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SM Energy Company

SM

Energy · 35.25 +0.4% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 7 Oct, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

SM Energy Company's move is being confirmed by its market group.

SM accounts for 6.8% of the group's measured movement across 7.0 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 11 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 28%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveCounter-move#6 of 11 by movement share
Group movement share6.8%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+0.68%counter
Effective breadth7.0 / 11broad
Relative alignment7/11downside path · 2 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement28%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

SM was the first measured mover. SM crossed its material path threshold at 10:40 ET. CVE, VIST, EC followed.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 215.3% versus the comparable filing period.
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

5 of 11 members in Oil & Gas are active. 0 of 1 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 8 of 11 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as AR begins moving with the group.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 3 of 11 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

SM accounts for 6.8% of the group's measured movement across 7.0 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 7 of 11 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 28%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 215.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 22.6 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 430.2% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 8 of 11 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as AR begins moving with the group.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 21, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations346
Usable filing statements210
Verified relationships1
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +17.2% year over year.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 3.10x in the latest annual period.
  • Capital investment and capacity has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -8.3 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -8.1 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Energy and commodity prices has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Demand and volume has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 36% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 62% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Oct 7, 2026

35.25
6m+22.4%12m+38.9%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$2.6B+132.8%$0.29+8.8%
2022-12-31$3.4B+28.1%$8.96+0.3%
2023-12-31$2.4B-29.3%$6.86-4.1%
2024-12-31$2.7B+13.3%$6.67-2.5%
2025-12-31$3.2B+17.2%$5.64-0.9%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitymixed · 5 filings
“Investing activities For the Six Months Ended June 30, Amount Change Between Periods 2026 2025 (in millions) Net cash used in investing activities $ (485) $ (839) $ 354 Net cash used in investing activities decreased for the six months ended June 30, 2026, co…”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Credit and interest ratespositive · 5 filings
“Interest expense increased 157 percent YTD 2026-over-YTD 2025 primarily driven by interest expense attributable to our Civitas Senior Notes assumed in connection with the Merger.”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Energy and commodity pricesmixed · 5 filings
“Other operating income For the Three Months Ended For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 March 31, 2026 June 30, 2026 June 30, 2025 (in millions) Other operating income $ 82 $ 2 $ 84 $ 13 Other operating income increased $80 million sequentially and $71 milli…”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Demand and volumenegative · 3 filings
“These tariffs, along with retaliatory tariffs from other countries, could lead to reduced trade resulting from increased costs for imported goods and decreased demand for U.S.”
10-K · Feb 26, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.3× · EV/sales 1.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

35.25+0.4% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 7 Oct, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for SM. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

Fundamentals strengthened in the latest filing

10-Q filed 2026-08-06 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-01.

constructive
OperationsconstructiveEvidence score +4
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationdiscount

Capital and cash conversion

Reported investment and cash context

Stock compensation / revenue
+1.4%

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 215.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 22.6 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 430.2% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

No thresholded deterioration was identified.

Filing receipts

“This increase was primarily driven by an 18 percent sequential quarterly increase in average daily equivalent production to 439.7 MBOE per day, reflecting a full quarter of production from the assets acquired in the Merger, and a 22 percent sequential quarterly increase in total realized price per BOE, before the effect of net derivative settlements (“realized price” or “realized prices”), resulting from increases in benchmark oil prices.”

“Production tax expense per BOE increased 34 percent sequentially and 58 percent YTD 2026-over-YTD 2025, primarily due to higher realized oil prices, and a higher production tax rate associated with our acquired DJ Basin assets relative to our pre-merger asset base, with the sequential increase also reflecting a full quarter of DJ Basin operations.”

“Our realized price on a per BOE basis increased 12 percent YTD 2026-over-YTD 2025 primarily due to increases in benchmark oil prices, partially offset by decreases in realized gas prices driven by unfavorable price differentials at Waha and CIG Rockies during the first half of 2026.”

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind SM

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depended on by

NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.partnerFeb 26, 2026 ▾

“At closing, the Company acquired a 20 % undivided working interest in the assets sold by XCL, with SM Energy Company, an unaffiliated third party, acquiring the other 80 % and becoming the operator of the acquired assets.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 7 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

SM is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Oil & Gas. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.