Feed / MNR

Mach Natural Resources LP

MNR

Energy · 10.26 +0.4% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 1 Oct, 14:40 GMT-4

Market read

Mach Natural Resources LP's move is spreading beyond its market group.

MNR accounts for 9.3% of the group's measured movement across 7.9 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 11 of 11 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 7%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#4 of 11 by movement share
Group movement share9.3%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path+0.50%aligned
Effective breadth7.9 / 11broad
Relative alignment11/11upside path · 0 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement7%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

SR, OGS, BSM moved materially before MNR. MNR crossed its material path threshold at 15:55 ET, 5 minutes after the first measured mover. EE followed.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 40.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 8.4 percentage points.
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

6 of 11 members in Natural Gas Exposure are active. 0 of 2 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 8 of 11 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • KNTK remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 3 of 11 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

MNR accounts for 9.3% of the group's measured movement across 7.9 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 11 of 11 SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside. Capital-flow agreement is 7%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 40.7% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating margin fell 8.4 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 6.9 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • At least 8 of 11 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • KNTK remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 1, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods5
Price observations341
Usable filing statements62
Verified relationships3
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +21.2% year over year.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 3.55x in the latest annual period.
  • Energy and commodity prices has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -9.2 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -6.9 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Diluted shares increased 34.6% in the latest annual period.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 36% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 18% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 30, 2026

10.24
6m-26.9%12m-22.9%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$392.5M———
2022-12-31$937.4M+138.8%——
2023-12-31$762.3M-18.7%$0.72—
2024-12-31$969.6M+27.2%$1.90+2.9%
2025-12-31$1.2B+21.2%$1.09+34.6%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Energy and commodity pricesmixed · 5 filings
“Our hedging instruments allow us to reduce, but not eliminate the potential effects of the variability in cash flow from operations due to fluctuations in commodity prices and provide increased certainty of cash flows for funding our drilling program and debt…”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Credit and interest ratesnegative · 3 filings
“The increase was primarily driven by a $219.4 million decrease in proceeds from common unit issuances, a $540.0 million decrease in net borrowings under our credit facilities (proceeds net of repayments), and a $43.3 million increase in distributions to unith…”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Capital investment and capacitymixed · 2 filings
“This was slightly offset by increases in capital expenditures on our oil and gas properties and on our other property and equipment of $35.7 million and $5.8 million, respectively, due to increased drilling and completion activities in the six-month period en…”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Restructuring and cost reductionspositive · 2 filings
“Impairment of oil and gas properties Impairment of oil and gas properties increased $90.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2024, as a result of the full cost ceiling test during the third quarter of 2025.”
10-K · Mar 12, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.1× · EV/sales 2.1×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

10.26+0.4% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 14:40 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for MNR. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing presents a mixed picture

10-Q filed 2026-08-06 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-07.

mixed
OperationsmixedEvidence score +1
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationmixed

Capital and cash conversion

Inventory built faster than revenue

watch

Inventory growth exceeded revenue growth and inventory intensity increased.

Stock compensation / revenue
+1.7%
Inventory intensity change
+1.5 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 40.7% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Operating margin fell 8.4 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 6.9 percentage points.

Filing receipts

“Midstream operating expense Midstream operating expense increased $3.9 million, or 64% for the six-month period ended June 30, 2026, as compared to the six-month period ended June 30, 2025, primarily due to the acquisition of additional midstream facilities in the IKAV Acquisition in September 2025.”

“Lease operating expenses per Boe increased by $0.69 primarily as a result of the oil-heavy production from the Sabinal Acquisition that added to our overall cost profile.”

“Lease operating expenses per Boe increased by $0.56 primarily as a result of the oil-heavy production from the Sabinal Acquisition that added to our overall cost profile.”

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind MNR

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

TFCTruist Financial CorporationlenderMar 12, 2026 ▾

“Debt Agreements New Credit Agreement On February 27, 2025, the Company entered into the New Credit Agreement, among the Company, the lenders and issuing banks party thereto from time to time and Truist Bank, as the administrative agent and collateral agent.”

Depended on by

SEISolaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.investeeFeb 27, 2026 ▾

“Giesinger also serves on the board of directors of Mach Natural Resources LP (NYSE: MNR), a publicly traded limited partnership involved in upstream oil and gas operations.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 7 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

MNR is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Natural Gas Exposure. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 2 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.