Feed / CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG

Consumer Cyclical · 36.21 +0.2% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 3 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 7.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin fell 3.8 percentage points.
Company+0.2% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 1 activeMexican Fast-Casual Restaurants · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 3 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • Capex increased by $92.2M for new restaurants and equipment, which materially reduced cash balances.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if CMG's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 1 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 3 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 7.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 2.15x, improving versus the comparable period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating margin fell 3.8 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 21.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 3.6 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • Capex increased by $92.2M for new restaurants and equipment, which materially reduced cash balances.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 12, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations602
Usable filing statements92
Verified relationships4
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +5.4% year over year.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.38x in the latest annual period.
  • Capital investment and capacity has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Labor availability and costs has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Macroeconomic conditions has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
  • Pricing and mix has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 33% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 139% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 11, 2026

36.21
6m+11.2%12m-6.5%24m-32.5%
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$7.5B+26.1%$22.90+0.3%
2022-12-31$8.6B+14.4%$0.64
2023-12-31$9.9B+14.3%$0.89-1.3%
2024-12-31$11.3B+14.6%$1.11-0.6%
2025-12-31$11.9B+5.4%$1.14-2.5%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitypositive · 5 filings
The change was primarily due to increased capital expenditures of $92.2 million, mainly related to costs associated with new restaurant development and the purchase of new equipment for existing restaurants.
10-Q · Jul 31, 2026
Labor availability and costsnegative · 5 filings
The increase was primarily driven by 0.3% from wage inflation and performance-based bonuses and 0.2% from restaurant labor execution.
10-Q · Jul 31, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionsmixed · 5 filings
The increase was primarily driven by a 0.3% increase in marketing and promotional activities and inflation across several items, most notably insurance claims, maintenance, and utility costs.
10-Q · Jul 31, 2026
Pricing and mixnegative · 5 filings
These increases were partially offset by a 0.3% benefit from menu price increases.
10-Q · Jul 31, 2026

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 4.1× · EV/sales 4.0×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

36.21+0.2% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for CMG. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-04-30 against the comparable filing from 2025-04-24.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -1
liquidityconstructiveEvidence score +1
valuationmixed

What improved

  • Revenue increased 7.4% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 2.15x, improving versus the comparable period.

What weakened

  • Operating margin fell 3.8 percentage points.
  • Net income decreased 21.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Net margin fell 3.6 percentage points.

Filing receipts

The increase was primarily driven by a 0.4% impact from costs related to certain legal proceedings, 0.3% from wage inflation, 0.3% from lower average restaurant sales volumes, and 0.2% from higher benefits expense, including performance-based bonuses.

The increase was due to the impact from several items, primarily 0.4% increase in marketing and promotional activities, 0.2% increase in utilities, and 0.2% higher delivery expense associated with increased delivery sales.

The change was primarily due to increased capital expenditures of $35.5 million, mainly related to costs associated with new restaurant development and the purchase of new equipment for existing restaurants.

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind CMG

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

PKGPackaging Corporation of AmericasupplierFeb 4, 2026

Food, Beverage and Packaging Costs Food, beverage and packaging costs include inventory, warehousing and related purchasing and distribution costs.

JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.lenderFeb 4, 2026

Debt As of December 31, 2025, we had a $ 500,000 revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase Bank as administrative agent.

Depended on by

SGSweetgreen, Inc.competitorFeb 27, 2026

Certain competitors, including those with greater resources than we have, such as Chipotle, have also prioritized digital strategies and may be more successful in executing them.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 6 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

CMG is currently a Leader in the organic co-movement group Mexican Fast-Casual Restaurants. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for CMG; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.