Feed / AEO

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.

AEO

Consumer Cyclical · 14.91 -11.8% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 11 Sept, 15:10 GMT-4

Market read

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 6 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 3 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -65.2M.
Company-11.8% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 6 activeApparel Retail · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 3 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Compensation increased, including incentive expense linked to tariff-refund gains, while store wages also rose with new openings.
  • Net interest expense rose sharply because of accretion expense related to the participation agreement for tariff refund claims.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if AEO's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

The latest filing is mixed. 0 of 6 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 3 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating income moved from a loss to a profit in the comparable period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -65.2M.
What would clarify the read
  • Compensation increased, including incentive expense linked to tariff-refund gains, while store wages also rose with new openings.
  • Net interest expense rose sharply because of accretion expense related to the participation agreement for tariff refund claims.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations327
Usable filing statements146
Verified relationships3
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 2.38x in the latest annual period.
  • Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 6 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -3.9 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -2.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Restructuring and cost reductions has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 27% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 59% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

14.54
6m-20.0%12m-19.3%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-01-29$5.0B+33.3%$2.03+24.1%
2023-01-28$5.0B-0.4%$0.64-0.6%
2024-02-03$5.3B+5.4%$0.86-4.1%
2025-02-01$5.3B+1.3%$1.68-0.2%
2026-01-31$5.5B+4.1%$1.09-10.3%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumepositive · 6 filings
Historically, our operations have been seasonal, with a large portion of total net revenue and operating income occurring in the third and fourth fiscal quarters, reflecting increased demand during the back-to-school and year-end holiday selling seasons, resp…
10-Q · Sep 10, 2026
Credit and interest ratesnegative · 5 filings
Interest Expense, net 26 Weeks Ended Increase/(Decrease) August 1, 2026 August 2, 2025 (In thousands) (In thousands) (Percentage) Interest expense, net $ 54,978 $ 1,700 $ 53,278 3134 % Interest expense as a percentage of net revenue 2.1 % 0.1 % 200 basis poin…
10-Q · Sep 10, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionsmixed · 5 filings
Current Trends and Outlook Macroeconomic Conditions, Inflation and Tariffs During Fiscal 2025 and the 13 and 26 weeks ended August 1, 2026, our results were negatively impacted by macro-economic challenges and global inflationary pressures impacting consumer…
10-Q · Sep 10, 2026
Restructuring and cost reductionsnegative · 4 filings
All impairments were recorded due to insufficient prospective cash flows to support the asset value, resulting from the restructuring of Quiet Platforms.
10-K · Mar 30, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 0.5× · EV/sales 0.4×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

14.91-11.8% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:10 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for AEO. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Earlier comparable assessment · baseline

The latest filing presents a mixed picture

10-Q filed 2026-06-03 against the comparable filing from 2025-06-05.

A newer Struct brief is shown above. This older assessment remains here for comparison, not as the current read.

mixed
OperationsconstructiveEvidence score +3
liquiditycautiousEvidence score -1
valuationmixed

What improved

  • Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating income moved from a loss to a profit in the comparable period.

What weakened

  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -65.2M.

Filing receipts

Interest Expense (Income), net 33 13 Weeks Ended Increase/(Decrease) May 2, 2026 May 3, 2025 (In thousands) (In thousands) Interest expense (income), net $ 7,853 $ (219 ) $ (8,072 ) Interest expense (income) as a percentage of net revenue 0.7 % 0.0 % -70 basis points The increase in interest expense (income), net is primarily driven by $7 million of accretion expense related to the Participation Agreement for tariff refund claims.

Gross Profit 13 Weeks Ended Increase/(Decrease) May 2, 2026 May 3, 2025 (In thousands) (In thousands) (Percentage) Gross Profit $ 456,172 $ 322,421 $ 133,751 41 % Gross Margin 38.2 % 29.6 % 860 basis points The 41% increase in gross profit was primarily driven by an increase of $138 million in merchandise margin due to higher sales, as well as last year's $75 million inventory write-down of spring and summer merchandise.

The increase was primarily the result of a $111 million increase in gross profit driven by increased merchandise margin on the $121 million, or 34%, increase in total net revenue, partially offset by a $12 million increase in buying, occupancy, and warehousing expenses.

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind AEO

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

SBUXStarbucks CorporationcustomerMar 30, 2026

Baldwin served in human resources leadership roles focused on the growth and expansion of Starbucks Corporation and building a culture of inclusion at Diageo North America, Inc.

DEODiageo plcpartnerMar 30, 2026

Baldwin served in human resources leadership roles focused on the growth and expansion of Starbucks Corporation and building a culture of inclusion at Diageo North America, Inc.

ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.investeeMar 30, 2026

He also served on the Board of Directors for Albertsons Companies, Inc.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 6 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

AEO is currently a Early Follower in the organic co-movement group Apparel Retail. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.