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C3.ai, Inc.

AI

Technology · 11.26 +8.8% today

You’ve read what changed. Here’s whether the market is confirming it.

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 1 Oct, 13:45 GMT-4

Market read

C3.ai, Inc.'s move is spreading beyond its market group.

AI accounts for 8.3% of the group's measured movement across 5.9 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 6%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#4 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share8.3%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+1.47%aligned
Effective breadth5.9 / 12broad
Relative alignment7/12upside path · 4 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement6%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

BULL moved materially before AI. AI crossed its material path threshold at 15:40 ET, 5 minutes after the first measured mover. COIN, DSGX, ASAN followed.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

7 of 36 members in Software Stocks are active. 0 of 8 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 24 of 36 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • CRM remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 12 of 36 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

AI accounts for 8.3% of the group's measured movement across 5.9 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 6%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 24 of 36 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • CRM remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 1, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods8
Price observations333
Usable filing statements190
Verified relationships12
Evidence supporting the case

No qualifying supportive evidence was identified.

Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -35.7% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed -115.8 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -113.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Diluted shares increased 8.8% in the latest annual period.
  • Data center and AI demand has repeated adverse evidence across 6 filings.
  • Product pipeline and R&D has repeated adverse evidence across 6 filings.
  • Demand and volume has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
  • Pricing and mix has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position

No credible peer-relative valuation comparison is available yet.

Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

10.99
6m+26.8%12m-36.3%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-04-30$252.8M+38.0%$-1.84—
2023-04-30$266.8M+5.6%$-2.45+5.2%
2024-04-30$310.6M+16.4%$-2.34+8.7%
2025-04-30$389.1M+25.3%$-2.24+8.1%
2026-04-30$250.3M-35.7%$-3.35+8.8%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitymixed · 6 filings
“Net cash used in investing activities of $51.2 million for the three months ended July 31, 2025 was attributable to purchases of marketable securities of $206.5 million and capital expenditures of $0.8 million mainly related to the computer equipment and serv…”
10-Q · Sep 9, 2026 ↗
Data center and AI demandnegative · 6 filings
“Cost of Revenue Three Months Ended July 31, $ Change % Change 2026 2025 (in thousands) Cost of revenue Subscription $ 34,720 $ 41,481 $ (6,761) (16) % Professional services 986 2,336 (1,350) (58) % Total cost of revenue $ 35,706 $ 43,817 $ (8,111) (19) % The…”
10-Q · Sep 9, 2026 ↗
Foreign exchangemixed · 6 filings
“We expect our foreign currency gains and losses to continue to fluctuate in the future due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.”
10-Q · Sep 9, 2026 ↗
Product pipeline and R&Dnegative · 6 filings
“The decrease in research and development expense for the three months ended July 31, 2026 compared to the same period last year was primarily due to lower payroll and contractor costs of $15.6 million, lower cloud infrastructure costs of $3.6 million, partial…”
10-Q · Sep 9, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 6.2× · EV/sales 5.9×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

11.26+8.8% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 13:45 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for AI. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for AI. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind AI

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

BAHBooz Allen Hamilton Holding CorporationpartnerJun 24, 2026 ▾

“Our partner ecosystem, including Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, McKinsey & Company, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen Hamilton, and more, serves as a primary channel for customer acquisition and expansion.”

BKRBaker Hughes CompanypartnerJun 24, 2026 ▾

“Our partner ecosystem, including Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, McKinsey & Company, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen Hamilton, and more, serves as a primary channel for customer acquisition and expansion.”

AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.partnerJun 24, 2026 ▾

“Our partner ecosystem, including Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, McKinsey & Company, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen Hamilton, and more, serves as a primary channel for customer acquisition and expansion.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 6 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

AI is currently a Early Follower in the organic co-movement group Software Stocks. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.