Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLive session · 10:17 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Regulated Water Utilities

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

Price direction is split across 15 measured members. Capital-flow agreement is 23%, so the basket is not yet clean.

Price breadth13 up · 2 downRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignment23%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 0/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth11 episodes52 observed active sessions
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

2 earlier filing context receipts

TUE, FEB 24SWX filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

TUE, JUL 28AWK filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

9/15 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across AWK, CPK, CWT, HTO, MGEE, SRE, SWX, WTRG.

credit / rates affecting interest expense

“$19.4 million higher Net interest deductions primarily due to amounts incurred on higher over-collected PGA balances for Arizona and Nevada when compared to 2024, as well as higher variable interest expense adjustment mechanism in Nevada of $5.9 million associated with Southwest Gas’ industrial development revenue bonds noted above.”

SWX 10-K · 2026-02-25
capital investment / capacity affecting capex

“The decrease was driven by reduced outflows for capital expenditures and property additions in the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same period of 2024, partially offset by a reduction in proceeds received from the sale of other property as compared to 2024.”

SWX 10-Q · 2025-11-05
credit / rates

“Partially offset by: • $22.9 million lower Net interest deductions primarily driven by the repayment of the $550.0 million term loan in the Summer of 2025 as well as the decrease in the balance that was previously outstanding on the revolving credit facility.”

SWX 10-K · 2026-02-25
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

2 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

NWNMoving with group

SWX · text peer

MPLXMoving with group

MGEE · text peer

MSEXNot confirming

AWK · text peer

NFGNot confirming

AWK · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
SWXHTOBEPCNGGSREFTSCWTAQNWTRGBEPCPKAWKAWRMGEEEMA

5/15 active13 rising · 2 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
Most unusual · 100/100
+0.5%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 1.9% of observed group sessions
HTOH2O America
Elevated · 75/100
+0.4%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 92.3% of observed group sessions
BEPCBrookfield Renewable Corporation
Elevated · 62/100
+0.5%
Flow divergenceActive in 0% of observed group sessions
NGGNational Grid plc
Elevated · 38/100
-0.4%
Flow confirmerActive in 0% of observed group sessions
SRESempra
Elevated · 31/100
+1.7%
Flow divergenceActive in 1.9% of observed group sessions
FTSFortis Inc.
Quiet · 15/100
-0.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CWTCalifornia Water Service Group
Quiet · 12/100
+0.4%
Watch / laggardActive in 92.3% of observed group sessions
AQNAlgonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Quiet · 8/100
+1.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 1.9% of observed group sessions
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.
Quiet · 8/100
+0.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 78.8% of observed group sessions
BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners L.P.
Quiet · 2/100
+0.5%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CPKChesapeake Utilities Corporation
Quiet · 0/100
+0.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 5.8% of observed group sessions
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.
Quiet · 0/100
+0.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 73.1% of observed group sessions
AWRAmerican States Water Company
Quiet · 0/100
+0.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 90.4% of observed group sessions
MGEEMGE Energy, Inc.
Quiet · 0/100
+0.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
EMAEmera Incorporated
Quiet · 0/100
+0.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.Most unusual+0.5%1.9% of 52 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
HTOH2O AmericaParticipating+0.4%92.3% of 52 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
BEPCBrookfield Renewable CorporationParticipating+0.5%0% of 52 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
NGGNational Grid plcParticipating-0.4%0% of 52 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
SRESempraParticipating+1.7%1.9% of 52 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
FTSFortis Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.1%0% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
CWTCalifornia Water Service GroupQuiet / lagging+0.4%92.3% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
AQNAlgonquin Power & Utilities Corp.Quiet / lagging+1.1%1.9% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.7%78.8% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners L.P.Quiet / lagging+0.5%0% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationQuiet / lagging+0.8%5.8% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.7%73.1% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
AWRAmerican States Water CompanyQuiet / lagging+0.6%90.4% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
MGEEMGE Energy, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.3%0% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
EMAEmera IncorporatedQuiet / lagging+0.2%0% of 52 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Observed follow-through

9/9 events completed
30 minutes-0.48%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
60 minutes-0.74%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
Session close-0.63%0% continuation · n=4Median MFE +0.03% · MAE -1.67%
Next-session close-1.16%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
moderate structural support

11 completed episodes across 52 active sessions provide moderate historical support. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support115 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes11Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions52Completed session observations, not trades
2026-09-291 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-09-031 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-08-17 → 2026-08-245 active sessions50% composition consistency through the episode
2026-07-07 → 2026-08-1224 active sessions33.3% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-23 → 2026-07-027 active sessions28.6% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-15 → 2026-06-173 active sessions50% composition consistency through the episode
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
CWT92.3% · 9 episodes
HTO92.3% · 9 episodes
AWR90.4% · 9 episodes
WTRG78.8% · 9 episodes
AWK73.1% · 10 episodes
CPK5.8% · 2 episodes
AQN1.9% · 1 episode
SRE1.9% · 1 episode
SWX1.9% · 1 episode
BEP0% · 0 episodes
BEPC0% · 0 episodes
EMA0% · 0 episodes
FTS0% · 0 episodes
MGEE0% · 0 episodes
NGG0% · 0 episodes