Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Oct 7 · 18:22 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Regulated Water Utilities

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

Price direction is split across 8 measured members. Capital-flow agreement is 10%, so the basket is not yet clean.

Price breadth3 up · 5 downRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignment10%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 16/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth11 episodes53 observed active sessions
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

2 earlier filing context receipts

TUE, OCT 21WCN filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

TUE, JUL 28AWK filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates affecting interest expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

8/8 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across AWK, CPK, CWT, HTO, RSG, WCN, WTRG.

credit / rates affecting interest expense

“We define adjusted EBITDA as net income attributable to Waste Connections, plus or minus net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests, plus income tax provision, plus interest expense, less interest income, plus depreciation and amortization expense, plus closure and post-closure accretion expense, plus or minus any loss or gain on impairments and other operating items, plus other expense, less other income.”

WCN 10-Q · 2025-10-22
credit / rates

“The increase was primarily attributable to an increase of $6.5 million from the issuance of $500.0 million of senior unsecured notes in June 2025 and an increase of $0.6 million due to an increase in the average borrowings outstanding under our credit facilities during the 42 Table of Contents three months ended September 30, 2025 , partially offset by a decrease of $6.2 million from lower interest rates on borrowings outstanding during the comparable periods.”

WCN 10-Q · 2025-10-22
input costs affecting expense

“The decrease in our EBITDA margin was due to the impact of acquisitions having lower EBITDA margins than our segment average, an increase in uncollectible accounts receivable and higher professional fees, partially offset by lower risk management costs, price-led increases in revenue, lower allocated corporate overhead and a decrease in labor costs as a percentage of revenue.”

WCN 10-Q · 2026-04-23
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

1 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

CNPMoving with group

WTRG · text peer

MSEXNot confirming

AWK · text peer

TPLNot confirming

WTRG · text peer

NFGNot confirming

AWK · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
WCNAWRWTRGHTORSGAWKCWTCPK

5/8 active3 rising · 5 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.
Most unusual · 100/100
+0.3%
Flow confirmerActive in 1.9% of observed group sessions
AWRAmerican States Water Company
Elevated · 88/100
-0.1%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 90.6% of observed group sessions
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.
Elevated · 87/100
-0.7%
Flow confirmerActive in 77.4% of observed group sessions
HTOH2O America
Elevated · 76/100
-0.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 92.5% of observed group sessions
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.
Elevated · 68/100
+0.7%
Flow confirmerActive in 0% of observed group sessions
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.
Elevated · 65/100
-0.5%
Flow divergenceActive in 71.7% of observed group sessions
CWTCalifornia Water Service Group
Quiet · 49/100
-0.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 92.5% of observed group sessions
CPKChesapeake Utilities Corporation
Quiet · 34/100
+0.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 7.5% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.Most unusual+0.3%1.9% of 53 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
AWRAmerican States Water CompanyParticipating-0.1%90.6% of 53 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.Participating-0.7%77.4% of 53 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
HTOH2O AmericaParticipating-0.3%92.5% of 53 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.Participating+0.7%0% of 53 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.Participating-0.5%71.7% of 53 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
CWTCalifornia Water Service GroupQuiet / lagging-0.2%92.5% of 53 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationQuiet / lagging+0.1%7.5% of 53 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Observed follow-through

9/9 events completed
30 minutes-0.48%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
60 minutes-0.74%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
Session close-0.63%0% continuation · n=4Median MFE +0.03% · MAE -1.67%
Next-session close-1.16%17% continuation · n=6Median MFE +0.04% · MAE -1.67%
Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
moderate structural support

11 completed episodes across 53 active sessions provide moderate historical support. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support121 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes11Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions53Completed session observations, not trades
2026-09-29 → 2026-10-012 active sessionsNo name was active through every recorded session
2026-09-031 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-08-17 → 2026-08-245 active sessions50% composition consistency through the episode
2026-07-07 → 2026-08-1224 active sessions33.3% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-23 → 2026-07-027 active sessions28.6% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-15 → 2026-06-173 active sessions50% composition consistency through the episode
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
CWT92.5% · 10 episodes
HTO92.5% · 10 episodes
AWR90.6% · 10 episodes
WTRG77.4% · 9 episodes
AWK71.7% · 10 episodes
CPK7.5% · 3 episodes
WCN1.9% · 1 episode
RSG0% · 0 episodes