“The $229 million decrease was primarily driven by higher fuel prices throughout the year, partially offset by increased cash collected from advance ticket sales and other favorable working capital changes.”10-Q · Aug 4, 2026 ↗
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
ALK
Market read
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s move is being confirmed by its market group.
The latest filing evidence is available. 5 of 37 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 10 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
- Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
- Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
- At least 25 of 37 durable members become active together.
- Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
- A filing-linked outsider such as ULCC begins moving with the group.
Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 12 of 37 members or fewer.
Research brief
The story so far
The latest filing evidence is available. 5 of 37 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 10 directly disclosed connections are confirming.
- Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
- Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
- Net margin fell 6.5 percentage points.
- At least 25 of 37 durable members become active together.
- Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
- A filing-linked outsider such as ULCC begins moving with the group.
Company research
Understand the business, not just the ticker
Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.
- Which operating variable is changing?
- Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
- What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
- Latest annual revenue changed +21.3% year over year.
- Operating cash flow covered net income at 12.49x in the latest annual period.
- Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
- Operating margin changed -2.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
- Net margin changed -2.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
- Energy and commodity prices has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
- P/E is 359% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
- EV/sales is 24% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026
41.16Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.
What management says matters
Persistent and emerging business drivers
“These increases were partially offset by softer demand in certain leisure markets, including Puerto Vallarta and Hawai'i, during spring break and peak summer travel in 2026.”10-Q · Aug 4, 2026 ↗
“Special items - operating On a pro forma basis, special items decreased $113 million, or 31%, driven by decreased integration costs associated with the Hawaiian acquisition and nonrecurring costs in 2024 associated with Alaska flight attendant retroactive pay…”10-K · Feb 12, 2026 ↗
“basis, Passenger revenue increased $40 million, or 1%, on a 2% increase in traffic, partially offset by a 1% decrease in yield as a result of macroeconomic uncertainty.”10-Q · Aug 7, 2025 ↗
Valuation discipline
Descriptive valuation snapshot
Price/sales 0.3× · EV/sales 0.6×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.
Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.
Price action
How the market is pricing the story
Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.
Developments
No sourced recent-development timeline yet
Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for ALK. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.
Business and financial condition
Reported financial figures are not available yet
Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.
Latest filing assessment
The latest filing shows material pressure
10-Q filed 2026-08-04 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-07.
Capital and cash conversion
Inventory built faster than revenue
Inventory growth exceeded revenue growth and inventory intensity increased.
- Stock compensation / revenue
- +1.0%
- Inventory intensity change
- +0.3 pts
Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.
What improved
- Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
What weakened
- Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
- Net margin fell 6.5 percentage points.
Filing receipts
“The $229 million decrease was primarily driven by higher fuel prices throughout the year, partially offset by increased cash collected from advance ticket sales and other favorable working capital changes.”
“Prior Year (in millions) Total Operating Revenue Passenger Revenue RPMs ASMs Yield RASM Domestic $ 3,704 9% (1)% 1% 10% 9% Latin America 145 (21)% (27)% (28)% 9% 9% Pacific 170 7% 4% (2)% 3% 16% Atlantic 46 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Total $ 4,065 9% (1)% 1% 10% 9% 20 Passenger revenue Passenger revenue increased by $289 million, or 9%, primarily driven by higher yields supported by increased premium revenue, loyalty program award redemption on our airlines, and managed corporate travel.”
“Prior Year (in millions) Total Operating Revenue Passenger Revenue RPMs ASMs Yield RASM Domestic $ 6,635 7% —% 2% 7% 6% Latin America 362 (16)% (23)% (21)% 8% 8% Pacific 322 4% 8% 4% (3)% 3% Atlantic 46 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Total $ 7,365 7% —% 1% 7% 6% Passenger revenue Passenger revenue increased by $401 million, or 7%, primarily driven by higher yields supported by increased premium revenue, loyalty program award redemption on our airlines, and managed corporate travel.”
Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.
Business ecosystem
The relationships behind ALK
Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.
Depends on
AMZN19.0% of ALKcustomerFeb 12, 2026 ▾
“Cargo and other revenue On a pro forma basis, Cargo and other revenue increased $89 million, or 19%, primarily driven by increased revenue under the ATSA with Amazon following the addition of the four remaining contracted A330-300F aircraft to our cargo fleet…”
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.supplierFeb 12, 2026 ▾
“We adjust for expenses related directly to our freighter aircraft operations, including those costs incurred under the ATSA with Amazon, to allow for better comparability to other carriers that do not operate freighter aircraft.”
BAThe Boeing CompanysupplierNov 6, 2025 ▾
“41 Boeing has communicated that certain B737 and B787 aircraft are expected to be delivered later than the contracted delivery timing.”
Filing peers
Companies whose filings use similar operating language.
Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 7 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →
What is moving around it
Live connections
ALK is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Airline Operators. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.
Context history
Theme membership history
No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.