Signal detail

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

This cluster focuses on various U.S. Treasury bond funds that measure the performance of government-issued fixed income securities across different maturities.

Ticker
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
nan
Score
32
Confidence 44%
factor_residual_spike
Theme
U.S. Treasury Bonds
Theme probability 22%
1-3d
Ignition
9%
noise
2026-03-27T19:55:00+00:00
Drivers
+0.07% in 60m (z=0.34)
Volume 0.00x expected (60m)
Mention spike: 0 articles in 6h (z=0.00)
Sector-relative +0.05% (60m), rank #5/5 in asset:rates
Residual z=-2.69 (market-adjusted; market=-2.69, sector=-2.69, style=-2.69, latent=-0.37)
Corr to asset:rates +0.00 vs prior, flips=0, conn z=1.00
Theme probability 22% (noise), followers: SHY
Pre-ignition 6% (inactive), stage=mature
Ignition probability 9% (inactive), cluster=189
Signal Quality Score 6/20 (structure=2, propagation=0, timing=2, coherence=2)
Rank overlay 0.00 (early=0.42, ignition=0.09, stage=-0.18, penalty=0.24)
Likely Followers
SHY
Theme class
noise
Signal state
observed