Themes / Group
Active · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Jul 17 · 18:02 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Semiconductor Components

THE TRADER READShared activity without a clean directional read

8 of 12 measured SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside across 7.8 effective names. Capital flow shows distribution with 79% agreement. No verified headline preceded the measured move.

Price breadth3 up · 9 down+0.3% median path versus SPY
Capital-flow alignment79%Distribution confirmed by signed flow
Activity nowHotActivity score 68/100 · lift 1.3×
Evidence depth4 episodesLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

4 timed events · 15:40–15:55 ET
TIMING READNo verified timestamped headline was found within 24 hours of the first measured price move in the available common-bar window. The move currently reads as market-led or unexplained.
  1. 5-minute inferenceACMR registered the first material upside path

    +0.53% session path at the threshold · ACMR

  2. 5-minute inferenceBELFA registered a material downside path

    -0.42% session path at the threshold · BELFA

  3. 5-minute inferenceACLS registered a material upside path

    +0.57% session path at the threshold · ACLS

  4. 5-minute inferenceNVMI registered a material upside path

    +0.48% session path at the threshold · NVMI

2 earlier filing context receipts

SUN, MAR 1ACMR filing documented shared operating contextproduct pipeline / R&D affecting expense · date precision only

THU, MAY 7ACLS filing documented shared operating contextproduct pipeline / R&D affecting expense · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.
THEME CONSTRUCTION

Broad move or one-stock disguise?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths

Observed movement is broad across 7.8 effective names. ACMR represents 25.1% of absolute path energy; 8 of 12 members align with the up relative path.

ConstructionBroad25.1% from the largest path
Effective names7.8 / 12Movement diversity after concentration
Direction breadth8/12 alignedupside relative path · 2 counter-moving
Largest moverACMR 25.1%37.5% from the top two paths
ACMR25.1%Dominant mover · path +1.16% · basket +0.10pp
ACLS12.4%Aligned contributor · path +0.57% · basket +0.05pp
NVMI10.5%Aligned contributor · path +0.48% · basket +0.04pp
ONTO9.3%Aligned contributor · path +0.43% · basket +0.04pp
AMBA9.1%Counter-move · path -0.42% · basket -0.04pp
SANM8.8%Aligned contributor · path +0.41% · basket +0.03pp
AMKR7.7%Aligned contributor · path +0.36% · basket +0.03pp
BELFA6.0%Counter-move · path -0.28% · basket -0.02pp
KLAC5.6%Aligned contributor · path +0.26% · basket +0.02pp
MRVL3.4%Aligned contributor · path +0.16% · basket +0.01pp
CAMT1.1%Flat / inactive path · path -0.05% · basket -0.00pp
RMBS1.0%Flat / inactive path · path -0.05% · basket -0.00pp
Top six names by movement share are shown. Movement share measures absolute 5-minute path energy; signed basket contribution is equal-weight. Neither is a portfolio weight or causal attribution.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
HOW THE PRICE MOVE SPREAD

Observed session sequence

5-minute bars · inferred
  1. ACMR moved higher firstFirst member to clear the material path threshold · path +0.53%
  2. BELFA registered a material lower path5m after the first price move · path -0.42%
  3. ACLS registered a material higher path10m after the first price move · path +0.57%
  4. NVMI registered a material higher path10m after the first price move · path +0.48%
  5. ONTO registered a material higher path10m after the first price move · path +0.43%
  6. AMBA registered a material lower path10m after the first price move · path -0.42%

Sequence inferred from aligned 5-minute price paths; it is not a causal ordering.

RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

SPY-adjusted
Aug 21 · 15:40 ET15:50 ETAug 21 · 15:55 ET
Group median +0.31%Strongest relative path ACMRWeakest relative path AMBA

Observed member paths adjusted against SPY. The dashed marker shows when the median move first cleared a material threshold; shading marks the latest 20% of the observed window.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

10/12 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across AMBA, AMKR, KLAC, MRVL, ONTO, RMBS, SANM.

product pipeline / R&D affecting expense

The slightly higher personnel costs for the three months ended March 31, 2026 are primarily due to increases in salary and benefits expenses, partially offset by a decrease in separation program expenses. ​ 24 Table of Contents Research and Development ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Three months ended ​ ​ ​ Period-to-Period ​ ​ ​ March 31, ​ ​ ​ Change ​ ​ ​ 2026 ​ 2025 ​ ​ ​ $ ​ % ​ ​ ​ (dollars in thousands) ​ ​ Research and development ​ $ 28,516 ​ ​ ​ $ 27,128 ​ ​ ​ ​ $ 1,388 ​ ​ ​ 5.1 % ​ ​ ​ Percentage of revenue ​ ​ 14.3 % ​ 14.1 % ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Our ability to remain competitive depends largely on continuously developing innovative technology, with new and enhanced features and systems and introducing them at competitive prices on a timely basis.

ACLS 10-Q · 2026-05-08
credit / rates affecting interest expense

Interest expense during the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026 decreased compared to the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025 primarily due to reduced interest expense following our $750.0 million debt repayment in the second quarter of fiscal 2025.

KLAC 10-K · 2026-08-06
demand / volume affecting revenue

Revenue from our PCB and Component Inspection segment increased 21% in fiscal 2026 compared to fiscal 2025, primarily driven by increased demand from customers investing in advanced packaging technologies, higher revenue from our PCB business, and increased service revenue attributable to growth in the installed base of tools.

KLAC 10-K · 2026-08-06
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

0 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

ASYSNot confirming

ACMR · text peer

ENTGNot confirming

ACMR · text peer

VECONot confirming

ACMR · text peer

MPWRNot confirming

ACMR · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
KLACMRVLAMKRACMRONTOACLSRMBSNVMICAMTSANMAMBABELFA

10/12 active3 rising · 9 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
KLACKLA Corporation
Most unusual · 100/100
-1.0%
Aligned price + flowActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.
Elevated · 99/100
-5.6%
Aligned price + flowActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.
Elevated · 97/100
-1.2%
Aligned path contributorActive in 33.3% of observed group sessions
ACMRACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Elevated · 96/100
+1.3%
Dominant path moverActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.
Elevated · 66/100
-1.8%
Aligned path contributorActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
ACLSAxcelis Technologies, Inc.
Elevated · 62/100
+1.5%
Aligned path contributorActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
RMBSRambus Inc.
Elevated · 62/100
-1.0%
Flow divergenceActive in 0% of observed group sessions
NVMINova Ltd.
Elevated · 56/100
-1.6%
Aligned path contributorActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CAMTCamtek Ltd.
Elevated · 54/100
-1.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
SANMSanmina Corporation
Elevated · 53/100
-0.8%
Aligned price + flowActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
AMBAAmbarella, Inc.
Quiet · 41/100
+1.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
BELFABel Fuse Inc.
Quiet · 37/100
-1.9%
Watch / laggardActive in 33.3% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
KLACKLA CorporationMost unusual-1.0%16.7% of 6 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.Participating-5.6%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.Participating-1.2%33.3% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
ACMRACM Research, Inc. Class A Common StockParticipating+1.3%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.Participating-1.8%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
ACLSAxcelis Technologies, Inc.Participating+1.5%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
RMBSRambus Inc.Participating-1.0%0% of 6 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
NVMINova Ltd.Participating-1.6%0% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
CAMTCamtek Ltd.Participating-1.3%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
SANMSanmina CorporationParticipating-0.8%16.7% of 6 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
AMBAAmbarella, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.8%0% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
BELFABel Fuse Inc.Quiet / lagging-1.9%33.3% of 6 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
Low structural sample

Only 4 completed episodes across 6 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support15 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes4Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions6Completed session observations, not trades
2026-07-151 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-07-071 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-07-01 → 2026-07-022 active sessions11.1% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-25 → 2026-06-262 active sessions25% composition consistency through the episode
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
AMKR33.3% · 2 episodes
BELFA33.3% · 1 episode
ACLS16.7% · 1 episode
ACMR16.7% · 1 episode
CAMT16.7% · 1 episode
KLAC16.7% · 1 episode
MRVL16.7% · 1 episode
ONTO16.7% · 1 episode
SANM16.7% · 1 episode
AMBA0% · 0 episodes
NVMI0% · 0 episodes
RMBS0% · 0 episodes