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Texas Pacific Land Corporation

TPL

Energy · 337.27 +2.6% today

You’ve read what changed. Here’s whether the market is confirming it.

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 1 Oct, 14:25 GMT-4

Market read

Texas Pacific Land Corporation's move is spreading beyond its market group.

TPL accounts for 10.4% of the group's measured movement across 3.8 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 8 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 30%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#2 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share10.4%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+2.89%aligned
Effective breadth3.8 / 12concentrated
Relative alignment8/12upside path · 2 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement30%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

INR, NOV, EFXT moved materially before TPL. TPL crossed its material path threshold at 13:15 ET, 1285 minutes after the first measured mover. OIS, VET, TTE followed.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

5 of 12 members in Oil & Gas are active. 0 of 4 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 8 of 12 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • AR remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 4 of 12 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

TPL accounts for 10.4% of the group's measured movement across 3.8 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 8 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 30%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 8 of 12 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • AR remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 1, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods8
Price observations615
Usable filing statements59
Verified relationships4
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +13.1% year over year.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.13x in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -2.2 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -4.0 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 422% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 943% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

325.80
6m-31.3%12m-64.6%24m-64.8%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$451.0M+49.0%$34.83-0.1%
2022-12-31$667.4M+48.0%$19.26—
2023-12-31$631.6M-5.4%$5.86—
2024-12-31$705.8M+11.8%$6.57-0.2%
2025-12-31$798.2M+13.1%$6.97-0.0%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Energy and commodity pricesnegative · 1 filings
“Our oil and gas royalty revenue, and, in turn, our results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2025 have been impacted by lower average commodity prices compared to 2024.”
10-K · Feb 18, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 28.2× · EV/sales 28.0×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

337.27+2.6% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 15:00 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for TPL. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for TPL. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind TPL

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

BKRBaker Hughes CompanysupplierAug 6, 2025 ▾

“U.S.”

HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.investeeNov 5, 2025 ▾

“On November 3, 2025, we acquired approximately 17,306 NRA located primarily in the Midland basin in Martin, Howard, Midland, and other counties for an aggregate purchase price of $474.1 million.”

Depended on by

LBLandBridge Company LLCpartnerFeb 26, 2026 ▾

“In furtherance of our strategy, we and WaterBridge entered into agreements with Texas Pacific Land Corporation (“TPL”), one of the largest landowners in Texas, to provide reciprocal crossing rights and produced water royalty and revenue sharing across an area…”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 1 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

TPL is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Oil & Gas. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.