METHOD · VALIDATION SNAPSHOT
Jodie combines observed market behaviour with relationships extracted from company filings. It shows what is moving together, why those companies may be connected and when that reaches a name you follow.
THE PRODUCT LOOP
Neither market behaviour nor filing data is enough on its own. The useful product is the connection between them.
Jodie removes the broad market move, then looks for companies whose remaining behaviour repeatedly converges. Established groups and early groups are kept separate.
You see a group marked Confirmed or Watching—not a generic movers list.Company filings are turned into traceable relationships: customers, suppliers, partners, competitors and companies whose annual reports use similar operating language.
You see the relationship, filing date and original excerpt.Every observed group is checked against the filing map and the companies you follow. That is how a market-wide event becomes relevant to your own list.
You see when a group reaches one of your names or a connected business.WHAT THE LABELS MEAN
THE VALIDATION LEDGER
These are evaluation snapshots, not a performance record. Each figure is paired with the conclusion it supports and the boundary it does not cross.
In the comparable evaluation window, 52% of 50 confirmed episodes retained the measured group behaviour. The earlier detector measured 30% across 4,025 episodes.
Boundary: This measures group persistence—not whether members rose, fell or produced a return.
The filing-similarity gate reached a 42.9% co-movement rate against the 30% comparison rate. The measured difference was statistically distinguishable from noise (p = 0.0015).
Boundary: Similar language is supporting evidence of shared exposure, not proof of causation.
The read-through study found a positive co-movement difference after controlling for shared sector membership. Its 95% interval was +0.017 to +0.075.
Boundary: The result supports connected-market context; it does not identify a leader or predict direction.
Across 14,767 evaluated events, higher-intensity observations were followed by elevated realised movement over the measured horizon.
Boundary: Up versus down remained approximately coin-flip. Jodie therefore describes action, never a directional call.
VALIDATION SNAPSHOT · JULY 2026 · DEFINITIONS AND WINDOWS HELD CONSTANT WITHIN EACH COMPARISON
EVIDENCE CHAIN
Adjusted for broad market movement before companies are grouped.
Stored with the source document, date and supporting excerpt.
Relevant to a group, company or name that the user follows.
KNOWN LIMITS
A single company may move first on a headline. Jodie’s job is to identify the wider group and connect it to disclosed business structure.
For roughly five trading days after volatility or credit shocks, group behaviour weakens. Jodie suppresses weaker observations and shows less.
A filing map reflects what companies disclose and what can be verified. Private, omitted or outdated relationships may not appear.
THE HARD BOUNDARY
Concentrated activity and connected movement are context. They are never presented as a recommendation or a promise of investment performance.