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Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

LPX

Industrials · 65.67 -2.7% today

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's move is spreading beyond its market group.

LPX accounts for 4.0% of the group's measured movement across 8.2 effective names. all 12 measured members are falling in raw terms, but 8 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 32%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#10 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share4.0%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-0.35%aligned
Effective breadth8.2 / 12broad
Relative alignment8/12downside path · 4 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement32%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

HD, BLDR, EXP moved materially before LPX. LPX crossed its material path threshold at 13:20 ET. HLMN followed.

What changed
  • Revenue decreased 12.1% versus the comparable filing period.
EVIDENCE COVERAGE

4 of 18 members in Housing Construction are active. 0 of 1 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 12 of 18 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • IBP remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 6 of 18 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

LPX accounts for 4.0% of the group's measured movement across 8.2 effective names. all 12 measured members are falling in raw terms, but 8 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 32%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges
  • Revenue decreased 12.1% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 5.9 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 51.9% versus the comparable filing period.
What would clarify the read
  • At least 12 of 18 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • IBP remains aligned with the group in the next market snapshot.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations327
Usable filing statements38
Verified relationships1
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 2.62x in the latest annual period.
  • Tariffs and trade policy has repeated favorable evidence across 3 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -7.9% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed -10.3 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -8.9 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 28% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 37% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

65.67
6m-14.7%12m-31.4%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$3.9B+63.2%$14.09-12.5%
2022-12-31$3.9B-1.6%$13.87-20.4%
2023-12-31$2.6B-33.0%$2.46-7.7%
2024-12-31$2.9B+13.9%$5.89-1.4%
2025-12-31$2.7B-7.9%$2.08-1.4%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Tariffs and trade policypositive · 3 filings
This growth was driven by higher sales volume and higher selling prices of $91 million, partially offset by strategic investments in sales and marketing of $11 million, a $9 million increase of selling, general, and administrative expenses, $7 million of mill…
10-K · Feb 17, 2026
Demand and volumenegative · 2 filings
Price Unit Shipments Siding 9 % (18) % For the three months ended March 31, 2026, Siding net sales decreased year over year by $42 million reflecting higher prices offset by lower volumes.
10-Q · May 6, 2026
Credit and interest ratesnegative · 1 filings
71 Non-operating income (expense) Non-operating income (expense) is comprised of the following components (dollar amounts in millions): Year Ended December 31, 2025 2024 2023 Interest expense $ ( 17 ) $ ( 14 ) $ ( 17 ) Amortization of debt charges ( 1 ) ( 1 )…
10-K · Feb 17, 2026
Foreign exchangenegative · 1 filings
71 Non-operating income (expense) Non-operating income (expense) is comprised of the following components (dollar amounts in millions): Year Ended December 31, 2025 2024 2023 Interest expense $ ( 17 ) $ ( 14 ) $ ( 17 ) Amortization of debt charges ( 1 ) ( 1 )…
10-K · Feb 17, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 1.7× · EV/sales 1.7×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

65.67-2.7% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for LPX. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-08-05 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-06.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -4
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationmixed

Capital and cash conversion

Investment load increased

watch

Capital spending consumed more revenue while free-cash-flow margin declined.

Capital spending YoY
-9.1%
Capital spending / revenue
+9.7%
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.5%
FCF margin change
-7.8 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

No thresholded improvement was identified.

What weakened

  • Revenue decreased 12.1% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 5.9 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 51.9% versus the comparable filing period.

Filing receipts

Other net sales decreased by $3 million and $12 million, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, respectively, primarily due to a decline in OSB selling prices in South America.

The increase in pricing was attributable to both the annual price increase and favorable mix.

Adjusted EBITDA for the same periods decreased year over year by $12 million and $20 million, respectively, driven by a decline in South America net sales along with higher costs incurred in that market.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind LPX

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depended on by

BXCBlueLinx Holdings Inc.supplierFeb 24, 2026

With the strength of a locally focused sales force, we distribute a comprehensive range of products from suppliers that include some of the leading manufacturers in the industry such as Allura, Arauco, Fiberon, Georgia-Pacific, Huber Engineered Woods, Louisia…

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 1 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

LPX is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Housing Construction. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 1 filing-linked name are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.