Feed / MAT

Mattel, Inc.

MAT

Consumer Cyclical · 15.26 +1.5% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 2 Oct, 16:00 GMT-4

Market read

No connected market move is active around Mattel, Inc..

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 0 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 10 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 4.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • The operating loss widened by 49.7M.
Company+1.5% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market groupNo active group readNo durable group available
Disclosed network0 of 8 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • On March 2, 2026 Mattel acquired the remaining 50% equity interest in Mattel163 from its previous joint venture partner NetEase Hong Kong Digital Interactive Limited.
  • Filing quantifies gross incremental tariff costs at 240 basis points contributing to the year-over-year gross margin decline.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if MAT's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 0 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 10 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 4.3% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • The operating loss widened by 49.7M.
  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -22.9M.
  • Cash declined 377.7M versus the comparable period.
What would clarify the read
  • On March 2, 2026 Mattel acquired the remaining 50% equity interest in Mattel163 from its previous joint venture partner NetEase Hong Kong Digital Interactive Limited.
  • Filing quantifies gross incremental tariff costs at 240 basis points contributing to the year-over-year gross margin decline.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 3, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations343
Usable filing statements301
Verified relationships12
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.49x in the latest annual period.
  • Material customer WMT most recently reported revenue +6.9% year over year.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -0.6% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed -2.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -2.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Capital investment and capacity has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Foreign exchange has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Input and raw-material costs has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Macroeconomic conditions has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 66% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

15.27
6m+6.3%12m-11.7%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$5.5B+18.9%—+2.3%
2022-12-31$5.4B-0.4%—+0.7%
2023-12-31$5.4B+0.1%—-0.7%
2024-12-31$5.4B-1.1%—-3.9%
2025-12-31$5.3B-0.6%—-6.3%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitymixed · 5 filings
“The decrease during the trailing twelve months was primarily due to cash paid for share repurchases of $690.0 million, capital expenditures of $231.8 million, and $74.8 million of cash paid for the remaining 50% equity interest in Mattel163, net of cash acqui…”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Foreign exchangemixed · 5 filings
“The decrease in gross margin was primarily due to gross incremental tariff costs of 200 basis points, cost inflation of 110 basis points, higher royalty expense of 100 basis points, and an unfavorable impact from foreign currency exchange of 100 basis points.”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Input and raw-material costsmixed · 5 filings
“Cost of sales increased by $56.6 million, or 13%, to $477.1 million in the first half of 2026 from $420.6 million in the first half of 2025, primarily due to an increase in product and other costs of $31.6 million, royalty expense of $14.8 million, and freigh…”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Macroeconomic conditionsmixed · 5 filings
“The decrease in gross margin was primarily due to gross incremental tariff costs of 200 basis points, cost inflation of 110 basis points, higher royalty expense of 100 basis points, and an unfavorable impact from foreign currency exchange of 100 basis points.”
10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 0.9× · EV/sales 1.1×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

15.26+1.5% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 2 Oct, 16:00 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for MAT. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-05-01 against the comparable filing from 2025-05-06.

cautious
OperationsmixedEvidence score 0
liquiditycautiousEvidence score -2
valuationdiscount

What improved

  • Revenue increased 4.3% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • The operating loss widened by 49.7M.
  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -22.9M.
  • Cash declined 377.7M versus the comparable period.

Filing receipts

“37 International segment income decreased to $19.9 million in the first quarter of 2026 from $23.3 million in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher cost of sales of $27.2 million, higher other selling and administrative expenses of $15.2 million, and higher advertising and promotion expenses of $12.8 million, partially offset by higher net sales of $51.8 million.”

“Sales adjustments as a percentage of net sales increased to 12.7% in the first quarter of 2026, as compared to 11.8% in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to a higher proportion of sales occurring in regions with higher average sales rates and a shift in sales channel mix resulting in a higher proportion of sales with higher average sales adjustment rates.”

“ome decreased to $19.9 million in the first quarter of 2026 from $23.3 million in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher cost of sales of $27.2 million, higher other selling and administrative expenses of $15.2 million, and higher advertising and promotion expenses of $12.8 million, partially offset by higher net sales of $51.8 million.”

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind MAT

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

WMT42.0% of MATcustomerFeb 23, 2026 ▾

“During 2025, Mattel's three largest customers (Walmart at $1.08 billion, Target at $0.63 billion, and Amazon at $0.52 billion) accounted for approximately 42% of worldwide consolidated net sales.”

AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.customerFeb 23, 2026 ▾

“During 2025, Mattel's three largest customers (Walmart at $1.08 billion, Target at $0.63 billion, and Amazon at $0.52 billion) accounted for approximately 42% of worldwide consolidated net sales.”

Depended on by

BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.competitorApr 16, 2026 ▾

“Since our signature products, teddy bears and other stuffed animals, are included in the toy category, we compete indirectly with a number of companies that sell plush products or premium children’s toys, including, but not limited to, Ty, Jellycat, Jazwares,…”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 7 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

MAT is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Unknown Theme. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for MAT; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.