Feed / ALSN

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

ALSN

Consumer Cyclical · 127.53 -0.5% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 9 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 92.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 12.9 percentage points.
Company-0.5% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 1 activeHeavy-Duty Transmissions · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 8 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Interest expense from the Incremental Term Loan and Senior Notes reduced the conversion of operating income into net income in the latest three months.
  • The latest report links the cash movement to the Acquisition and increased capital expenditures, making future cash use and investment disclosure material.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if ALSN's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 9 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 92.4% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating margin fell 12.9 percentage points.
  • Gross margin fell 16.6 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 12.4 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • Interest expense from the Incremental Term Loan and Senior Notes reduced the conversion of operating income into net income in the latest three months.
  • The latest report links the cash movement to the Acquisition and increased capital expenditures, making future cash use and investment disclosure material.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations327
Usable filing statements155
Verified relationships9
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.34x in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -6.7% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed -1.5 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -2.0 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Foreign exchange has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 176% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

127.53
6m+12.7%12m+44.0%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$2.4B+15.4%$4.13-6.1%
2022-12-31$2.8B+15.3%$5.53-10.3%
2023-12-31$3.0B+9.6%$7.40-5.2%
2024-12-31$3.2B+6.3%$8.31-3.3%
2025-12-31$3.0B-6.7%$7.33-3.4%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesnegative · 5 filings
The increase was principally driven by higher gross profit, lower cash incentive compensation payments and lower working capital funding requirements, partially offset by higher cash interest expense and increased payments for expenses related to the Acquisit…
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Demand and volumemixed · 5 filings
Global Off-Highway end market net sales decreased $4 million, or 12%, principally driven by lower demand from the energy, mining and construction sectors outside of North America, partially offset by increased demand from the energy sector in North America.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Pricing and mixmixed · 5 filings
Gross profit Gross profit for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $921 million compared to $781 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025, an increase of 18%.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Capital investment and capacitypositive · 4 filings
The increase was principally driven by the Acquisition and increased capital expenditures.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 3.6× · EV/sales 4.1×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

127.53-0.5% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for ALSN. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing presents a mixed picture

10-Q filed 2026-08-05 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-05.

mixed
OperationsmixedEvidence score +1
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationmixed

Capital and cash conversion

Inventory built faster than revenue

watch

Inventory growth exceeded revenue growth and inventory intensity increased.

Capital spending YoY
+47.4%
Capital spending / revenue
+2.8%
Free-cash-flow margin
+12.9%
FCF margin change
-6.6 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 92.4% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Operating margin fell 12.9 percentage points.
  • Gross margin fell 16.6 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 12.4 percentage points.

Filing receipts

The increase was principally driven by higher gross profit, lower cash incentive compensation payments and lower working capital funding requirements, partially offset by higher cash interest expense and increased payments for expenses related to the Acquisition.

The remaining $41 million increase was principally driven by unfavorable direct material costs, higher incentive compensation expense and higher direct material expense commensurate with increased net sales in Allison Transmission.

The increase was principally driven by the following: • Defense end market net sales increased $36 million, or 57%, principally driven by increased demand for Tracked vehicle applications, price increases on certain products and the continued execution of our growth initiatives.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind ALSN

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

DANDana IncorporatedinvesteeMay 7, 2026

On January 1, 2026 (the "Closing Date"), we completed the acquisition of Dana Incorporated's ("Dana") off-highway business (the "Acquired Off-Highway Business”) for a purchase price of approximately $2,628 million, subject to certain adjustments (the "Acquisi…

CATCaterpillar Inc.competitorFeb 24, 2026

Competition in this end market for 2025 included Caterpillar Inc.

Depended on by

BLBDBlue Bird CorporationpartnerNov 24, 2025

Electric powertrains and battery systems Accelera (a business segment of Cummins Inc.) Propane and gasoline engines and transmissions Ford Motor Company Transmissions Allison Transmission Propane fueling kits Roush CleanTech Our purchasing department continua…

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 8 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

ALSN is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Heavy-Duty Transmissions. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for ALSN; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.