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Thursday, July 30, 2026

Cadence grew revenue 14.1% — and trades at an 82.1x P/E

Revenue hit $5.3B in fiscal 2025 while shares closed at $333.02 after a 3.4% one-day dip.

Shares slipped 3.4% on July 29 to $333.02 — a short-term market reaction despite the company’s revenue growth and cash generation.

Cadence’s trailing story is straightforward: revenue climbed to $5.3B in fiscal 2025, up 14.1% year over year, and the business runs fat operating margins (operating margin was 28.2% in 2025). Operating cash flow covered net income at 1.56x in the latest annual period.

That case sits across from a valuation that leaves almost no room for forgiveness. The stock trades at a P/E of 82.1x and EV/sales of 16.6x; earnings yield is 1.2% and cash-flow yield 1.9%. Small misses or a lower multiple move the math a long way.

Management flagged one obvious lever for volatility in the 10-Q.

> "Interest rates under the Credit Facility are variable, so interest expense is impacted by changes in the interest rates, particularly for periods when there are outstanding borrowings under the revolving credit facility." [10-Q 2026-07-29]

Put plainly: Cadence’s cost of debt can swing with rates, which matters because the company calls out the credit facility explicitly as a source of variable interest expense.

On the upside, Cadence is investing in its pipeline — and says the spending shows up in R&D infrastructure costs as it hires.

> "Facilities and other infrastructure costs included in research and development expense increased during the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, as compared to the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, primarily due to our growing workforce." [10-Q 2026-07-29]

Translation: the firm is adding people and the balance sheet shows it. That supports the long-case view that product pipeline and R&D are drivers of future revenue.

The company’s own scenario framing underlines the tension. Using Cadence’s recent history as the mechanical base, the bull view uses a revenue CAGR of +14.6% with an exit P/E of 82.1x; the base scenario runs +14.1% and the same exit multiple; the bear case drops to +5.7% revenue CAGR and an exit P/E of 46.5x. The bull-to-bear spread is wide (roughly 236 points) and is driven mostly by the exit multiple the market assigns.

Evidence on both sides is present in the filings: recent revenue growth (+14.1% YoY) and operating cash coverage of net income make the growth story tidy; but net margin slid by 1.8 percentage points in the latest annual period, a datapoint the shorter-case will point to when arguing there’s less margin buffer.

A few contextual touches from the filings: Cadence lists partners and peers that matter to demand and competition (for example, [NVDA](https://jodie.ai/t/NVDA) as a partner and [SNPS](https://jodie.ai/t/SNPS) among peers), and management calls out foreign-exchange and macro risks as part of the operating backdrop.

The arithmetic is blunt: Cadence is profitable and growing. The stock’s multiple is the thing that forces the choice — small changes in exit multiple or profit mix produce very different outcomes, which is why the bull and bear pictures sit so far apart.

*Source: Cadence Design Systems filings (10-Q dated July 29, 2026; annual filings).*

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Cadence grew revenue 14.1% — and trades at an 82.1x P/E | Jodie