Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Jul 14 · 18:03 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Staffing & Consulting Services

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

Price direction is split across 16 measured members. Capital-flow agreement is 26%, so the basket is not yet clean.

Price breadth10 up · 5 downRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignment26%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 18/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth2 episodesLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

2 earlier filing context receipts

WED, APR 29ADP filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

WED, AUG 12ARX filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

20/21 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across ADP, ARX, CBZ, CSGP, GDDY, ICFI, JKHY, KFY, LOPE, MAN, MORN, NOW, RHI, TYL.

credit / rates affecting interest expense

The decrease was driven by an increase in interest expense on funds held under reinsurance.

ARX 10-Q · 2026-08-13
restructuring affecting expense

13.1 % 14.2 % (110) bps 31 (a) Other represents certain corporate overhead charges and expenses that have not been allocated to the reportable segments, including corporate functions, legal settlements, company-wide severance initiatives, non-recurring gains and losses, the elimination of intercompany transactions, and interest income and expense. n/m - not meaningful Employer Services Revenues Employer Services' revenues increased in fiscal 2026 due to new business started from new business bookings, strong client revenue retention, an increase in pricing, a 1% year-over-year growth impact of foreign currency, an increase in interest earned on funds held for clients of $164.1 million, and an increase in our pays per control when measured on a same-store-sales basis of 1%.

ADP 10-K · 2026-08-05
demand / volume

Damage to our reputation as a result of our provision of policies to certain insureds could result in decreased demand for our insurance products.

ARX 10-K · 2026-03-18
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

4 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

GMoving with group

FCN · text peer

PCTYMoving with group

PAYX · text peer

EPAMMoving with group

ICFI · text peer

FISVMoving with group

JKHY · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
ARXICFITRILOPECSGPCBZNSPKFYTNETTYLJKHYFCNFDSITNOWMORNMANADPGDDYPAYXRHI

10/21 active10 rising · 6 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
ARXAccelerant Holdings
Most unusual · 100/100
+0.1%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
ICFIICF International, Inc.
Elevated · 76/100
Active; unclassifiedActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
TRIThomson Reuters Corporation
Elevated · 72/100
-0.4%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.
Elevated · 68/100
+0.8%
Flow confirmerActive in 50% of observed group sessions
CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.
Elevated · 66/100
-0.0%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CBZCBIZ, Inc.
Elevated · 55/100
Active; unclassifiedActive in 50% of observed group sessions
NSPInsperity, Inc.
Elevated · 51/100
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
KFYKorn Ferry
Elevated · 51/100
+0.7%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
TNETTriNet Group, Inc.
Elevated · 50/100
Active; unclassifiedActive in 66.7% of observed group sessions
TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.
Elevated · 48/100
+0.7%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.
Quiet · 47/100
+0.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
FCNFTI Consulting, Inc.
Quiet · 45/100
+1.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 50% of observed group sessions
FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.
Quiet · 45/100
-0.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
ITGartner, Inc.
Quiet · 44/100
+1.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
NOWServiceNow, Inc.
Quiet · 44/100
-0.9%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
MORNMorningstar, Inc.
Quiet · 44/100
-0.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
MANManpowerGroup
Quiet · 36/100
Watch / laggardActive in 66.7% of observed group sessions
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.
Quiet · 35/100
+0.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 33.3% of observed group sessions
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.
Quiet · 33/100
-1.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
PAYXPaychex, Inc.
Quiet · 31/100
+1.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
RHIRobert Half Inc.
Quiet · 27/100
+2.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 33.3% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
ARXAccelerant HoldingsMost unusual+0.1%0% of 6 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
ICFIICF International, Inc.Participating16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
TRIThomson Reuters CorporationParticipating-0.4%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.Participating+0.8%50% of 6 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.Participating-0.0%0% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
CBZCBIZ, Inc.Participating50% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
NSPInsperity, Inc.Participating0% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
KFYKorn FerryParticipating+0.7%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
TNETTriNet Group, Inc.Participating66.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.Participating+0.7%0% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.7%0% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
FCNFTI Consulting, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.6%50% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.2%0% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
ITGartner, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.1%0% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
NOWServiceNow, Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.9%0% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
MORNMorningstar, Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.7%16.7% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
MANManpowerGroupQuiet / lagging66.7% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.6%33.3% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.Quiet / lagging-1.1%0% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
PAYXPaychex, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.3%0% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
RHIRobert Half Inc.Quiet / lagging+2.1%33.3% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
Low structural sample

Only 2 completed episodes across 6 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support10 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes2Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions6Completed session observations, not trades
2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 active sessions11.1% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-024 active sessions10% composition consistency through the episode
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
MAN66.7% · 2 episodes
TNET66.7% · 1 episode
CBZ50% · 1 episode
FCN50% · 2 episodes
LOPE50% · 2 episodes
ADP33.3% · 2 episodes
RHI33.3% · 1 episode
ICFI16.7% · 1 episode
KFY16.7% · 1 episode
MORN16.7% · 1 episode
TRI16.7% · 1 episode
ARX0% · 0 episodes
CSGP0% · 0 episodes
FDS0% · 0 episodes
GDDY0% · 0 episodes
IT0% · 0 episodes
JKHY0% · 0 episodes
NOW0% · 0 episodes
NSP0% · 0 episodes
PAYX0% · 0 episodes
TYL0% · 0 episodes