Feed / ALK

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALK

Industrials · 41.16 +2.6% today

Participation confirmed · construction unavailableMarket checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4

Market read

Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s move is being confirmed by its market group.

The latest filing evidence is available. 5 of 37 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 10 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
Company+2.6% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group5 of 37 activeAirline Operators · inactive
Disclosed network0 of 8 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • At least 25 of 37 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as ULCC begins moving with the group.

Invalidation: The live read weakens if participation falls to 12 of 37 members or fewer.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Airlines

The latest filing evidence is available. 5 of 37 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 10 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
  • Net margin fell 6.5 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • At least 25 of 37 durable members become active together.
  • Capital-flow agreement rises above 55%.
  • A filing-linked outsider such as ULCC begins moving with the group.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 12, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations328
Usable filing statements153
Verified relationships11
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +21.3% year over year.
  • Operating cash flow covered net income at 12.49x in the latest annual period.
  • Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 4 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -2.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -2.7 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Energy and commodity prices has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 359% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 24% below the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 11, 2026

41.16
6m+6.5%12m-34.3%24m
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$6.2B+73.2%$3.77+2.7%
2022-12-31$9.6B+56.2%$0.45+0.9%
2023-12-31$10.4B+8.1%$1.83+0.6%
2024-12-31$11.7B+12.6%$3.08-0.3%
2025-12-31$14.2B+21.3%$0.83-6.6%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Energy and commodity pricesmixed · 5 filings
The $229 million decrease was primarily driven by higher fuel prices throughout the year, partially offset by increased cash collected from advance ticket sales and other favorable working capital changes.
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Demand and volumepositive · 4 filings
These increases were partially offset by softer demand in certain leisure markets, including Puerto Vallarta and Hawai'i, during spring break and peak summer travel in 2026.
10-Q · Aug 4, 2026
Legal and regulatory exposurenegative · 3 filings
Special items - operating On a pro forma basis, special items decreased $113 million, or 31%, driven by decreased integration costs associated with the Hawaiian acquisition and nonrecurring costs in 2024 associated with Alaska flight attendant retroactive pay…
10-K · Feb 12, 2026
Macroeconomic conditionsmixed · 1 filings
basis, Passenger revenue increased $40 million, or 1%, on a 2% increase in traffic, partially offset by a 1% decrease in yield as a result of macroeconomic uncertainty.
10-Q · Aug 7, 2025

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 0.3× · EV/sales 0.6×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

41.16+2.6% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 11 Sept, 15:55 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for ALK. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment

The latest filing shows material pressure

10-Q filed 2026-08-04 against the comparable filing from 2025-08-07.

cautious
OperationscautiousEvidence score -1
liquidityneutralEvidence score 0
valuationdiscount

Capital and cash conversion

Inventory built faster than revenue

watch

Inventory growth exceeded revenue growth and inventory intensity increased.

Stock compensation / revenue
+1.0%
Inventory intensity change
+0.3 pts

Capex, revenue, and operating cash flow are matched to the same reported duration. Reported accounting context, not a forecast or trading recommendation.

What improved

  • Revenue increased 9.7% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Operating income moved from a profit to a loss in the comparable period.
  • Net margin fell 6.5 percentage points.

Filing receipts

The $229 million decrease was primarily driven by higher fuel prices throughout the year, partially offset by increased cash collected from advance ticket sales and other favorable working capital changes.

Prior Year (in millions) Total Operating Revenue Passenger Revenue RPMs ASMs Yield RASM Domestic $ 3,704 9% (1)% 1% 10% 9% Latin America 145 (21)% (27)% (28)% 9% 9% Pacific 170 7% 4% (2)% 3% 16% Atlantic 46 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Total $ 4,065 9% (1)% 1% 10% 9% 20 Passenger revenue Passenger revenue increased by $289 million, or 9%, primarily driven by higher yields supported by increased premium revenue, loyalty program award redemption on our airlines, and managed corporate travel.

Prior Year (in millions) Total Operating Revenue Passenger Revenue RPMs ASMs Yield RASM Domestic $ 6,635 7% —% 2% 7% 6% Latin America 362 (16)% (23)% (21)% 8% 8% Pacific 322 4% 8% 4% (3)% 3% Atlantic 46 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Total $ 7,365 7% —% 1% 7% 6% Passenger revenue Passenger revenue increased by $401 million, or 7%, primarily driven by higher yields supported by increased premium revenue, loyalty program award redemption on our airlines, and managed corporate travel.

Historical filing backfill generated after the original filing window. It is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind ALK

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

AMZN19.0% of ALKcustomerFeb 12, 2026

Cargo and other revenue On a pro forma basis, Cargo and other revenue increased $89 million, or 19%, primarily driven by increased revenue under the ATSA with Amazon following the addition of the four remaining contracted A330-300F aircraft to our cargo fleet…

AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.supplierFeb 12, 2026

We adjust for expenses related directly to our freighter aircraft operations, including those costs incurred under the ATSA with Amazon, to allow for better comparability to other carriers that do not operate freighter aircraft.

BAThe Boeing CompanysupplierNov 6, 2025

41 Boeing has communicated that certain B737 and B787 aircraft are expected to be delivered later than the contracted delivery timing.

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 7 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

ALK is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Airline Operators. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.