Feed / CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT

Industrials · 818.57 +1.7% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Caterpillar Inc.'s move is being confirmed by its market group.

CAT accounts for 8.4% of the group's measured movement across 5.1 effective names. all 10 measured members are rising in raw terms, but 6 of 10 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 19%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#5 of 10 by movement share
Group movement share8.4%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+0.46%aligned
Effective breadth5.1 / 10balanced
Relative alignment6/10upside path · 4 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement19%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

APG moved materially before CAT. CAT crossed its material path threshold at 11:10 ET. VRT, ITT, JCI followed.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

5 of 10 members in Industrial Infrastructure are active. 0 of 8 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 7 of 10 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as ENS begins moving with the group.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 3 of 10 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

CAT accounts for 8.4% of the group's measured movement across 5.1 effective names. all 10 measured members are rising in raw terms, but 6 of 10 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 19%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 7 of 10 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as ENS begins moving with the group.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 12, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations602
Usable filing statements260
Verified relationships19
Evidence supporting the case
  • Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
  • Data center and AI demand has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
  • Macroeconomic conditions has repeated favorable evidence across 3 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -3.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Restructuring and cost reductions has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 479% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 11, 2026

818.57
6m+16.8%12m+93.6%24m+148.5%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$51.0B+22.1%$11.83-0.0%
2022-12-31$59.4B+16.6%$12.64-3.3%
2023-12-31$67.1B+12.8%$20.12-3.2%
2024-12-31$64.8B-3.4%$22.05-4.7%
2025-12-31$67.6B+4.3%$18.81-3.5%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumepositive · 5 filings
Sales of equipment to end users are expected to increase in 2026 as compared to 2025, primarily driven by rising demand for copper and gold, and positive dynamics in Heavy Construction and Quarry and Aggregates.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Credit and interest ratesmixed · 4 filings
The change was due to increased external borrowing activity, partially offset by decreased intercompany borrowings from MP&E.
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Data center and AI demandpositive · 4 filings
We continue to anticipate growth in Power Generation for both reciprocating engines and turbines and turbine-related services , driven by increasing energy demand to support data center build-out related to cloud computing and generative Artificial Intelligen…
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026
Tariffs and trade policymixed · 4 filings
Corporate Items and Eliminations Expense for corporate items and eliminations was $847 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, a decrease of $170 million from the six months ended June 30, 2025, mainly driven by decreased expenses due to timing differ…
10-Q · Aug 5, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 5.7× · EV/sales 6.0×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

818.57+1.7% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for CAT. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for CAT. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind CAT

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

PWFiling-linked namesupplierFeb 13, 2026

Backed by one of the largest independent global dealer networks and financing services through Cat Financial, the company’s primary business segments: Power & Energy, Construction Industries and Resource Industries are solving customers’ toughest challenges t…

PWFiling-linked namepartnerFeb 13, 2026

Power & Energy – A segment primarily responsible for supporting customers using reciprocating engines, turbines, diesel-electric locomotives and related services across industries serving Oil and Gas, Power Generation, Industrial and Transportation applicatio…

Depended on by

IRDMIridium Communications Inc.customerFeb 12, 2026

Examples of these applications include cockpit voice and data solutions for use by the aviation sector and voice, data and tracking applications for industrial customers, such as Caterpillar Inc., the DoW, and other U.S.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 27 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

CAT is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Industrial Infrastructure. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.