Feed / NVAX

Novavax, Inc.

NVAX

Healthcare · 9.31 -5.6% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Novavax, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 28 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 13 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Company-5.6% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 28 activeOil & Gas and Biotech · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 8 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • NVAX's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if NVAX's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Healthcare · Biotechnology

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 28 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 13 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • NVAX's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations319
Usable filing statements39
Verified relationships12
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +64.7% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +76.8 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed +66.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Diluted shares increased 13.7% in the latest annual period.
  • Operating cash flow was only -0.556x net income in the latest annual period.
  • Capital investment and capacity has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 88% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 97% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

9.31
6m-8.2%12m+22.8%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$1.1B+141.0%$-23.44+29.3%
2022-12-31$2.0B+72.9%$-8.42+5.1%
2023-12-31$983.7M-50.4%$-5.41+28.9%
2024-12-31$682.2M-30.7%$-1.23
2025-12-31$1.1B+64.7%$2.58+13.7%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitynegative · 3 filings
The decrease in cost of sales of $129.7 million was mainly driven by a decrease in the number of COVID-19 Vaccine doses sold, the sale of the Novavax CZ manufacturing facility in December 2024, a decrease in excess, obsolete, and expired inventory charges, an…
10-K · Feb 26, 2026
Restructuring and cost reductionsnegative · 2 filings
No additional impairment adjustments are anticipated as a result of the closing of this transaction.
10-K · Feb 26, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionspositive · 1 filings
For example, the trading prices of biopharmaceutical companies in particular have been highly volatile as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation and increased interest rates.
10-K · Feb 26, 2026
Supply chain and availabilitymixed · 1 filings
hed goods 7,591 4,899 Finished goods 1,342 1,763 Total inventory $ 11,545 $ 8,749 Inventory write-downs as a result of excess, obsolescence, expiry, or other reasons, and losses on firm purchase commitments, offset by recoveries of such commitments, are recor…
10-K · Feb 26, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.4× · EV/sales 1.2×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

9.31-5.6% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for NVAX. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for NVAX. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind NVAX

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

SNYSanofipartnerMay 6, 2026

Matrix-M™ adjuvant is being explored under our Collaboration and License Agreement Sanofi Pasteur Inc.

TAKTakeda Pharmaceutical Company LimitedpartnerMay 6, 2026

Beginning in 2025 and continuing during the term of the Sanofi CLA, we and Sanofi began to commercialize the COVID-19 Vaccine products worldwide in accordance with a commercialization plan agreed by us and Sanofi, under which we will continue to supply our ex…

Depended on by

GOVXGeoVax Labs, Inc.competitorApr 15, 2026

We face general market competition from several subsectors of the vaccine development field, including large, multinational pharmaceutical companies including Sanofi, GSK, Merck, Mitsubishi Tanabe, Takeda, and Pfizer; mid-size pharmaceutical companies and eme…

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 10 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

NVAX is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Oil & Gas and Biotech. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for NVAX; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.