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AAR Corp.

AIR

Industrials · 99.59 -2.0% today

You’ve read what changed. Here’s whether the market is confirming it.

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 1 Oct, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

AAR Corp.'s move is spreading beyond its market group.

AIR accounts for 8.3% of the group's measured movement across 9.8 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 8 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 15%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveCounter-move#8 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share8.3%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-0.93%counter
Effective breadth9.8 / 12broad
Relative alignment8/12upside path · 3 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement15%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

No material onset for AIR could be timestamped inside the aligned 5-minute window.

P/E23.5xlatest annual facts
Revenue YoY+19.0%2026-05-31
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

9 of 35 members in Airline Operators are active. 0 of 1 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 23 of 35 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • MATX remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 12 of 35 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

AIR accounts for 8.3% of the group's measured movement across 9.8 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 8 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 15%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 23 of 35 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • MATX remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 2, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations342
Usable filing statements155
Verified relationships5
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +19.0% year over year.
  • Net margin changed +5.2 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 6 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Diluted shares increased 7.3% in the latest annual period.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Supply chain and availability has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 44% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 65% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Oct 1, 2026

99.59
6m-10.6%12m+11.1%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-05-31$1.8B+10.1%$2.17+2.0%
2023-05-31$2.0B+9.4%$2.53-2.5%
2024-05-31$2.3B+16.5%$1.29+0.9%
2025-05-31$2.8B+19.9%$0.35+1.1%
2026-05-31$3.3B+19.0%$4.86+7.3%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumepositive · 6 filings
“31, ​ ​ ​ ​ 2026 ​ ​ ​ 2025 ​ ​ ​ % Change Third-party sales ​ $ 138.8 ​ $ 133.9 ​ 3.7 % Operating income ​ 19.1 ​ 12.7 50.4 % Operating margin ​ 13.8 % 9.5 % ​ ​ ​ Sales in the Government Solutions segment increased $4.9 million, or 3.7%, over the prior year…”
10-Q · Sep 29, 2026 ↗
Credit and interest ratesmixed · 5 filings
“Interest Expense ​ Interest expense decreased $2.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 compared to the prior year quarter reflecting the impact of both lower interest rates and lower average borrowings.”
10-Q · Sep 29, 2026 ↗
Supply chain and availabilitynegative · 3 filings
“These adjustments relate to our long-term, power-by-the-hour programs where we provide component inventory management and repair services to commercial customers.”
10-Q · Mar 25, 2026 ↗
Legal and regulatory exposuremixed · 2 filings
“We have been subject to government investigation that has resulted in the payment of penalties and has required our compliance with the terms of agreements with government agencies.”
10-K · Jul 22, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.2× · EV/sales 1.4×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

99.59-2.0% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for AIR. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for AIR. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind AIR

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

EMBJEmbraer S.A.customerJul 22, 2025 ▾

“Our Repair & Engineering business primarily supports narrow-body Airbus, Boeing and Embraer regional aircraft for customers, as well as U.S.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 4 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

AIR is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Airline Operators. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.