Feed / ARI

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.

ARI

Real Estate · 6.19 -0.3% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 2 Oct, 12:30 GMT-4

Market read

No connected market move is active around Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc..

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 0 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 5 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Company-0.3% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market groupNo active group readNo durable group available
Disclosed network0 of 5 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • ARI's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if ARI's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

No new filing conclusion is available. 0 of 0 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 5 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports

No thresholded supportive filing evidence is available yet.

Evidence that challenges

No thresholded adverse filing evidence is available yet.

What would clarify the read
  • ARI's market-adjusted activity becomes unusual and at least one connected name confirms.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Oct 2, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods7
Price observations334
Usable filing statements76
Verified relationships5
Evidence supporting the case
  • Net margin changed +86.1 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.12x in the latest annual period.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed -10.6% year over year.
Questions before a position
  • EV/sales is 75% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Oct 1, 2026

6.30
6m-37.4%12m-41.0%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$284.5M+2.1%$1.46+13.8%
2022-12-31$303.6M+6.7%$1.68-1.7%
2023-12-31$344.6M+13.5%$0.29-14.6%
2024-12-31$303.7M-11.9%$-0.97-1.1%
2025-12-31$271.6M-10.6%$0.81-0.6%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Macroeconomic conditionspositive · 3 filings
“Comparatively, during the three months ended March 31, 2025, we recorded a net increase in our General CECL Allowance of $4.0 million, primarily driven by a more adverse macroeconomic outlook as well as the effects of loan originations.”
10-Q · Apr 28, 2026 ↗
Demand and volumenegative · 1 filings
“se was primarily attributable to lower income from operations, prior to depreciation, due to demand impact from tariffs and lower international and business travel in 2026 compared to 2025.”
10-Q · Apr 28, 2026 ↗
Legal and regulatory exposuremixed · 1 filings
“The increase in net income attributable to the Massachusetts Healthcare JV was due to a $17.4 million gain on litigation settlement recorded during the nine months ended September 30, 2025.”
10-Q · Oct 30, 2025 ↗
Tariffs and trade policynegative · 1 filings
“se was primarily attributable to lower income from operations, prior to depreciation, due to demand impact from tariffs and lower international and business travel in 2026 compared to 2025.”
10-Q · Apr 28, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 3.2× · EV/sales 2.7×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

6.19-0.3% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 2 Oct, 12:30 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for ARI. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Filing analysis

No comparable filing assessment is available yet

Jodie has not yet found a suitable current-versus-prior filing comparison for ARI. This does not mean the latest filing was neutral or immaterial.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind ARI

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

BCSBarclays PLClenderApr 28, 2026 ▾

“As of December 31, 2025, we had $4.7 billion of borrowings outstanding under our secured debt arrangements, diversified across six counterparties, and $1.5 billion of borrowings outstanding under our private securitization with Barclays Bank, plc (the "Barcla…”

MSMorgan StanleylenderFeb 10, 2026 ▾

“During the year ended December 31, 2025, we entered into two new secured credit facilities with Morgan Stanley and new secured credit facilities with Atlas ("Atlas Facility - GBP, EUR," together with Atlas Facility - USD, "Atlas Facilities") and Barclays, whi…”

HSBCHSBC Holdings plclenderFeb 10, 2026 ▾

“Furthermore, we have fully repaid all borrowings outstanding under the HSBC, MUFG Securities and Churchill facilities.”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 3 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

ARI is currently a Follower in the organic co-movement group Unknown Theme. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for ARI; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.