Credit and interest ratesnegative · 5 filings
“Interest expense decreased by $7.5 million in Six Months 2026 compared to Six Months 2025 primarily due to lower overall principal balances and lower interest rates.”10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
The GEO Group, Inc.
GEO
Market read
The GEO Group, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.
No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 7 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 0 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
Company+0.4% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 7 activeHealthcare Plans · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 3 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
Watch this read- Interest expense decreased $4.1M in Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025 primarily due to lower overall principal balances and lower interest rates.
Invalidation: The isolated read changes if GEO's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.
Research brief
The story so far
No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 7 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 0 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
Evidence that supports
No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.
Evidence that challenges
No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.
What would clarify the read
- Interest expense decreased $4.1M in Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025 primarily due to lower overall principal balances and lower interest rates.
Company research
Understand the business, not just the ticker
Business model and earnings drivers
Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.
Key research questions
- Which operating variable is changing?
- Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
- What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations328
Usable filing statements159
Verified relationships0
Evidence supporting the case
- Latest annual revenue changed +8.6% year over year.
- Net margin changed +8.3 percentage points in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
- Operating margin changed -3.0 percentage points in the latest annual period.
- Diluted shares increased 4.2% in the latest annual period.
- Operating cash flow was only 0.29x net income in the latest annual period.
- Credit and interest rates has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
- Foreign exchange has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
- Restructuring and cost reductions has repeated adverse evidence across 3 filings.
Questions before a position
No credible peer-relative valuation comparison is available yet.
Longer-term price context
Price as of Sep 11, 2026
31.496m+123.3%12m+47.8%24m—
Annual trajectory
Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.
PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$2.3B-4.0%$0.58+0.6%
2022-12-31$2.4B+5.3%$1.17+1.3%
2023-12-31$2.4B+1.5%$0.72+1.2%
2024-12-31$2.4B+0.4%$0.22+8.4%
2025-12-31$2.6B+8.6%$1.82+4.2%
What management says matters
Persistent and emerging business drivers
Foreign exchangenegative · 5 filings
“Non-Operating Expenses Interest Income and Interest Expense 2026 % of Revenue 2025 % of Revenue $ Change % Change (Dollars in thousands) Interest Income $ 4,900 0.3 % $ 4,463 0.4 % $ 437 9.8 % Interest Expense $ 76,857 5.3 % $ 84,348 6.8 % $ (7,491 ) (8.9 )%…”10-Q · Aug 6, 2026 ↗
Restructuring and cost reductionsmixed · 3 filings
“Net cash provided by operating activities in 2024 was positively impacted by non-cash expenses such as depreciation and amortization, deferred tax provision, amortization of debt issuance costs, discount and/or premium and other non-cash interest, stock-based…”10-K · Feb 25, 2026 ↗
Demand and volumemixed · 1 filings
“We currently expect demand from the federal government for our correctional and detention facilities to increase under the new presidential administration, particularly from ICE, as a result of anticipated changes in immigration policy and funding levels of o…”10-K · Feb 25, 2026 ↗
Valuation discipline
Peer-relative valuation withheld
Jodie found no industry-matched filing peers suitable for a valuation comparison. It will not substitute broader financial-sector names.
Scenario scaffold
Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.
Price action
How the market is pricing the story
31.49+0.4% today
Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.
Developments
No sourced recent-development timeline yet
Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for GEO. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.
Business and financial condition
Reported financial figures are not available yet
Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.
Filing analysis
No comparable filing assessment is available yet
Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for GEO. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.
Business ecosystem
The relationships behind GEO
Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.
Filing peers
Companies whose filings use similar operating language.
Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 3 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →
What is moving around it
Live connections
GEO is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Healthcare Plans. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. No verified filing-linked names are available yet.
Context history
Theme membership history
No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.