From StructContinue from the story into live company monitoringRead Struct ↗Feed / LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE

Technology · 893.31 -2.8% today

You’ve read what changed. Here’s whether the market is confirming it.

Partial group confirmationMarket checked 17 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s move is being confirmed by its market group.

LITE accounts for 19.6% of the group's measured movement across 5.4 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 9 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 38%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

MOVE ANATOMY

Is this move genuinely shared?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths
Role in the moveAligned contributor#2 of 12 by movement share
Group movement share19.6%Absolute path energy—not portfolio weight
Relative path-4.09%aligned
Effective breadth5.4 / 12balanced
Relative alignment9/12downside path · 0 counter-moving
Capital-flow agreement38%not yet clean
SEQUENCE READ

CIEN moved materially before LITE. LITE crossed its material path threshold at 10:20 ET. CMI, ETN, PECO followed.

EVIDENCE COVERAGE

7 of 17 members in Industrial Infrastructure are active. 0 of 6 disclosed connections are confirming.

What would change this read
  • At least 12 of 17 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as ENS begins moving with the group.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 5 of 17 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Technology · Communication Equipment

LITE accounts for 19.6% of the group's measured movement across 5.4 effective names. raw member direction is mixed; 9 of 12 SPY-adjusted paths align to the downside. Capital-flow agreement is 38%, so confirmation is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured group move.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • At least 12 of 17 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as ENS begins moving with the group.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 18, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations606
Usable filing statements137
Verified relationships9
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +83.2% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed +28.4 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Product pipeline and R&D has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Net margin changed -231.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Diluted shares increased 7.2% in the latest annual period.
  • Restructuring and cost reductions has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Foreign exchange has repeated adverse evidence across 4 filings.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 379% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 17, 2026

893.31
6m+27.5%12m+422.7%24m+1546.6%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2022-07-02$1.7B-1.7%$2.68-5.4%
2023-07-01$1.8B+3.2%$-1.93-8.0%
2024-06-29$1.4B-23.1%$-8.12-1.5%
2025-06-28$1.6B+21.0%$0.37+3.4%
2026-06-27$3.0B+83.2%$-92.96+7.2%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Credit and interest ratesnegative · 5 filings
I nterest expense in fiscal year 2026 slightly decreased by $0.4 million, or 2%, as compared to fiscal year 2025, primarily due to the early conversion and equitizations of a portion of the 2026 Notes, 2028 Notes, and 2029 Notes, offset in part by the interes…
10-K · Aug 17, 2026
Restructuring and cost reductionsmixed · 5 filings
This included $ 14.6 million of assets written off, including property, plant and equipment, right-of-use assets, prepayments and other current assets as well as charges for other contractual commitments associated with site closures, and $ 4.3 million of emp…
10-K · Aug 17, 2026
Capital investment and capacitymixed · 4 filings
Cash used in investing activities of $24.7 million during the nine months ended March 29, 2025 was attributable to capital expenditures of $177.1 million, offset by net proceeds from sales or maturities of short-term investments of $104.3 million, $47.8 milli…
10-Q · May 6, 2026
Foreign exchangenegative · 4 filings
Other income, net for the six months ended December 27, 2025 decreased by $8.4 million from the six months ended December 28, 2024 primarily due to a $5.9 million inducement expense related to the partial repurchase of 2026 Notes and a decrease in net foreign…
10-Q · Feb 4, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 22.1× · EV/sales 21.4×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

893.31-2.8% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 17 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for LITE. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for LITE. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind LITE

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.supplierNov 5, 2025

As the principal amounts of all of our outstanding convertible notes must be settled in cash, the actual cash settlement may be higher if we decide to settle the conversion value in excess of the principal amounts in cash, rather than issuing shares of common…

MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.lenderFeb 4, 2026

The actual cash settlement may be higher if we decide to settle the conversion value in excess of the principal amounts in cash, rather than issuing shares of common stock.

Depended on by

AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.competitorFeb 26, 2026

Our major competitors in one or more of our markets include Coherent Corporation, Eoptolink Technology Inc., Ltd., Foxconn Interconnect Technology Ltd., InnoLight Technology (Suzhou) Ltd., Intel Corporation, Lumentum Holdings, Inc., Mitsubishi, Molex, LLC, So…

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 7 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

LITE is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Industrial Infrastructure. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.