From StructContinue beyond “AeroVironment's margin rebound got a non-cash assist as inventory jumped 76%”Back to the brief ↗Feed / AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc.

AVAV

Industrials · 140.93 -1.6% today

You’ve read what changed. Here’s whether the market is confirming it.

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 1 Oct, 11:55 GMT-4

Market read

AeroVironment, Inc.'s move is spreading beyond its market group.

AVAV accounts for 10.5% of the group's measured movement across 7.5 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 6 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 9%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#5 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share10.5%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-2.99%aligned
Effective breadth7.5 / 12broad
Relative alignment6/12downside path · 4 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement9%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

BKSY, KRMN, LUNR moved materially before AVAV. AVAV crossed its material path threshold at 14:20 ET. FLY, KTOS, HII followed.

Revenue YoY+140.9%2026-04-30
Operating margin-15.7%-20.7 pts YoY
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

6 of 16 members in Aerospace & Defense are active. 0 of 8 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 11 of 16 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • VOYG remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 5 of 16 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

AVAV accounts for 10.5% of the group's measured movement across 7.5 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 6 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 9%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 11 of 16 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • VOYG remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 1, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations341
Usable filing statements332
Verified relationships16
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +140.9% year over year.
  • Product pipeline and R&D has repeated favorable evidence across 6 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -20.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 6 filings.
  • Restructuring and cost reductions has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 23% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

142.17
6m-22.3%12m-53.9%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-04-30$445.7M+12.9%$-0.17+1.3%
2023-04-30$540.5M+21.3%$-7.04+1.5%
2024-04-30$716.7M+32.6%$2.18+9.1%
2025-04-30$820.6M+14.5%$1.55+3.1%
2026-04-30$2.0B+140.9%$-5.40—

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesmixed · 6 filings
“As the Company’s repayment of indebtedness using the proceeds of the common stock issuance and Notes issuance was not directly attributable to the acquisition, the related reduction in interest expense is not reflected in this unaudited pro forma combined fin…”
10-Q · Sep 10, 2026 ↗
Demand and volumemixed · 6 filings
“Our backlog is typically subject to large variations from quarter to quarter as existing contracts expire or are renewed or new contracts are awarded.”
10-Q · Sep 10, 2026 ↗
Product pipeline and R&Dpositive · 6 filings
“The decrease in SG&A expense was primarily due to a decrease of $17.4 million of intangible amortization expense and a decrease of $22.5 million in acquisition related expenses resulting from the prior year acquisition of BlueHalo, partially offset by an incr…”
10-Q · Sep 10, 2026 ↗
Restructuring and cost reductionsnegative · 5 filings
“The decrease in cash provided by operating activities was partially offset by an increase in non-cash expenses of $10.9 million, primarily due to a goodwill impairment of $18.4 million in the fiscal year ended April 30, 2025, an increase in stock-based compen…”
10-K · Jun 29, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 3.5× · EV/sales 3.7×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

140.93-1.6% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 13:00 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for AVAV. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for AVAV. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind AVAV

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

ARCTFiling-linked nameinvesteeJun 29, 2026 ▾

“Further, we have many U.S.”

BAThe Boeing CompanycompetitorJun 29, 2026 ▾

“Competitors in the C-UAS and Electronic Warfare markets include Anduril Industries, Inc., The Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation, RTX Corporation, DroneShield Limited, SRC Inc., Polaris, Inc., CACI International Inc., Northrop Grumman Corporation, L3…”

Depended on by

AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.partnerMay 7, 2026 ▾

“Our batteries and their performance specifications have been tested and validated for application by various customers, including our longtime partners such as AALTO Airbus, AeroVironment, BAE Systems, Kraus Hamdani Aerospace, Nokia Drone Networks, Nordic Win…”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 28 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

AVAV is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Aerospace & Defense. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.