“For the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to six months ended June 30, 2025, interest expense and related charges decreased primarily due to an $81 million increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains on interest rate swaps, partially offset by $35 milli…”10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
Vistra Corp.
VST
Market read
Vistra Corp.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.
The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 15 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 6 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
- Revenue increased 17.7% versus the comparable filing period.
- Company reported a $2.752 billion increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains on commodity derivative positions that materially affected Texas net income.
- Reported $64 million increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains on interest rate swaps reduced interest expense for the quarter.
Invalidation: The isolated read changes if VST's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.
Research brief
The story so far
The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 15 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 6 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
- Revenue increased 17.7% versus the comparable filing period.
- Operating income moved from a loss to a profit in the comparable period.
No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.
- Company reported a $2.752 billion increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains on commodity derivative positions that materially affected Texas net income.
- Reported $64 million increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains on interest rate swaps reduced interest expense for the quarter.
Company research
Understand the business, not just the ticker
Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.
- Which operating variable is changing?
- Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
- What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
- Latest annual revenue changed +19.1% year over year.
- Operating cash flow covered net income at 4.31x in the latest annual period.
- Operating margin changed -16.8 percentage points in the latest annual period.
- Net margin changed -12.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
- Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
- Energy and commodity prices has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
No credible peer-relative valuation comparison is available yet.
Price as of Sep 9, 2026
151.09Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.
What management says matters
Persistent and emerging business drivers
“For the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to the six months ended June 30, 2025, fuel, purchased power costs, and delivery fees decreased primarily due to a $264 million increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains on commodity derivative positions and l…”10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
“Capital Expenditures Estimated 2026 capital expenditures and nuclear fuel purchases as of December 31, 2025 total approximately $2.587 billion and include: • $1.087 billion for investments in generation and mining facilities inclusive of LTSA prepayments; • $…”10-K · Feb 27, 2026 ↗
“The primary drivers for the increase include: Three Months Ended June 30, 2025 Compared to 2024 Retail Texas East West (in millions) Favorable change in realized revenue net of fuel in East driven by higher volumes and margins.”10-Q · Aug 8, 2025 ↗
Valuation discipline
Peer-relative valuation withheld
Jodie found no industry-matched filing peers suitable for a valuation comparison. It will not substitute broader financial-sector names.
Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.
Price action
How the market is pricing the story
Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 9 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.
Developments
No sourced recent-development timeline yet
Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for VST. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.
Business and financial condition
Reported financial figures are not available yet
Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.
Latest filing assessment · baseline
Fundamentals strengthened in the latest filing
10-Q filed 2026-05-08 against the comparable filing from 2025-05-08.
What improved
- Revenue increased 17.7% versus the comparable filing period.
- Operating income moved from a loss to a profit in the comparable period.
What weakened
No thresholded deterioration was identified.
Filing receipts
“Sources and Uses of Cash Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 2025 Change (in millions) Net cash provided by operating activities $ 1,199 $ 599 $ 600 Net cash used in investing activities $ (638) $ (1,061) $ 423 Net cash used in financing activities $ (706) $ (164) $ (542) Operating Cash Flows The change in net cash provided by operating activities was primarily driven by (i) increased realized revenue net of fuel driven primarily by higher realized capacity prices and energy margins, (ii) increase in realized revenue net of expenses from the addition of plants acquired in the Lotus Acquisition and (iii) a $284 million increase in net margin deposits as $67 million in net margin deposits suppo...”
“Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 2025 (in millions) Interest expense and related charges $ (263) $ (319) Interest expense and related charges decreased primarily due to a $64 million increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains on interest rate swaps.”
“Retail Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 2025 (in millions) Net income (loss) $ (724) $ 1,132 Adjusted EBITDA $ 68 $ 184 Retail electricity sales volumes (GWh): Sales volumes in ERCOT 15,904 17,965 Sales volumes in Northeast/Midwest 14,205 15,358 Total retail electricity sales volumes 30,109 33,323 Retail net income decreased due to a $1.762 billion increase in unrealized mark-to-market losses on commodity derivative positions and a decrease in retail margins primarily due to an increase in excess volumes sold at lower wholesale prices and a decrease in customer consumption due to weather.”
Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.
Business ecosystem
The relationships behind VST
Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.
Depends on
Depended on by
CIFRCipher Digital Inc.partnerMay 5, 2026 ▾
“At the end of the lease term for the Interconnection Electrical Facilities, the substation will be sold back to Luminant’s affiliate, Vistra Operations Company, LLC at a price to be determined based upon bids obtained in the secondary market.”
Filing peers
Companies whose filings use similar operating language.
Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 3 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →
What is moving around it
Live connections
VST is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Mixed Risk Exposure. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.
This group is retained as the last observed read for VST; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.
Context history
Theme membership history
No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.