.1%
2023-11-30$21.6B+77.5%$-0.06+6.9%
2024-11-30$25.0B+15.9%$1.44+10.8%
2025-11-30$26.6B+6.4%$2.02+0.3%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitymixed · 1 filings
“Investing Activities During 2025, net cash used in investing activities of $3.3 billion was caused by: • Capital expenditures of $3.6 billion substantially all attributable to the delivery of one North America segment ship, ship improvements and development o…”
10-K · Jan 27, 2026 ↗
Credit and interest ratesmixed · 1 filings
“If a derivative or a non-derivative financial instrument is designated as a hedge of our net investment in a foreign operation, then changes in the effective portion of the fair value of the financial instrument are recognized as a component of AOCI to offset…”
10-K · Jan 27, 2026 ↗
Demand and volumemixed · 1 filings
“This increase was caused by: • $344 million - higher ticket prices driven by continued strength in demand • $122 million - 1.2% capacity increase in ALBDs These increases were partially offset by a decrease of $74 million in air transportation revenue.”
10-K · Jan 27, 2026 ↗
Energy and commodity pricesnegative · 1 filings
“This decrease was caused by: • $101 million - lower fuel prices including the impact of the cost of emission allowances • $79 million - lower fuel consumption per ALBD These decreases were partially offset by: • $122 million - 1.2% capacity increase in ALBDs…”
10-K · Jan 27, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.4× · EV/sales 2.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

25.78+2.7% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 2 Oct, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for CCL. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for CCL. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind CCL

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.lenderJan 27, 2026 ▾

“8-K 3.3 4/20/2009 Material Contracts 10.1 Revolving Credit Agreement, dated as of June 13, 2025, among Carnival Corporation, as lead borrower, Carnival plc, as co-borrower, the subsidiary guarantors party thereto, the lenders party thereto, and JPMorgan Chase…”

Depended on by

NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.competitorMar 2, 2026 ▾

“Competition Our primary competition includes operators such as Carnival and Royal Caribbean, as well as other cruise lines such as MSC Cruises, Viking Ocean Cruises and Virgin Voyages.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 2 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

CCL is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Airline Operators. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 2 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.