Feed / TKR

The Timken Company

TKR

Industrials · 119.10 -3.9% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 9 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

The Timken Company's current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 25 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 1 directly disclosed connection is confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 7.5% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 5.9 percentage points.
Company-3.9% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 25 activeIndustrial Infrastructure · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 1 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Timken cited incremental tariff costs, partly offset by IEEPA tariff refunds, as a current margin factor.
  • Interest expense, net declined for the quarter, attributed to lower interest rates and lower average debt levels.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if TKR's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 25 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 1 directly disclosed connection is confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 7.5% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating margin fell 5.9 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 63.2% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 4.4 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • Timken cited incremental tariff costs, partly offset by IEEPA tariff refunds, as a current margin factor.
  • Interest expense, net declined for the quarter, attributed to lower interest rates and lower average debt levels.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 10, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations326
Usable filing statements224
Verified relationships2
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.92x in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -1.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -1.4 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Foreign exchange has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Pricing and mix has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Restructuring and cost reductions has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 34% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 56% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 9, 2026

119.10
6m+16.6%12m+54.4%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$4.1B+17.6%$4.79+0.8%
2022-12-31$4.5B+8.8%$5.48-3.5%
2023-12-31$4.8B+6.1%$5.47-3.0%
2024-12-31$4.6B-4.1%$4.99-1.8%
2025-12-31$4.6B+0.2%$4.11-0.7%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesmixed · 5 filings
Excluding actuarial gains and losses, the Company expects lower pension and other postretirement benefits expense in 2026 compared to 2025 primarily due to higher expected returns on pension plan assets and lower interest expense.
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Demand and volumemixed · 5 filings
Outlook: The Company expects 2026 full-year revenues to be up approximately 5% to 6% compared to 2025, primarily driven by higher demand across both segments, favorable pricing, the benefit of acquisitions, and the favorable impact of foreign currency rate ch…
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Foreign exchangemixed · 5 filings
Foreign currency exchange gains and losses, net of hedging activity, resulting from transactions included in the Company's operating results for the six months ended June 30, 2026 totaled $7.7 million of net losses, compared with $3.3 million of net losses du…
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Pricing and mixmixed · 5 filings
The increase was primarily driven by higher volume across most sectors and higher pricing.
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.8× · EV/sales 2.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

119.10-3.9% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 9 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for TKR. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-08-04 against the comparable filing from 2025-07-30.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -1
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationdiscount

Capital and cash conversion

Reported investment and cash context

Capital spending YoY
-4.2%
Capital spending / revenue
+2.6%
Free-cash-flow margin
+3.3%
FCF margin change
-1.1 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 7.5% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Operating margin fell 5.9 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 63.2% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 4.4 percentage points.

Filing receipts

Net income decreased for the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared with the six months ended June 30, 2025 primarily due to higher impairment charges, incremental tariff costs, higher SG&A expense and higher manufacturing costs, partially offset by favorable price/mix, higher volume and the favorable impact of foreign currency exchange rates.

Net income decreased for the three months ended June 30, 2026 compared with the three months ended June 30, 2025 primarily due to higher impairment charges and higher SG&A expense, partially offset by favorable price/mix, higher volume, lower tax expense, and the favorable impact of International Emergency Economic Powers Act (“IEEPA”) tariff refunds.

Interest Income and Expense: Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 2025 $ Change % Change Interest expense $ (26.2) $ (29.8) $ 3.6 (12.1 %) Interest income 2.5 3.0 (0.5) (16.7 %) Interest expense, net $ (23.7) $ (26.8) $ 3.1 (11.6 %) Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 2025 $ Change % Change Interest expense $ (50.5) $ (56.3) $ 5.8 (10.3 %) Interest income 4.2 5.3 (1.1) (20.8 %) Interest expense, net $ (46.3) $ (51.0) $ 4.7 (9.2 %) The decrease in interest expense for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 compared with the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 was primarily due to lower interest rates and lower average debt levels.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind TKR

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depended on by

RBCRBC Bearings IncorporatedcompetitorMay 15, 2026

Competition Our principal competitors include SKF, New Hampshire Ball Bearings, Regal Rexnord, NORD and Timken, although we compete with different companies for each of our product lines.

Filing peers

No filing peers are available for this name yet.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

TKR is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Industrial Infrastructure. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.