Feed / AAON

AAON, Inc.

AAON

Industrials · 82.09 -3.6% today

Isolated · not yet confirmedMarket checked 30 Sept, 14:45 GMT-4

Market read

AAON, Inc.'s current read is isolated; its market group is not confirming.

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 21 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 7 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

What changed
  • Revenue increased 54.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Gross margin fell 1.7 percentage points.
Company-3.6% todayVolume comparison unavailable
Market group0 of 21 activeBroad Market Mix · unavailable
Disclosed network0 of 7 confirmingNo filing-linked name is confirming now
What would change this read
  • BASX and Coil Products growth was tied to liquid-cooling data-center orders, including one large order.
  • AAON's sales growth was tied to a stronger backlog entering 2026 and increased production at its Tulsa facility.

Invalidation: The isolated read changes if AAON's group or a disclosed connection begins moving with it.

Watch this read

Research brief

The story so far

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

The latest filing evidence is available. 0 of 21 group members are active now; 0 filing-linked outsiders are moving with the group, and 0 of 7 directly disclosed connections are confirming.

Evidence that supports
  • Revenue increased 54.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 0.6 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 35.9% versus the comparable filing period.
Evidence that challenges
  • Gross margin fell 1.7 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 1.1 percentage points.
What would clarify the read
  • BASX and Coil Products growth was tied to liquid-cooling data-center orders, including one large order.
  • AAON's sales growth was tied to a stronger backlog entering 2026 and increased production at its Tulsa facility.

Company research

Understand the business, not just the ticker

As of Sep 30, 2026
Business model and earnings drivers

Use the company’s filings to identify the few operating, demand, cost, capital and regulatory variables that determine its earnings power.

Key research questions
  • Which operating variable is changing?
  • Is that change durable, cyclical or one-off?
  • What evidence would disprove the current interpretation?
Annual periods9
Price observations340
Usable filing statements67
Verified relationships7
Evidence supporting the case
  • Latest annual revenue changed +20.1% year over year.
  • Data center and AI demand has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
  • Demand and volume has repeated favorable evidence across 5 filings.
Evidence challenging the case
  • Operating margin changed -7.3 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Net margin changed -6.6 percentage points in the latest annual period.
  • Operating cash flow was only 0.005x net income in the latest annual period.
  • Supply chain and availability has repeated adverse evidence across 5 filings.
Questions before a position
  • P/E is 112% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
  • EV/sales is 60% above the available filing-peer median; determine whether growth and quality justify the difference.
Longer-term price context

Price as of Sep 29, 2026

85.12
6m+8.8%12m-6.5%24m—
Annual trajectory

Reported annual revenue and per-share history. This is accounting history, not a forecast.

PeriodRevenueYoYDiluted EPSShare change
2021-12-31$534.5M+3.9%$0.73—
2022-12-31$888.8M+66.3%$1.24+0.7%
2023-12-31$1.2B+31.5%$2.13+2.6%
2024-12-31$1.2B+2.7%$2.02+0.4%
2025-12-31$1.4B+20.1%$1.29-0.6%

What management says matters

Persistent and emerging business drivers

Capital investment and capacitymixed · 5 filings
“Cash Flows from Financing Activities The change in cash from financing activities in 2026 is primarily related to borrowings under our revolving credit facility to manage our working capital needs, especially strategic purchases of inventory to avoid supply c…”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
Credit and interest ratespositive · 5 filings
“Cash Flows from Financing Activities The change in cash from financing activities in 2026 is primarily related to borrowings under our revolving credit facility to manage our working capital needs, especially strategic purchases of inventory to avoid supply c…”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
Data center and AI demandpositive · 5 filings
“The $111.8 million increase in net sales for AAON Coil Products is due to sales of BASX-branded products for liquid cooling data center orders.”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗
Demand and volumepositive · 5 filings
“AAON Oklahoma saw significant improvement with an increase of $159.3 million in net sales driven by increased production out of the Tulsa facility and a stronger backlog heading into 2026.”
10-Q · Aug 10, 2026 ↗

Valuation discipline

Descriptive valuation snapshot

Price/sales 4.9× · EV/sales 4.9×. Comparisons use only industry-matched filing peers.

Scenario scaffold

Mechanical 2.0-year scenarios are available as editable assumptions, not consensus.

Price action

How the market is pricing the story

82.09-3.6% today

Jodie does not have enough daily observations to draw a useful short-term chart for this asset. The latest quoted price was checked 1 Oct, 15:40 GMT-4; this is a coverage limitation, not a flat-price conclusion.

Developments

No sourced recent-development timeline yet

Jodie has not returned a relevant primary source or news item for AAON. This is an evidence-coverage gap, not a conclusion that nothing material happened.

Business and financial condition

Reported financial figures are not available yet

Jodie has not returned structured SEC XBRL fundamentals for this asset. This is a coverage limitation, not an assessment of the business or its financial health.

Latest filing assessment · baseline

Fundamentals strengthened in the latest filing

10-Q filed 2026-05-07 against the comparable filing from 2025-05-01.

constructive
OperationsconstructiveEvidence score +4
liquidityconstructiveEvidence score +1
valuationpremium

What improved

  • Revenue increased 54.3% versus the comparable filing period.
  • Operating margin improved 0.6 percentage points.
  • Net income increased 35.9% versus the comparable filing period.

What weakened

  • Gross margin fell 1.7 percentage points.
  • Net margin fell 1.1 percentage points.

Filing receipts

“Consolidated Results of Operations Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 2025 (in thousands, except per share data) Net sales $ 496,936 $ 322,054 Cost of sales 371,971 235,690 Gross profit 124,965 86,364 Selling, general and administrative expenses 67,906 51,293 Gain on disposal of assets — (40) Income from operations 57,059 35,111 Interest expense (5,055) (2,802) Other income, net 77 174 Income before taxes 52,081 32,483 Income tax provision 12,266 3,191 Net income $ 39,815 $ 29,292 The following are highlights of our results of operations, cash flows, and financial condition: • Net sales for the three months ended March 31, 2026 grew 54.3% to $496.9 million driven by the strong demand and gro...”

“AAON Oklahoma gross profit margin is up slightly to 26.3% due to realization of price increases and increased volume out of the Tulsa facility.”

“In recent years, price increases have been more frequent due to the amount of inflation the business has endured.”

Retrospective baseline calibration. It was generated after the filing date and is not part of Jodie's live track record.

Business ecosystem

The relationships behind AAON

Customers, suppliers, partners and competitors named in company filings—not inferred from headlines.

Depends on

CARRCarrier Global CorporationcompetitorMar 2, 2026 ▾

“Competition The Company’s comfort cooling products primarily compete with Lennox (Lennox International, Inc.), Trane (Trane Technologies plc), York Light Commercial (Bosch Home Comfort Group), Johnson Controls (Johnson Controls International PLC), Carrier (Ca…”

DKILFFiling-linked namecompetitorMar 2, 2026 ▾

“Competition The Company’s comfort cooling products primarily compete with Lennox (Lennox International, Inc.), Trane (Trane Technologies plc), York Light Commercial (Bosch Home Comfort Group), Johnson Controls (Johnson Controls International PLC), Carrier (Ca…”

JCIJohnson Controls International plccompetitorMar 2, 2026 ▾

“Competition The Company’s comfort cooling products primarily compete with Lennox (Lennox International, Inc.), Trane (Trane Technologies plc), York Light Commercial (Bosch Home Comfort Group), Johnson Controls (Johnson Controls International PLC), Carrier (Ca…”

Filing peers

Companies whose filings use similar operating language.

Open the three relationships above to see Jodie’s filing proof. Pro unlocks 4 more links, every receipt, and alerts when connected names begin moving. Unlock the full network →

What is moving around it

Live connections

AAON is currently a Participant in the organic co-movement group Broad Market Mix. This group is discovered from market behaviour rather than assigned from an industry taxonomy. 3 filing-linked names are in the relationship map; none is currently confirmed as moving with the group.

This group is retained as the last observed read for AAON; it is not active in the latest market snapshot.

Context history

Theme membership history

No durable theme membership has been observed for this name yet.