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Tractor Supply Company

TSCO

Consumer Cyclical · 33.02 -1.5% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Tractor Supply Company's current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 3 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 2.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 2.7 percentage points.
Company-1.5% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 1 activeRural Lifestyle Retail · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 3 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Company reports construction of a new distribution center in Nampa, Idaho anticipated to begin operations in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if TSCO's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 3 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 2.3% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating margin fell 2.7 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 16.1% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 1.7 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • Company reports construction of a new distribution center in Nampa, Idaho anticipated to begin operations in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 12, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations602
Usable filing statements59
Verified relationships4
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.49x in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 50% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 11, 2026

33.02
6m-31.4%12m-43.5%24m-87.8%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-25$12.7B+19.9%$8.61-1.4%
2022-12-31$14.2B+11.6%$1.94
2023-12-30$14.6B+2.5%$2.02-2.1%
2024-12-28$14.9B+2.2%$2.04-1.7%
2025-12-27$15.5B+4.3%$2.06-1.4%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Demand and volumemixed · 3 filings
The decline in comparable store sales was primarily driven by softness in seasonal categories, including big ticket, and continued below-average performance in the companion animal category, reflecting softer demand trends, category shifts and an unfavorable…
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026
Tariffs and trade policynegative · 3 filings
The gross margin rate benefited from disciplined product cost management and tariff-related benefits, partially offset by higher delivery-related transportation costs.
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026
Capital investment and capacitypositive · 3 filings
The increase in capital expenditures for distribution center capacity and improvements in the first six months of fiscal 2026 is primarily driven by the construction of our newest distribution center in Nampa, Idaho, which is anticipated to begin operations i…
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026
Input and raw-material costsnegative · 2 filings
The decline in comparable store sales was primarily driven by softness in seasonal categories, including big ticket, and continued below-average performance in the companion animal category, reflecting softer demand trends, category shifts and an unfavorable…
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.1× · EV/sales 1.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

33.02-1.5% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for TSCO. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-08-06 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-07.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -1
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationmixed

Capital and cash conversion

Investment load increased

watch

Capital spending consumed more revenue while free-cash-flow margin declined.

Capital spending YoY
+23.9%
Capital spending / revenue
+5.4%
Free-cash-flow margin
+2.7%
FCF margin change
-5.6 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 2.3% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Operating margin fell 2.7 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 16.1% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 1.7 percentage points.

Filing receipts

The decline in comparable store sales was primarily driven by softness in seasonal categories, including big ticket, and continued below-average performance in the companion animal category, reflecting softer demand trends, category shifts and an unfavorable product mix.

This increase was primarily attributable to disciplined product cost management and tariff-related benefits, partially offset by higher freight expense and incremental investments to strengthen the Company's price-value position.

Partially offsetting the increase in total capital expenditures, proceeds from the sale of property and equipment increased in the first six months of fiscal 2026 primarily driven by the sale of both new, fixed-fee development stores and existing stores as part of our sale-leaseback program.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind TSCO

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depended on by

GFFGriffon CorporationcustomerNov 19, 2025

ers CPP sells products throughout North America, Australia, New Zealand, the U.K.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 7 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

TSCO is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Rural Lifestyle Retail. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for TSCO; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.