Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Sep 9 · 16:27 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Regulated Water Utilities

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

Price direction is split across 7 measured members. Capital-flow agreement is 37%, so the basket is not yet clean.

Price breadth1 up · 5 downRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignment37%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 11/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth10 episodes51 observed active sessions
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

1 timed event
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.
2 earlier filing context receipts

TUE, JUL 28AWK filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

TUE, AUG 4AWR filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

7/7 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across AWK, CPK, CWT, HTO, TRMK, WTRG.

credit / rates affecting interest expense

47 Table of Contents Other Presented in the table below is information for Other: For the Three Months Ended June 30, For the Six Months Ended June 30, (In millions) 2026 2025 2026 2025 Operating revenues $ 87 $ 98 $ 183 $ 191 Operation and maintenance 72 74 148 147 Depreciation and amortization 2 4 5 7 General taxes 6 5 10 11 Interest expense (40) (35) (77) (65) Interest income — 21 11 42 Other income 11 3 14 10 (Benefit from) provision for income taxes (6) 3 (4) 8 Net (loss) income attributable to common shareholders $ (16) $ 1 $ (28) $ 5 Operating Revenues For the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, operating revenues decreased $11 million and $8 million, respectively, primarily from a decrease in capital projects in the Contract Services Group.

AWK 10-Q · 2026-07-29
credit / rates

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, cash flows provided by financing activities decreased $394 million, primarily due to net repayments of short-term commercial paper compared to net borrowings in the prior period, higher repayments of long-term debt and higher dividend payments, partially offset by higher issuances of long-term debt and settlements of forward sale agreements.

AWK 10-Q · 2026-07-29
demand / volume

Customer demand is generally greater during the warmer months, primarily due to increased outdoor water use, including irrigation systems.

AWK 10-K · 2026-02-18
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

0 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

MSEXNot confirming

AWK · text peer

TPLNot confirming

WTRG · text peer

NFGNot confirming

AWK · text peer

FELENot confirming

AWK · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
AWKWTRGTRMKCWTAWRHTOCPK

5/7 active1 rising · 6 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.
Most unusual · 100/100
-0.0%
Flow confirmerActive in 72.5% of observed group sessions
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.
Elevated · 92/100
+0.1%
Flow confirmerActive in 78.4% of observed group sessions
TRMKTrustmark Corporation
Elevated · 58/100
-1.1%
Flow confirmerActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CWTCalifornia Water Service Group
Elevated · 45/100
-0.7%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 94.1% of observed group sessions
AWRAmerican States Water Company
Elevated · 36/100
-0.5%
Flow divergenceActive in 92.2% of observed group sessions
HTOH2O America
Elevated · 27/100
-0.8%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 94.1% of observed group sessions
CPKChesapeake Utilities Corporation
Quiet · 0/100
-2.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 5.9% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.Most unusual-0.0%72.5% of 51 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.Participating+0.1%78.4% of 51 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
TRMKTrustmark CorporationParticipating-1.1%0% of 51 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
CWTCalifornia Water Service GroupParticipating-0.7%94.1% of 51 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
AWRAmerican States Water CompanyParticipating-0.5%92.2% of 51 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
HTOH2O AmericaParticipating-0.8%94.1% of 51 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationQuiet / lagging-2.0%5.9% of 51 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Observed follow-through

9/9 events completed
30 minutes-0.48%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
60 minutes-0.74%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
Session close-0.63%0% continuation · n=4Median MFE +0.03% · MAE -1.67%
Next-session close-1.16%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
moderate structural support

10 completed episodes across 51 active sessions provide moderate historical support. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support108 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes10Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions51Completed session observations, not trades
2026-09-031 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-08-17 → 2026-08-245 active sessions50% composition consistency through the episode
2026-07-07 → 2026-08-1224 active sessions33.3% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-23 → 2026-07-027 active sessions28.6% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-15 → 2026-06-173 active sessions50% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-051 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
CWT94.1% · 9 episodes
HTO94.1% · 9 episodes
AWR92.2% · 9 episodes
WTRG78.4% · 8 episodes
AWK72.5% · 9 episodes
CPK5.9% · 2 episodes
TRMK0% · 0 episodes