Feed / GPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

GPK

Consumer Cyclical · 9.39 -1.4% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Graphic Packaging Holding Company's current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 11 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 7 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue decreased 0.7% versus the comparable filing period.
Company-1.4% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 11 activeInformation Services Tilt · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 7 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Commodity inflation, including logistics, chemicals, fiber, and purchased materials, reduced operating income by $36 million in the latest three months.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if GPK's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 11 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 7 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges
  • Revenue decreased 0.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 4.4 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 76.9% versus the comparable filing period.
What would clarify the read
  • Commodity inflation, including logistics, chemicals, fiber, and purchased materials, reduced operating income by $36 million in the latest three months.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 11, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations327
Usable filing statements113
Verified relationships7
Evidence supporting the case
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.89x in the latest annual period.
  • Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -2.2% year over year.
  • Operating margin changed -3.4 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -2.3 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Macroeconomic conditions has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Pricing and mix has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 64% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 22% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 10, 2026

9.39
6m-8.5%12m-54.3%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$7.1B+9.1%$0.68+6.5%
2022-12-31$9.4B+32.0%$1.69+3.9%
2023-12-31$9.4B-0.3%$2.34-0.1%
2024-12-31$8.8B-6.5%$2.16-1.3%
2025-12-31$8.6B-2.2%$1.48-1.7%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitynegative · 5 filings
Capital spending decreased compared to prior year due to the completion of a significant portion of the Waco, Texas recycled paperboard facility in the fourth quarter of 2025, which drove elevated capital spending in the prior period.
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Credit and interest ratesmixed · 5 filings
Interest Expense, Net increased primarily due to lower capitalized interest as a result of completion of the Waco project.
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Foreign exchangemixed · 5 filings
International Paperboard Packaging Net Sales increased due to favorable foreign currency exchange and innovation sales growth driven by conversions to the Company's sustainable consumer packaging solutions and mix, partially offset by lower pricing.
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionsnegative · 5 filings
29 Table of Contents Income from Operations decreased due to lower pricing, higher commodity cost and other inflation (primarily labor and benefits), mix, weather, higher maintenance spend, and production curtailment impacts offset by cost savings from contin…
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 0.3× · EV/sales 0.9×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

9.39-1.4% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 10 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for GPK. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-08-04 against the comparable filing from 2025-07-29.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -4
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationdiscount

Capital and cash conversion

Reported investment and cash context

Stock compensation / revenue
+0.8%
Inventory intensity change
-4.6 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

No thresholded improvement was identified.

What weakened

  • Revenue decreased 0.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 4.4 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 76.9% versus the comparable filing period.

Filing receipts

Income from Operations decreased due to lower pricing, higher commodity cost and other inflation (primarily labor and benefits), partially offset by favorable foreign currency exchange and cost savings from continuous improvement and other programs, including benefits from capital projects and productivity improvements.

27 Table of Contents First Six Months of 2026 Compared to First Six Months of 2025 Net Sales The components of the change in Net Sales are as follows: Six Months Ended June 30, Variances In millions 2025 Price Volume/ Mix Exchange/ Other 2026 Increase Percent Change Consolidated $ 4,324 $ (59) $ 16 $ 63 $ 4,344 $ 20 — % The Company's Net Sales for the six months ended June 30, 2026 increased by $20 million to $4,344 million from $4,324 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025, driven by higher volumes and a favorable foreign currency exchange of $77 million, partially offset by lower pricing of $59 million, the Croatia divestiture and other items.

Interest Expense, Net increased primarily due to lower capitalized interest as a result of completion of the Waco project.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind GPK

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

GEFGreif, Inc.supplierMar 2, 2026

In January 2023, the Company completed the acquisition of Tama Paperboard, LLC ("Tama"), a recycled paperboard manufacturing facility located in Tama, Iowa, from Greif Packaging LLC for approximately $100 million.

CLWFiling-linked namedistributorNov 4, 2025

On May 1, 2024, the Company completed the sale of its Augusta, Georgia bleached paperboard manufacturing facility (the "Augusta Divestiture") to Clearwater Paper Corporation for a total consideration of $711 million.

Depended on by

RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials Inc.competitorMar 5, 2026

Our major paperboard competitors include Smurfit Westrock, Graphic Packaging, Clearwater Paper, Sappi, Metsa Group, Stora Enso, CMPC and Billerud.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 9 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

GPK is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Information Services Tilt. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for GPK; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.